>Outperform rating maintained - Target price raised to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4) - Santander’s Q1 2024 results underpin our Outperform rating and lead us to increase our net profit estimates (+2% on average over the period 2024-2026e), due to a slightly more favourable stance on the top line trend. Our target price has thus been lifted to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4). The trend in the group’s operating performances remains broadly solid with the validation of the main financial targets se...
>We are forecasting Q1 2024 operating profit of € 3.9bn - Allianz is due to report its Q1 2024 results on 15 May. We are forecasting operating profit of € 3,886m (+4.2%), in line with the consensus (€ 3,897m, +4.4%e). Q1 operating profit should, in our view, confirm the fact that Allianz should report a full-year operating profit at the upper end of the guidance range (€ 14.8bn, +/- € 1bn, bearing in mind that 1/4 of the average point of the target range is equivalent...
>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €) - Les résultats T1 2024 de Santander viennent conforter notre opinion Surperformance et nous amènent à rehausser nos estimations de RN (+2% en moyenne sur la période 2024-26), en raison d’un biais un peu plus favorable notamment sur l’évolution de la topline. Notre OC est en conséquence porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €). L’évolution des performances opérationnelles du groupe reste globalement solides avec une vali...
>Nous prévoyons un RO de 3.9 Md€ au T1 2024 - Allianz publiera son RN du T1 2024 le 15 mai prochain. Nous prévoyons un RO de 3 886 M€ (+4.2%), en ligne avec le consensus (3 897 M€, +4.4%e). Le T1 devrait ainsi, selon nous, confirmer la capacité d’Allianz de publier un RO en année pleine 2024 dans le haut de la fourchette cible (14.8 Md€, +/- 1 Md€, sachant que 1/4 du point moyen de la fourchette cible équivaudrait à 3.7 Md€ de RO/trimestre en moyenne sur 2024). Pour r...
>The underlying strategic rationale is still there… - In a surprise move, BBVA announced its concrete/formal interest in Banco Sabadell the day after reporting its Q1 2024 results and probably following a leak in the media. It is still too early, in the absence of details around the terms, to properly evaluate the relevance of the move (we clearly maintain our positive stance on the stock and our target price at this stage), although we can already provide an initial ...
>La logique stratégique de fond reste là… - BBVA a annoncé de façon surprise son intérêt concret/formel pour Banco Sabadell au lendemain de la publication de ses résultats T1 2024 et probablement après une fuite dans les médias. Il est encore tôt, faute de détails sur les termes, pour appréhender correctement la pertinence de l’opération (nous maintenons logiquement notre approche positive sur le titre et notre OC à ce stade), toutefois nous pouvons d’ores-et-déjà app...
We are removing GALP from our ODDO BHF European Large Caps list. The stock has chalked up a performance of +31.3% since its inclusion in the list on 20 March. Our analyst is adopting today a Neutral recommendation (vs Outperform) on the stock. - ...
>Results in line with estimates, adequate progress towards FY guidance - Results in line with our estimates marked by the loss of pre-1998 regulated assets (end of the useful remunerative life of the pre-98 assets with a FY impact estimated at € 260m in 2024) as widely anticipated. Domestic electricity infrastructure accounted for 76% of total revenues and 70% of total EBITDA recording a decline of 16% and 22% compared to last year levels in each category, fully expla...
NEWS SUMMARY: AENA, ARCELORMITTAL, METROVACESA, REDEIA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 1Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex falls back below 11,000 points European stock markets posted losses ahead of the Fed meeting, where the IBEX was once again the worst performer. Within the STOXX 600 sectors, the biggest gains came in Real Esta...
During the conference call, management tried to maintain a subtle equilibrium between presenting stronger-than-expected Q1 results and tempering somewhat analysts' optimism for FY24, as evidenced by a CSS estimate (EUR1.02bn) already standing well above ADS' revised guidance of "around EUR700m". We
>Solid Q1 results, in line with our estimates… - Aena´s Q1 2024 results were in line with our estimates: revenue and EBITDA were +1.2% and +1.4%, ahead of our estimates, respectively, with the Spanish network +1.8% and +3.1% above (or € 18m and € 16m). The positive note of the results, in our view, came from the good Opex management at the Spanish network as, despite the continued upward trend already anticipated by the company, Opex grew below the traffic growth in ...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AENA, ARCELORMITTAL, METROVACESA, REDEIA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, ING. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 1T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex pierde otra vez los 11.000 puntos Jornada de caídas en las bolsas europeas previo a la reunión de la Fed donde el Ibex volvió...
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