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Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Zalando: On track, constant execution needed to continue rerating

Post-FY guidance upgrade and the full Q3 release, we still believe in Zalando's ability to further accelerate growth in 2025 and have notched up our estimates and our PT from EUR36 to EUR37. We no longer see Zalando as an e-commerce growth story, but more as a business model optimisation/show-me st

Damien Choplain ... (+3)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/05/2024

European equity markets weakened in October following multiple disappointments across the earnings season. The impending US election, the outcome of which is highly uncertain according to the polls, may also have prompted some traders to adopt a cautious stance. Sovereign long rates rose sharply, particularly in the US, on the back of macro indicators likely to provide arguments to the most hawkish of central bankers. All eyes are now on the November 5 elections and their repercussion...

Damien Choplain ... (+3)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/11/2024

Les marchés actions européens ont fléchi en octobre après les nombreuses déceptions sur la saison des résultats. L’approche de l’élection US, très incertaine selon les sondages, pourrait également avoir poussé à la prudence certains opérateurs. Les taux longs souverains ont nettement remonté, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, sur la base d’indicateurs macro susceptibles de donner des arguments aux plus faucons des banquiers centraux. Tous les yeux sont désormais rivés sur le scrutin du 5...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/05/2024

Carrefour said to be mulling several options to increase valuation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program Auchan Retail reportedly plans to cut between 2,100 and 2,300 jobs>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 05/11/2024

Auchan Retail prévoirait la suppression de 2 100 à 2 300 postes Carrefour étudierait plusieurs options pour augmenter sa valorisation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program>...

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann

Zalando : Q3 in line with prelims, FY outlook confirmed

>Some 8% GMV growth and 290bp margin improvement in Q3 - In Q3, GMV was up 8% y-o-y to € 3.46bn (prelim € 3.5bn). Sales increased 5% to € 2.39bn (prelim: € 2.4bn). Revenue growth by segment: B2C +4%, B2B +11%. Adjusted EBIT came in at € 93m (prelim: € 93m) with a margin of 3.9% (up 290bp). The strong demand in September resulted in very good full price business which supported the gross margin. The gross margin increased 400bp and fulfilment costs were down 120bp wher...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Zalando Records Strong Q3 Growth in Both B2C and B2B, Invest...

EQS-News: Zalando SE / Key word(s): Quarter Results Zalando Records Strong Q3 Growth in Both B2C and B2B, Invests in Customer Loyalty, Lifestyle Propositions, Fashion Discovery and Logistics 05.11.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement.                                                                               Zalando Records Strong Q3 Growth in Both B2C and B2B, Invests in Customer Loyalty, Lifestyle Propositions, Fashion Discovery and Logistics  Q3 gross merchandise volume (GMV) rises 7.8% to 3.5 billion euros, r...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Zalando verzeichnet im dritten Quartal starkes Wachstum im B...

EQS-News: Zalando SE / Schlagwort(e): Quartalsergebnis Zalando verzeichnet im dritten Quartal starkes Wachstum im B2C- und B2B-Geschäft und investiert in Kund*innenbindung, Lifestyle-Angebot, Fashion Discovery und Logistiknetzwerk 05.11.2024 / 07:00 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich.                                                                                                                       Zalando verzeichnet im dritten Quartal starkes Wachstum im B2C- und B2B-Geschäft und investiert in Kund*innenbindung, Lifes...

Zalando SE: 3 directors

Two Directors at Zalando SE sold 100,000 shares at 25.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 11/10/2024

Représentant 19% en moyenne du CA des groupes de biens d’équipement européens (plus de 40% pour certains), les Etats-Unis sont inévitablement au cœur des stratégies de croissance, tant organique qu’externe. Après analyse des programmes des deux candidats à la Maison Blanche, croisée avec celle du positionnement des groupes, nous avons établi 2 scénarios permettant de se positionner en fonction du candidat qui sera élu en novembre. Dans ce contexte électoral américain encore incertain,...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+5)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Luis de Toledo Heras
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/11/2024

Accounting for an average of 19% of revenues for European capital goods groups (over 40% in some cases), the US is clearly a central factor in growth strategies, both organically and inorganically. Based on our analysis of the programmes of the two candidates running for the White House and the positioning of the various groups, we have established two scenarios through which to play the sector depending on the winner in November's election. In this still uncertain US election context...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 10/11/2024

