HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: balance of risks to the upside (upgraded to BUY) • TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: weak 2Q25 financial results, with significant pressure on the EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth accelerates marginally, to 11% yoy NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 1H25E earnings preview (due on 28 August)
TBC has announced GEL 346m in net income (before minorities) for 2Q25, up 8% qoq and 5% yoy. This was 1% lower than our EUR 348m estimate and 3% lower than the GEL 358m consensus. The group-level results were in line, supported by an 8% beat in Georgia (GE), driven by a 40bps qoq NIM expansion and the NII coming in 8% above our estimate. That said, our overall bias on 2Q25 is negative, due to a significant 44% earnings miss in Uzbekistan (UZ) (our forecast at GEL 58m, vs. the GEL 32m actual UZ n...
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: good run, approaching fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Krka: preliminary 2Q25 numbers – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 50/50 JV with Motor Oil Hellas over their electricity supply and gas-fired power generation activities POSITIVE • DO & CO: EUR 2.00/share dividend approved, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • OTE: 2Q25E results preview – 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 August)
We have downgraded TBC to HOLD (from Buy). Our valuation indicates 9% upside and 2025E target multiples of 7.5x P/E and 1.9x P/TBV from these levels (vs. the 6.9x and 1.7x market multiples). Our new price target (PT) is GBP 53.1 (from GBP 38.0). TBC’s stock has returned 93% in the past 12 months in USD terms, including reinvested dividends (and 682% in the past five years). A year ago, the bank was trading at 3.9x P/E and 1.1x P/TBV on our 2025E numbers, vs. 6.9x P/E and 1.7x P/TBV today. This p...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q25 results – strong EBITDA, big net income beat POSITIVE • OTP Bank: neutral 1Q25 results, but supported strongly by Russian operations NEUTRAL • AmRest: 1Q25 below expectations, due to EUR 5m negative one-off NEUTRAL • NLB Group: small bottom-line miss in 1Q25, but guidance maintained NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: 1Q25 highlights POSITIVE • Eurobank Ergasias Services: 1Q25 highlights NEUTRAL • Alpha Services and Holdings: 1Q25 highli...
TBC has reported 1Q25 net income of GEL 318m, falling 14% short of our estimate (GEL 372m) and 10% below the consensus forecast of GEL 352m. Total revenues missed our estimate by 5%. There was a small GEL 11m NII miss that was mitigated by a GEL 8m beat in fees. Trading and other income was 25% below expectations; however, this line is typically volatile. The more material and complex deviation was in provisions, which came in at GEL 118m vs. our GEL 83m expectation. The miss was related to a GE...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...
O'KEY Group S.A. O`KEY GROUP REPORTS NET PROFIT OF RUB 2.0 BN AND 20.3% EBITDA GROWTH IN FY 2024 01-Apr-2025 / 08:30 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Press release 1 April 2025 O`KEY GROUP REPORTS NET PROFIT OF RUB 2.0 BN AND 20.3% EBITDA GROWTH IN FY 2024 O`KEY Group S.A. (AIX, MOEX: OKEY, the “Group”), one of Russia’s leading food retailers, has announced its financial results for the full year of 2024 based on its audited consolidated financial statements. All materials published by the Group are available on its web...
O'KEY Group S.A. O’KEY GROUP SHAREHOLDERS APPROVE REDOMICILIATION TO RUSSIA 25-March-2025 / 14:00 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Press release 25 March 2025 O’KEY GROUP SHAREHOLDERS APPROVE REDOMICILIATION TO RUSSIA O’KEY Group S.A. (AIX, MOEX: OKEY, the “Group” or the “Company”), one of Russia’s leading food retailers, announces that its shareholders decided at an extraordinary general meeting (EGM) on 25 March 2025 to change Company’s jurisdiction from the Grand Duchy of Luxembourg to the Russian Federation (“redomicilia...
A director at TBC Bank Group sold 3,580 shares at 4,370p and the significance rating of the trade was 64/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
O'KEY Group S.A. O’KEY GROUP BOARD OF DIRECTORS TO CONVENE GENERAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS TO APPROVE REDOMICILIATION TO RUSSIA 04-March-2025 / 13:00 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Press release 4 March 2025 O’KEY GROUP BOARD OF DIRECTORS TO CONVENE GENERAL MEETING OF SHAREHOLDERS TO APPROVE REDOMICILIATION TO RUSSIA O'KEY Group S.A. (AIX, MOEX: OKEY, the “Group” or the “Company”), one of Russia’s leading food retailers, announces that its Board of Directors has decided to convene a General Meeting of Shareholders to add...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
Following the acceleration of a potential peace deal in Ukraine, Georgian assets have been among the top performers over the past month, reflecting the market’s optimism over the possible ceasefire or deal between Russia and the United States. From 21 January until today (18 February), Bank of Georgia (BUY, PT GBP 52.3) has gained 17%, while TBC Bank (BUY, PT GBP 38.0) has surged by 32%, outperforming the broader EM banks significantly and even the Polish WIG banks. While the market appears to b...
HEADLINES: • MOL: there’s gain in the mundane (stays BUY) • Tofas: very weak set of results in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 4Q24 – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 6% above the consensus; 2025E guidance in line with expectations POSITIVE • ADNOC Drilling: 4Q24 results beat expectations POSITIVE • TBC Bank: 4Q24 results and conference call • Isbank: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Medicover: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call • 11 bit studios: delays release of The Alters NEGATIVE • ...
TBC has announced GEL 335m in net income for 4Q24. Before the one-off write-down of its Azerbaijan business, which is now held for sale, the net income stood at GEL 344m. The net income consensus was at GEL 325m (a 3% beat in reported and a 6% beat in adjusted terms), while our forecast was at GEL 317m (a 6% beat in reported and an 8% beat in adjusted terms). The beat was related mainly to the trading income (up 64% yoy in 4Q and +37% yoy in 12M24), as well as the somewhat lower than expected CO...
O'KEY Group S.A. O`KEY GROUP NET RETAIL REVENUE GREW 5.5%, WITH DA! DISCOUNTERS’ REVENUE UP 13.3% IN 2024 31-Jan-2025 / 07:45 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Press release 31 January 2025 O`KEY GROUP NET RETAIL REVENUE GREW 5.5%, WITH DA! DISCOUNTERS’ REVENUE UP 13.3% IN 2024 O`KEY Group S.A. (AIX, MOEX: OKEY, the “Group” or the “Company”), one of Russia’s leading food retailers, has announced its unaudited operating results for Q4 and 12M 2024. All materials published by the Group are available on its website at . ...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: posts strong 3Q24; one of the cheapest among the Polish banks, but remains hostage to merger risk • PKO BP: 3Q24 results – no major surprises • Wizz Air: 2Q FY25 – small miss, with better fuel, but higher ex-fuel cask than we expected NEUTRAL • Bucharest Stock Exchange: weak 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 3Q24 results and conference call POSITIVE • CTP: 3Q24 in line; development-led growth continues NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q24 EBITDA up by 10% yoy, exceeding the ...
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