reports
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026
Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; Polish media; DVL PW; SNP RO; BELA GA; Turkish aut...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
- Gabor Bukta
Halfway out of the turbulence
Summary We leave our TP at 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the ongoing restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q3/26 conference call held on 29 January, we repeatedly concluded that the fruitful strategic overhaul is under way. The management is building back confidence, so that’s good news for value investors. The problem is that they have to manage high-capacity growth (+24% seats and +30% ASK) during fiscal Q2/27. Key question remains how the market will be able ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
R22 R22
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
VRC VERCOM SA
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
- Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
- Miguel Dias
Polish Banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Ba...
We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
H2O ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SPLUS HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
ZAB THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PE RO ZABKA GROUP
PREMIER ENERGY
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Pierre François Merveille
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
ISS ISS A/S
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VRAP VRANKEN-POMMERY MONOPOLE SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
ATE ALTEN SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELIS ELIS SA
REP REPSOL SA
AOF ATOSS SOFTWARE AG
EMMN EMMI AG
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
SSO SCATEC ASA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
ALM ALMIRALL SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
SHEL SHELL PLC
CAN CANAL+
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Pierre François Merveille
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
ISS ISS A/S
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VRAP VRANKEN-POMMERY MONOPOLE SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
ATE ALTEN SA
ALLAN LANSON-BCC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELIS ELIS SA
REP REPSOL SA
AOF ATOSS SOFTWARE AG
EMMN EMMI AG
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
SSO SCATEC ASA
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
ALM ALMIRALL SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
SHEL SHELL PLC
CAN CANAL+
- Jovan Sikimic
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; CCC PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; BDX PW; SPL PW; SNP RO;...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
Eurobank S.A: 1 director
A director at Eurobank S.A bought 50,000 shares at 3.812EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Emira Sagaama
- Oddo Sustainability Team
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPLUS HB; ACP PW; PL telecoms; PE RO; MTLN GA; Türkiye mac...
HEADLINES: • Shopper Park Plus: shopping for yield (HOLD – initiation of coverage) • Asseco Poland: incentive scheme for CEO announced NEUTRAL • PL telecoms: UKE approves the deregulation of Orange on the BSA and LLU markets NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: completion of the Hungarian acquisition NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: enters 40/60 JV with Tsakos for large hybrid RES project in Greece NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bp cut • Alior Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 24 February)
- Jovan Sikimic
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; BFT PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; BHW PW; MONET CP; KOMB CP
HEADLINES: • OPAP: waiving of the 5% exit threshold paves the way for the Allwyn merger NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 4Q25E – 4% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 18 February) • Bank Pekao: 4Q25E preview (due on 19 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q25E preview (due on 17 March) • MONETA Money Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 3 February) • Komercni Banka: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 February)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CPS PW; EME Strategy – OFEs; GPP PW; MIL PW; ING PW; MBK P...
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL) • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2025 annual assets structure • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reached 368k in 2H25, down 2% yoy NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 4Q25E preview (due on 9 February) • ING BSK: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • mBank: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: concludes construction of 72MW of BESS projects NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: solid traffic growth...
- Atinc Ozkan
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL)
We have downgraded our rating on Cyfrowy Polsat (CPS) to SELL (from Hold) and cut our price target (PT) to PLN 11.86/share (from PLN 15.42), implying 12% downside potential. We believe that the positive short-term triggers in CPS’ story have materialised already (succession completion, interest rates cuts supporting the FCF), while the weak 4Q25 results and 2026E outlook (we expect further declines in the telecoms segment) could fuel drops. Most importantly, in the long term, we see structural h...
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – Wizz Air: may grow capacity by c.20% in FY27E
In an interview with Bloomberg, Wizz Air’s CEO, Jozsef Varadi, has suggested that the airline may grow faster than the latest guidance implied, driven by the unparking of grounded aircraft and new aircraft deliveries. Bloomberg has reported that the CEO was suggesting that the airline may grow capacity by around 20% in FY26E yoy. We believe this is a misinterpretation of what the CEO meant, as it would require an unrealistic acceleration of capacity growth in the January-March period. We have re...
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