EPS growth prospects are brighter in the US than in Europe, which is justified given the differential in the growth and inflation outlook between the two regions. However, the adjustment that has taken place on EPS in Europe is a positive factor: we are now "at the price" ahead of the cyclical recovery that is taking shape for the rest of 2024. Sector-wise, the ongoing upward revision of EPS in travel & leisure, banks and media is expected to continue apace and provide support for sec...
Les perspectives de croissance des BPA sont supérieures aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe, ce qui est justifié étant donné le différentiel de perspectives de croissance et d’inflation entre les deux zones. L’ajustement qui a eu lieu sur les BPA en Europe est toutefois un facteur positif : nous sommes désormais « au prix » avant la reprise cyclique qui se dessine pour la suite de 2024. Sectoriellement, la révision à la hausse en cours des BPA sur le Travel & Leisure, les banques et les Media...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: MELIÁ, MERLIN, NATURGY. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Semana de retrocesos en Europa con la excepción de la periferia El viernes volvió a ser un día de aversión al riesgo por el riesgo geopolítico pero los miedos se fueron d...
>European hotels up 7.7% in March - In March, RevPAR growth came to +7.7% y-o-y for western Europe (according to STR figures), driven by both price increases (+6.2%) and a continued improvement in occupancy rates (OR up +0.9 pt). With the marked growth seen in January (+11.7%) and February (+9.3%), the cumulative change in Q1 works out at +8.9% (+1.7 pt for OR and +5.7% for ADR); for now, this is better than forecast and could, ultimately, render the estimates for lim...
NEWS SUMMARY: MELIÁ HOTELS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, NATURGY. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. A week of losses in Europe, except in the periphery Friday was another day of risk aversion due to the geopolitical risk, but fears began to subside throughout the session, although this was not enough to prevent the...
>L’hôtellerie européenne est en croissance de 7.7% en mars - En mars, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +7.7% yoy pour l’Europe de l’Ouest (selon les chiffres STR), portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+6.2%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +0.9 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%) et en février (+9.3%), la variation cumulée sur le T1 ressort à +8.9% (+1.7 pt sur les TO et +5.7% sur les prix), c’est un chiffre qui...
>Regulatory impact drives results decline - Redeia will release Q1 2024 results on 30 April. Results are marked by the loss of pre-1998 regulated assets (estimated annual impact of € 260m in 2024: € 307m remuneration impact, partially offset by € 47m revenues from the start of extension of useful life of those assets) as widely anticipated by the company and consensus estimates. As a result, domestic electricity infrastructure is expected to reduce its contribution to...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, MELIÁ. EUROPA: UNICREDIT. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El BCE no para la recogida de beneficios Tras una breve transición durante la comparecencia de la presidenta del BCE donde el Euro STOXX 50 llegó ...
mNEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, IBERDROLA, MELIÁ HOTELS. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. ECB unable to stem profit taking After a brief period during the ECB President’s speech when the EuroSTOXX 50 managed to dilute its losses, European stock markets began to fall once again, but this time dragged down by ...
NEWS SUMMARY: ALMIRALL, ENAGÁS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Transitional session Awaiting the release of US inflation data, the ECB meeting and the start of the results season, European stock markets ended with slight gains, lacking a clear driver and with cyclicals favoured, along with widening in sovereign debt. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Basic Materials and Autos, whereas Household Goods and Media ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Spain Fun...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ALMIRALL, ENAGÁS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. Sesión de transición A la espera de la publicación de la inflación estadounidense, la reunión del BCE y el arranque de la temporada de resultados, las bolsas europeas terminaron con ligeras subidas sin un catalizador claro con un claro sesgo a favor de los cíclicos y acompañados de repuntes de rentabilidad en la deuda soberana. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores del día fueron R. Básicos y A...
We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...
Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...
>European hotels still on course at the start of the year - Despite the geopolitical impacts and uncertainties surrounding the cycle, European hotels continue to perform well. In February, RevPAR growth came to +9.3% y-o-y, driven by both price increases (+5.8%) and steady growth in occupancy rates (occupancy rate up +3.3 points). With the strong increase recorded in January (+11.7%), the cumulative YTD change in February works out at +10.7%, a very good start to the ...
>L’hôtellerie européenne garde le cap en ce début d’année - Malgré les impacts géopolitiques et les incertitudes liées au cycle, l’hôtellerie européenne continue de très bien performer. En février, la croissance des RevPAR ressort à +9.3% yoy, portée à la fois par des hausses de prix (+5.8%) et par une progression continue des taux d’occupation (TO à +3.3 pt). Avec la forte hausse enregistrée en janvier (+11.7%), la variation cumulée en février ytd ressort à +10.7%, s...
NEWS SUMMARY: ALMIRALL, FERROVIAL, MAPFRE. The IBEX takes flight European stock markets ignored the surprise rise in US inflation and increased their gains, still convinced that rates will begin to fall starting in June. The IBEX rose more than +1.6%, approaching 10,600 points, driven by the rally by Inditex (+7.7%). In the STOXX 600, most sectors closed with gains, led by Retail and Basic Materials, with the biggest losses in Autos and Technology. On the macro side, in the euro zone January’s ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ALMIRALL, FERROVIAL, MAPFRE. EUROPA: AB INBEV, VINCI. El Ibex vuela Las bolsas europeas obviaron la sorpresa al alza en la inflación de Estados Unidos y aceleraron las ganancias una jornada más mientras permanece el convencimiento de que los tipos bajarán a partir de junio. El Ibex subió más de un 1,6% acercándose a los 10.600 puntos impulsado por el repunte de Inditex (+7,7%). Así, en el STOXX 600, la mayoría de los sectores cerraron con ganancias,...
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