Back to Near-Term Bullish on SPX and QQQ We downgraded our near-term outlook on the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) to neutral last week (11/19/25 Compass), after being bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass). Crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $580-$583 on QQQ held last week, and we are right back to being near-term bullish as long as these support levels continue to hold. Just know that SPX could see...
Downgrading Financials to Underweight We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059. We would need to see a break below 6569 in order to have confidence that a consolidation period has finally begun. For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA. Short-term supports to buy include 6640 (the 20-day MA),...
Rotation is the Lifeblood of a Bull Market Semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) have been leadership since late-2022, but they are extended and are starting to see some profit taking as market participants rotate into other areas of the market that have been lagging (especially Energy, and to a lesser extent banks and small-caps). The question is whether this new trend lasts a few days, or if this is the start of longer-term trend. We would not be surprised to see more consolidation for...
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