reports
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 11 0CTUBRE + RDOS. EUROPA 3T’24 (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACERINOX, IBERDROLA, NATURGY, SACYR, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO. EUROPA: AIRBUS, PREVIOS RESULTADOS 3T’24, SANOFI. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex corta su racha Las ventas se impusieron en Europa, sobre todo en el Ibex, que acumu...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 11 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ACERINOX, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, IBERDROLA, NATURGY, SACYR. The IBEX ends its streak Stock markets in Europe fell, especially the IBEX, which had seen gains in five straight sessions and closed yesterday as the worst performer in Europe. In the STOXX 600, most sectors (15/20) closed with losses, led by Industrials and Technology, with Energy and Insurance posting the biggest gains. In the euro zone, the ECB’s last meeting minutes warned that despite the fact that inflation has fallen...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 07 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ENAGÁS, IBERDROLA, SANTANDER, TALGO. La guerra Israel/Irán no da tregua y se suma la campaña de resultados El temor a una escalada de la tensión en Oriente Medio llevó a un fuerte repunte del petróleo y caídas en las principales bolsas europeas que no pudieron ser totalmente revertidas a pesar de los buenos datos macro en EE.UU. Dentro de los sectoriales del STOXX 600, Energía destacó como el mejor sector seguido por Recursos Básicos mientras que Au...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 07 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ENAGÁS, IBERDROLA, SANTANDER, TALGO. The Israel-Iran war intensifies and joins the results season The fear of escalating tensions in the Middle East led to drops on the main European stock markets that were not fully reversed despite the good macroeconomic data released in the US and a sharp rise in oil prices. Within the STOXX 600 sectors, Energy stood out as the best performer, followed by Basic Materials, whereas Autos, Luxury and Travel & Leisure (dragged down by the geopoliti...
Sacyr S.A.: 2 directors
A director at Sacyr S.A. bought 615 shares at 3.250EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
- Nicolas David
ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 2
We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
NVG NAVIGATOR COMPANY SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
MAP MAPFRE SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
FER FERROVIAL SA
- Nicolas David
ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 1
We host our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024 virtually. In total, 63 companies will be presenting. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback of the company on day 1. - >Acciona (=) : Confidence in Non-energy business steady, Acciona Energía stake sparks intense scrutiny - Acciona Energia (=/-) : A trajectory beyond 2024 to be explained at the 9 months results - Acerinox (=/-): Softness persists in Europe and US - Amadeus (=/+): sol...
ACX ACERINOX SA
REP REPSOL SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
BKT BANKINTER SA
ANA ACCIONA SA
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
ENG ENAGAS SA
GCO GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE S.A.
CABK CAIXABANK SA
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
ENER GRUPO ECOENER S.A.
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 02 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY. Aumenta el riesgo geopolítico en Oriente Medio Nuevas caídas en las bolsas europeas, esta vez por la mayor aversión al riesgo generada por el ataque con misiles de Irán contra Israel y el castigo a financieros por una senda más baja de tipos de interés esperada por el mercado. Con todo lo anterior, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron Energía (gracias al rebote del Brent por la inestabilidad geopolítica) e Inmobiliario frente a Banco...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 02 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NATURGY. Higher geopolitical risk in the Middle East European stock markets saw new corrections due to the higher risk aversion generated by Iran’s missile attack on Israel and the punishment to financial stocks due to the lower interest rate pattern expected by the market. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Energy (thanks to the rally of Brent crude due to the political instability) and Real Estate were the best-performing sectors whereas Banks and Consumer Goods dropped >-2.0%. On the macr...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 27 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: AIRBUS, LVMH. China sigue animando los mercados Nueva jornada de rebote tras las caídas del día anterior y con los estímulos de China como principal protagonista. El Ibex por su parte superó los 11.900 puntos marcando máximos de 2010. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron B. Consumo y R. Básicos frente a Energía que fue el peor con caídas superiores al -3,0%. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la M...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 27 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: GRUPO CATALANA OCCIDENTE, IBERDROLA. China continues to spur the markets Another rally following the previous day’s drops, and with stimulus measures in China in the spotlight, where in addition to those already known, there could be capital injections in the country’s main banks over the coming days. The IBEX rose above 11,900 points, hitting a high since 2010. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Consumer Goods and Basic Materials vs. Energy, which was the worst pe...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int'l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023. In late-July (7/25/24 Int'l Compass) we discussed expectations for a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and we believe it seems likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from our selected 7/17/24 starting point, until the market decides which way this...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : A gradual weaning
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : More than ever the sector benchmark… but everything comes ...
Iberdrola is the strategic benchmark in the universe of integrated utilities. Since 2001, the group has pursued a resilient strategy of profitable growth (renewables and networks), geographic expansion and attractive shareholder returns (TSR average annual of 17.9%). But based on the strong share's performance and the low residual upside on our target price of € 15.30, we have lowered our rating to Neutral vs Outperform. - >Upside limited to around 10% - Iberdrola’s c...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Marc Lavaud
- Philippe Ourpatian
Iberdrola : Plus que jamais la référence sectorielle… mais tout à un p...
Iberdrola est la référence stratégique dans le secteur des utilities intégrées. Depuis 2001, le groupe poursuit une stratégie résiliente de croissance rentable (renouvelable et réseaux), d’expansion géographique et de rémunération attractive des actionnaires (TSR annuel moyen 17.9%). Toutefois, la forte performance du titre et le faible potentiel résiduel à notre objectif de cours de 15.3 €, nous amènent à abaisser l’opinion à Neutre vs Surperformance. - >Un potentiel de r...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 25 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: OHLA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO. EUROPA: DHL, PROSUS, SAP. China anima a parte del mercado Los sectores cíclicos de Europa reaccionaron con fuertes subidas al anuncio de estímulos por parte de la Autoridad Monetaria china (PBoC). Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y B. Consumo (lujo) frente a Inmobiliario y S. Financieros que sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el IFO de septiembre descendió algo más d...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 25 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: OHLA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO. China spurs section of market Cyclical sectors in Europe reacted with sharp gains to the announcement of stimulus measures from the PBoC. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Basic Materials and Consumer Goods (Luxury), with Real Estate and Financial Services falling the most. On the macro side, in Germany September’s IFO fell slightly more than expected, suggesting a slight contraction in the 3Q’24 GDP. From the ECB, K. Knot (President...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 18 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY, OHLA. El mercado se decanta por recortes de 50 puntos hoy para la Fed Nueva sesión de avances en Europa, después de que los últimos datos desde EE.UU. muestran que el gasto del consumidor está aguantando y la producción industrial intenta despertar. En el STOXX 600 destacaron las subidas de Retail y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Inmobiliario y Farma presentaron las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el índice ZEW de septiembre...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 18 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NATURGY, OHLA. The market bets on 50bps cuts today by the Fed It was a new session of gains for European stock markets after the latest macro data released in the US showed that consumer spending is keeping up and industrial output is trying to recover. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail and Travel&Leisure led gains, whereas Real Estate and Pharma posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Germany, September’s ZEW index came in much worse than expected both in terms of expectation...
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