Zalando revises up full-year guidance after strong Q3 Teva: Moody’s revises the outlook of the Ba2 rating to Positive from Stable, $ 450m settlement to end litigations regarding Copaxone in the US ELO (Auchan): continued downward pressure. Overview of negative pledge clauses and covenants in the event of a senior secured debt offering.>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 11/10/2024

ELO (Auchan) : poursuite de la pression baissière. Point sur les clauses de negative pledge et covenants en cas d’émission de dettes sécurisée Teva : Moody’s révise la perspective du rating Ba2 de Stable à Positive, accord à l’amiable de 450 m USD aux US pour mettre fin aux poursuites concernant CopaxoneZalando révise ses prévisions annuelles à la hausse après un très bon T3>...

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann

Zalando : Q3 above, raising FY 2024 outlook

>Some 8% GMV growth and almost 300bp margin enhancement - Yesterday evening Zalando pre-released strong Q3 results. In Q3, GMV was up 8% y-o-y at € 3.5bn (consensus: € 3.4bn, ODDO BHFe: € 3.4bn) and thus 2% above the company-compiled consensus. Sales increased 5% y-o-y to € 2.4bn (consensus: € 2.4bn, ODDO BHFe: € 2.4bn) in line with consensus expectations. No details with regards to regions or segments were provided at this point, but we believe all regions and segme...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Zalando: Singin' in the rain while upgrading guidance

Zalando has raised its FY 2024 guidance, with css 3% below on EBIT, thanks to a rainy September and downsized capex. But our attention is mostly on the structurally lower capex plan beyond 2024, marking Zalando's more pragmatic approach to online penetration and growth prospects (unlocking a FCF bu

Damien Choplain ... (+3)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 01/10/2024

Comme Astérix dans l’album éponyme, Barnier a un chaudron à remplir. Deux mesures pour y parvenir ont « fuité » ces derniers jours dans la presse : rabotage du CIR (Crédit d’impôt Recherche) et hausse « exceptionnelle » de l’impôt des sociétés sur les grands groupes. Nous avons mesuré la sensibilité des 90 et 80 sociétés les plus concernées dans notre univers de couverture à ces deux mesures. 20 sociétés ont un CIR > 5% de leur EBIT et 22 sociétés verraient leurs BPA baisser de plus d...

Damien Choplain ... (+3)
  • Damien Choplain
  • Martial Descoutures
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/01/2024

Like Astérix in the album of the same name, Michel Barnier has a cauldron to fill. Two measures to manage this have “leaked” in the press in the last few days: a reduction in the CIR research tax credit and an exceptional tax increase on large companies. We measured the sensitivity to these two measures of the 90 and 80 companies most concerned in our coverage universe. 20 companies have a CIR >5% of their EBIT and 22 companies would see their EPS fall by more than 5% due to the addit...

Andreas Riemann
  • Andreas Riemann

Zalando : Q3 due 5 November – Accelerating momentum and increased prof...

>Colder weather in September, 6% GMV growth and 190bp margin increase - Zalando will report Q3 2024 results on 5 November. We forecast GMV and sales to increase 6% y-o-y. This reflects a good start to Q3, and we also expect September to be a strong month given 1/ positive data from Textilwirtschaft (at least 3 weeks with double-digit growth in German offline apparel) and H&M (11% sales growth excluding FX for September expected) as well as 2/ easy comparatives. Adjust...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/12/2024

We have upgraded our target price from € 43.4 to € 45.3 which factors in the growth strategy out to 2027 (EBITDA +5% to 6% p.a.) whereas the share price implies decrease of 0.65% p.a. The strategic GreenUp plan is based on three booster businesses that should see a gradual acceleration and will involve asset rotation. An accretive re-profiling in terms of EPS, and with no repercussions for the leverage limit, could also show through with minority buyouts for the regulated water operat...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 12/09/2024

Nous relevons notre objectif de cours de 43.4 € à 45.3 € qui intègre la stratégie de croissance à 2027 (EBITDA +5% à 6%/an) alors que le cours de Bourse sous-tend une baisse de 0.65%/an. Le plan stratégique GreenUp repose sur trois métiers Boosters qui doivent connaitre une accélération graduelle et impliquer des rotations d’actifs. Un reprofilage relutif en termes de BPA, et sans conséquence sur la limite de levier, pourrait aussi intervenir par le biais de rachats de minoritaires de...

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