AMS Osram released its Q4 and FY 2025 numbers yesterday. The Q4 performance was soft but outperformed our and the street's expectations, and was well above the mid-point of guidance, thanks to a robust aftermarket business. Positively, pro-forma net leverage (company methodology) dropped to 2.5x. While 2026 is expected to be a transition year, credit stats should improve substantially from 2027 onwards. We believe the bonds offer broadly fair value.
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Verisure, AMS Osram, International Personal Finance, Bombardier, TK Elevator, Rekeep, Ontex, TUI, Allwyn (formerly Sazka), Samvardhana Motherson, Adler Pelzer, Canpack, Iceland Foods
While we do not deny the uncertainties and risks associated with artificial intelligence (pricing pressures, organisational change, etc.), we remain constructive on this issue, given the significant volume opportunities in prospect for the sector with the integration of agentic AI. Moreover, improving growth momentum in 2026 should reduce pressure on sector valuations (discount >30% vs Stoxx 600 vs a premium of 10% four years ago). On this basis, we have upgraded Bechtle (Outperform vs Neutral),...
Sans nier les incertitudes et risques liés à l’IA (pressions tarifaires, changements organisationnels, etc.), nous restons constructifs sur cette thématique tant les opportunités de volumes autour de l’intégration de l’IA agentique sont importantes pour le secteur. D’autant plus que l’amélioration de la dynamique de croissance en 2026 devrait permettre de réduire la pression sur les valorisations du secteur (décote >30% vs Stoxx 600 contre une prime de 10% il y a 4 ans). Dans ce contexte, nous r...
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