reports
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – CTP: 3Q24 in line; development-led growth continues
CTP reached FFO of EUR 0.60/share in 9M24, and management reiterated its FY target of EUR 0.80-0.82/share. Developing at around a 10% yield on cost continues to generate substantial value for shareholders, as we estimate the cost of debt funding at around 4% currently. At 44.9%, the LTV is still among the higher levels in Europe, but falling rates should ease the risk of further yield expansion stretching the leverage.
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 06/11/2024
Notre scénario central s’est concrétisé dans la nuit : Donald Trump remporte la présidentielle américaine, et le choix des électeurs ne devrait pas être contesté. Il pourrait disposer d’une majorité dans les deux assemblées. Les actions américaines en seront les premières bénéficiaires. Sur les actions européennes, les secteurs les plus gagnants seront l’Energie, les Médias, les Métaux, Construction & Materials, Financial Services, Insurance. Sont en revanche plus à risque Utilities, ...
- Michiel Declercq
Ahold Delhaize Conference call feedback
Ahold Delhaize's share price is up c. 6% today, driven by the solid 3Q24 results, reporting an underlying EBIT of € 855m (css: € 834m, kbcse: € 856m). The better than expected results were largely driven by good margin improvements in Europe, with the 3.9% margin now being very close to AD's ambition of at least 4%. Note that besides the solid results, the share price performance today is also partially driven by the strengthening of the USD (c. 61% US Sales). Below we summarize the key highligh...
- Olfa Taamallah
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Yan Derocles
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/06/2024
Our baseline scenario materialised last night: Donald Trump seems to be on course to win the US presidential election, and the choice of the electorate is unlikely to be challenged. He could end up with a majority in both houses of Congress. US equities will be the first to benefit from this development. In European equities, the biggest winners will be Energy, Media, Metals, Construction & Materials, Financial Services and Insurance. More at risk, however, are the Utilities, Spirits,...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/06/2024
Our baseline scenario materialised last night: Donald Trump seems to be on course to win the US presidential election, and the choice of the electorate is unlikely to be challenged. He could end up with a majority in both houses of Congress. US equities will be the first to benefit from this development. In European equities, the biggest winners will be Energy, Media, Metals, Construction & Materials, Financial Services and Insurance. More at risk, however, are the Utilities, Spirits,...
AKE ARKEMA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
PUM PUMA SE
EN BOUYGUES SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
NEX NEXANS SA
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
RACE FERRARI NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
NEOEN NEOEN S.A.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
CTPNV CTP NV
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 06/11/2024
Notre scénario central s’est concrétisé dans la nuit : Donald Trump remporte la présidentielle américaine, et le choix des électeurs ne devrait pas être contesté. Il pourrait disposer d’une majorité dans les deux assemblées. Les actions américaines en seront les premières bénéficiaires. Sur les actions européennes, les secteurs les plus gagnants seront l’Energie, les Médias, les Métaux, Construction & Materials, Financial Services, Insurance. Sont en revanche plus à risque Utilities, ...
AKE ARKEMA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
PUM PUMA SE
EN BOUYGUES SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
NEX NEXANS SA
HEN3 HENKEL AG & CO. KGAA PREF
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
RACE FERRARI NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
NEOEN NEOEN S.A.
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
CTPNV CTP NV
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
UN0 UNIPER SE
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ahold Delhaize: A strong 3Q24, driven by Europe. CFE: 3Q24 preview - able to keep net profit outlook? CTP: Good results, guidance reiterated. DEME Group: 3Q24 preview - keeping the FY outlook. Exor: Ferrari hitting Chinese wall. IBA: Contract win for E-beam sterilisation solution in the Dominican Republic. Kendrion: 3Q24 preview - harsh end markets but easy comps. Proximus: 2025 price increases on the high side, more asset sales in the pipeline. Solvay: 3Q24 results beat by 4% bu...
- Robert Jan Vos
Ahold Delhaize N.V. : Another solid quarterly update with a strong rec...
>Underlying EBIT ahead of consensus, attributable to Europe mainly - Ahold Delhaize reported net sales of € 22,003m in Q3 2024, compared with our forecast of € 22,134m and consensus of € 21,912m. Underlying EBIT came in at € 855m (ABNe: € 851m, consensus: € 837m). Underlying EBIT profitability was 3.9% (ABNe and consensus: 3.8%). Comparable growth amounted to 1.2% in the US (ABNe: 1.3%, consensus: 1.0%), and 1.6% in Europe (ABNe: 1.5%, consensus: 1.0%). Group underlyi...
- Kristof Samoy
Fugro Earnings miss and sentiment triggered unwarranted sell off
After spoiling the markets with 8 quarters of appealing topline growth, Fugro disappointed with stalling revenues over 3Q24. The silver lining was that Fugro managed to post margins exceeding expectations and that the backlog discounted 16.8% growth. In our view, the conservative guidance and consecutive earnings beats over the past quarters led to some ambitious estimates in the market ultimately resulting in a (sizeable) earnings miss. Combined with the uncertainty over the US elections and im...
- Wim Hoste
AB InBev [ 3Q mixed bag, upgrading guidance was fully anticipated – mo...
