The tariff war between US and China has eased, but with the Iran conflict and an erratic Trump, uncertainty will continues unabated. Energy prices have gone ballistic, with gas prices doubling in Europe and has hit the cyclical stocks hard. KBC macro-econimists have hiked the inflation expectation for 2026 from 1.9% to 3.3%. While the macro-economic impact has been limited so far, a prolonged uncertain situation will result in economic damage. We continue our defensive stance in our Benelux Dyna...
UCB announced that the European Commission approved Kygevvi (doxecitine and doxribtimine) under exceptional circumstances as the first and only treatment for paediatric and adult patients with genetically confirmed thymidine kinase 2 deficiency (TK2d) with an age of symptom onset on or before 12 years. The approval comes after the positive CHMP opinion announced in February 2026. Beyond the EU, the product received FDA approval in the US in 4Q25. € 284 TP and BUY maintained.
UCB presented updated data for Bimzelx in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and psoriasis (PsO) at the AAD conference, held 27–31 March. In HS, data showing better outcomes in patients with lower disease duration and severity makes the case for earlier treatment with Bimzelx, further supporting the drug's continued commercial uptake. In PsO, we're encouraged to see high rates of complete skin clearance up to 4 years in patients that stopped and re-started treatment, which should help UCB capture re-...
We reiterate our BUY rating but cut our target price from €310 to €306, reflecting an increased equity risk premium due to the war in Iran. We continue to view UCB as a unique growth story in the industry, as we model core EPS to grow at c.30% CAGR over 2024-30F thanks to the continued growth of key blockbusters Bimzelx and Evenity. Next to these, we remain confident in UCB's long-term growth strategy with assets like Galvokimig, which continues to show efficacy data optically superior to other ...
Yesterday after market close, UCB announced that it has selected Gwinnett County, Georgia as the location for its new US biologics manufacturing facility. Once operational, the facility is expected to produce recently approved and future pipeline complex biologics 24/7 primarily for the US market. This project is expected to generate approx. $5bn in total economic impact, creating around 330 permanent highly skilled jobs, and more than 1000 construction jobs. Approx. 62% of the company's FY25 ne...
We update our model (Buy, €45 Target Price maintained) after EVS delivered another year of solid progress, supported by a clearer operational rhythm and an improved ability to convert commercial momentum into revenue. EVS has structurally shifted to a pre-production model that shortens delivery cycles and gives customers faster turnaround, while also improving internal planning stability. This shift allowed EVS to convert a significant portion of late-2025 orders within the year, supporting s...
AEGON: Launch of Aegon Insurance Asset Management Company in China (tidying up). Basic-Fit: Solid final FY25; strong membership ingrowth in 1Q26 comfort on energy prices. CVC Capital Partners: Steady delivery. D'Ieteren: 2H25 beat on Auto, Belron delivering, PBT group guidance 7% below. UCB: Bimzelx demonstrates superiority to Skyrizi. Wereldhave: c.€5.6m acquisition of supermarket in Ville2, full ownership of the centre
UCB announced positive topline data from the BE BOLD trial assessing Bimzelx (IL-17 A/F antibody) vs. Skyrizi (IL-23 antibody) in adults living with active psoriatic arthritis (PsA), where Bimzelx demonstrated statistically significant superiority over Skyrizi in the ACR50 primary endpoint at week 16. This positive readout is an important development for Bimzelx given the PsA market is the second largest after PsO. IL-23 has gained more share vs. 1L-17 in PsA to date, however, today's topline re...
Our Big Pharma AI thesis is the result of ~25 interviews with industry execs & >100hrs of research. We show ~10% of OPEX could be saved by AI within a few years & conclude the recent sector rally is wholly justified & could run further. We assess the winners & losers from AI adoption and discuss in detail some of the short, mid & long-term consequences. We evaluate the various AI use cases and quantify the potential benefit they may have. We break down SG&A & R&D activities & show where AI is im...
The tariff war between US and China has eased, but with the Iran conflict and an erratic Trump, uncertainty will continue into 2027. Energy prices have gone ballistic, with gas prices doubling in Europe and has hit the cyclical stocks hard. The highly anticipated AI productivity gains also will have to transpire sooner or later or a US market correction becomes unavoidable. While the macro-economic impact has been limited so far, a prolonged uncertain situation will result in economic damage. We...
UCB and Antengene entered into an exclusive worldwide license agreement to further develop, manufacture and commercialize ATG-201, a preclinical CD19/CD3 bispecific T-cell engager. UCB will pay $ 80m in upfront and near-term milestone payments, development and commercial milestones of up to approx. $ 1.1bn, and royalties on future sales. ATG-201, being a bispecific T-cell engager, builds on UCB's autoimmune expertise, and given its potential to address a broad set of B-cell driven autoimmune dis...
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