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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Strong beat driven by one-offs Alfen: Bull bear fight continues bpost: 3Q25 results in line with INGF but miss vs consensus, FY25 outlook fine-tuned to top-end CM.com: Takeover offer from Bird Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Refreshing D'Ieteren: Belron peer Driven Brands 3Q25 talks of lower Q4, choppiness in Collision and Direct Repair Exor: Ferrari reassures with strong 3Q25, improved guidance KPN: Strategy update reassures, largely in line, with solid cash returns expec...

Kristof Samoy ... (+7)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, V...

: AD NA, BPOST BB, CPINV BB, GIMB BB, KPN NA, MONT BB, VPK NA, WDP BB, WKL NA, ALFEN NA

Guy Sips ... (+3)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Wim Hoste
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Secures FDA approval for Kygevvi in ultra-rare disease TK2d

UCB announced that Kygevvi (doxecitine and doxribtimine) has been granted approval by the US FDA in adults and paediatric patients living with thymidine kinase 2 deficiency (TK2d), with an age of symptom onset on or before 12 years. The approval comes in line with the company's guidance of a decision before YE25, making it the first and only approved treatment in this setting. Note that TK2d is an ultra-rare genetic mitochondrial disease with no approved therapies, and has a prevalence of 1.64 p...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Appointment of Boris Cambon-Lalanne as group CFO. Belgian Telecoms: Price increase on most of the non-commercialised products and Scarlet trio. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 7%, VW down 20%. Kendrion: Results preview; launching share buyback programme. Kinepolis: Acquires US movie theatre chain Emagine Entertainment for US$105m. Kinepolis: October box office in US/Canada and France attendance drop again. Ontex: Branded activity now fully divested. Philip...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

GBL: €1.7bn of GBL Capital assets sold at 9% discount; PostNL: 3Q25 results miss due to more negative mix Parcels; FY25 outlook reiterated but challenging; UCB: Bimzelx's prescription data confusion

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB TRx noise aside, fundamentals remain strong

UCB's Bimzelx is well-positioned with strong 3-year data in HS and competitive performance across PsO, PsA, and axSpA, supporting our peak sales estimate of €5.9b by 2030. Despite premium forward P/E multiples, UCB's projected EPS CAGR (2025–2029), being >3x that of peers, means UCB continues to be an attractive name to own. Earlier in the pipeline, our deep dive into the atopic dermatitis (AD) landscape shows that phase 2a data for galovokimig is promising, with plans to advance to phase 2b. Ac...

Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Roy Külter
BRE MBANK SA
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
EDEN EDENRED SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ANA ACCIONA SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
VGP VGP NV
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
NSI NSI N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
SIGN SIG COMBIBLOC GROUP LTD
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
8TRA TRATON SE
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Roy Külter
BRE MBANK SA
LHA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
EDEN EDENRED SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ANA ACCIONA SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
VGP VGP NV
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
NSI NSI N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
SIGN SIG COMBIBLOC GROUP LTD
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
8TRA TRATON SE
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: The interim is back. Arcadis: Slow return to organic growth, FCF disappoints. Ayvens: Keeping its promise. dsm-firmenich: Waiting for Godot. D'Ieteren: Boyd prelim 3Q25, $1.3bn M&A deal, NYSE listing, $780m capital increase. Flow Traders: Down but not out. Ontex: FY25F guidance confirmed despite a modestly softer 3Q25. Recticel: Weak 3Q25 but comforting outlook. Shell plc: Solid story with cash continuing to come in strongly. TKH Group: Preview - subsea remains in foc...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA,...

: ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, RECT BB

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

AB InBev FIRST LOOK: 3Q: weak volumes, EBITDA still up 3.3%; $6bn SBB

3Q volumes decreased by 3.7% organically which was below our and consensus forecasts, while organic adj EBITDA growth of +3.3% outperformed consensus (of +0.9%). ABI reiterated FY25 guidance of 4-8% organic EBITDA growth which is in line with the mid term guidance. Importantly, a $ 6bn share buyback (over 24 months) was announced (as well as a € 0.15 dividend). We still see ABI as the undisputed leader in the beer space, with leading market shares in many markets, ongoing digitization and premiu...

Jacob Mekhael
  • Jacob Mekhael

UCB Supportive 3-year data for Bimzelx in PsA and axSpA at ACR 2025

UCB announced new 3-year data for Bimzelx in adults with active psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) at ACR 2025. The results show sustained responses in both patient groups, and appear competitive vs. other biologics e.g. Cosentyx in cross-trial comparison. Overall supportive data that should maintain Bimzelx' commercial momentum. ACCUMULATE maintained.

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur

UCB SA: 1 director

A director at UCB SA bought 70 shares at 250.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing C...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: 3Q25 in-line, FY guidance trimmed, €300m provision for Ichthys court case. Gimv: ImCheck Therapeutics checked out. Heineken: 3Q25 trading update; outlook FY25 slightly lowered. KPN: Ziggo 2Gbits internet roll out for c.7m homes by end 2025, full Netherlands by 2026. Randstad: 3Q25 result beats 5%; outlook 4Q25 also beats; strong OPEX performance

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
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