ABI's share price dropped upon the 3Q results release on a combination of weak volumes, bigger than expected negative FX effects weighing on the absolute EBITDA number and a fresh share buyback announcement of which the repurchased shares will not be cancelled. We lowered our normalized EBITDA forecasts for FY24-26 by c. 3-4% but continue to appreciate ABI for its leadership positions in the global beer market, high intrinsic profitability and LT growth prospects in its emerging markets business...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
CTP NV : Q3 2024 results: EPS outlook confirmed, albeit with lower 202...
>Outlook confirmed; strong Q3 deliveries; FY2024 deliveries lower - CTP confirms its €0.80 - €0.82 guidance for FY2024. The FY2024 delivery target is 1.2-1.3m sqm versus previous communicated at the high-end of the 1.0-1.5m official target. Planned 2024 deliveries are 64% pre-let (H1: 51%, Q3 2023 77% and 80%-90% target at delivery). CTP completed 545,000sqm GLA (9M 2024) at a yield on cost of 10.1% in 9M 2024 and 95% let (H1: 328,000, 92% let). Like for lik...
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Lynn Hautekeete
Atenor The turnaround that the market does not seem to believe
Atenor guided towards a EUR 150.0m consolidated debt reduction by YE24 vs. YE23. The recent negative share price performance does not reflect this. In this note, we outline the 8 projects that could lead to an EUR 150.0m debt reduction. We also provide a detailed overview of the EUR 403.0m short term (
- Stefano Toffano
Solvay : A resilient performance masked by tough comps
>Und. EBITDA beat mostly driven by cost savings - Another good set of results for Solvay, with Q3 group revenues of € 1,156m (+1% vs ccs) reflecting +3.9% yoy organic growth mainly as a consequence of lower prices (-4.3% yoy), offset by good volume growth (+8.2% yoy) on the back of much improved comps. Q3 24 underlying EBITDA came in again stronger than expected at € 259m (-9.7% yoy, -0.3% organically), with the delta a.o. driven by the exit from the thermal insulatio...
- Wim Lewi
CTP 9m24 Results, Pre-let is progressing, big 4Q24 ahead
Net Rental income grew 15.9% to EUR 488.4m vs. 491.0m expected (KBCS) and benefited from 4.4% lfl growth. The EPRA EPS of 0.60 also comes in line with our expectation of 0.61. The FY24 EPS outlook is confirmed at 0.80-0.82, but now at the lower end due to the ABB in September. The LTV decreased to 44.9% from 46.0% at FY23 end. The Cost of Debt rose to 2.73% from 1.95% (FY23). The occupancy on standing assets decreased 1% to 93% vs FY23 end. Despite 545k sqm deliveries (95% let) over 3Q24, CTP ma...
- Jacob Mekhael
ASH abstracts Autolus, Galapagos, MaaT
The abstracts for presentations at ASH (7-10 December) became available yesterday during the day (here). While we may have to wait until the actual conference for the latest datasets, here in this note are some key takeaways for our coverage including updates from Autolus (digging deeper into the obe-cel dataset), Galapagos (more CAR-T data and pre-clinical data on TCR-T) and MaaT (early access program in aGvHD):
- Wim Hoste
Solvay FIRST LOOK: 3Q benefits from low corporate cost, guidance narro...
3Q uEBITDA was flat organically which was in line with our forecast and c. 4% above consensus, driven entirely by a big beat in the lumpy Corporate line whilst both Basic Chemicals and Performance Chemicals came in below expectations. Solvay now expects to come in at the high end of its FY uEBITDA decline range of -10-15%, supported by additional savings. An interim dividend of € 0.97 has been announced. Solvay is a base chemicals group with leading market and technology positions in the vast ma...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ILRA CZ; MGROS TI; KLKIM TI; FROTO TI; TUPRS TI; THYAO TI;...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: ADRs growth pace cools, cost inflation persists (NOT RATED) • Migros: good set of operating results in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Kalekim: strong bottom-line performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Ford Otosan: 3Q24 results – quarterly margin improvement tempered by lower export guidance NEUTRAL • Tupras: 3Q24 results – net income beats the consensus; comment on the fire at the Izmit refinery NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 3Q24 – strong cargo and investments offset steep growth in staff cost...
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO SHOPER SA
- Guy Sips
DEME Trump's win likely bolstering opposition to the US offshore wind ...
Buildout of US offshore wind capacity is at stake after today's US presidential election, with a win by Donald Trump likely bolstering opposition to the sector and slowing permitting, while a win by Kamala Harris would have continued the Biden administration's goal of building 30 GW by 2030. Once Trump gets into office, we can see an aggressive slowdown or even a pause of further permit reviews or further lease sales. We maintain our positive stance on Deme, although with a lower TP than before...
- Thibault Leneeuw
Azelis Return to organic growth has not been rewarded
In this note we come back to the 3Q24 results which were beside the FX headwind decent and showed a return to organic growth. For FY24 we lower our EBITA expectations, due to FX headwinds and lower acquisitional growth. This while the more important organic growth and gross profit margin improved. Our segment overview shows that across regions most end markets improved. We forecast that 4Q24 will be the first quarter to report organic growth in all regions since 3Q22. Furthermore, we highlight t...
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