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Adj. EBITA in line, we expect higher margins ahead. Minor revisions: adj. EBITA lowered by 2% p.a. 9x '24e EV/EBITA (adj.), 15% '24e-'26e adj. EBITA CAGR.
External factors continued to weigh on margins in Q3 Germany slower, but more orders starting to come in 13x ’23e EV/EBIT, 33% ’21-’24e adj. EBIT CAGR
Adj. EBIT SEK 14.0m (-18% vs. ABGSCe 17.0m) Consensus likely to come down by 3-4% 14x ’23e EV/EBIT on pre-Q3 numbers
Q3 report due Friday, 28 October Sales SEK 268m, adj. EBIT 17m (6.3%) 53% ’22e-‘24e adj. EBIT CAGR
Benefitting from strong structural growth trends A value-creating M&A strategy Vision 2025 could imply 7x ‘25e EV/EBITA
Sales growth of 20%, EBITA margin >10% Will investigate the possibility to move to Main Market Trading at 14.4x f12m EV/EBITA
A deep dive into Alcadon on 29 September Old financial targets to be updated 34% ’21-’24e EBITA CAGR, 12x ’23e EV/EBITA
Ramp-up of deliveries in H2’22 to Germany CMD 29 September, we expect updated financial targets 34% ’21-‘24e EBIT CAGR
Report fairly in line with expectations Healthy pipeline of projects and stabilization in cost infl. Ramp up of deliveries in Germany during H2’22
Acquires Networks Centre Holding Company in the UK Pays 8.8-11.5x EV/EBITDA An attractive market within Data centers and FTTH
Q2 report due Friday, 12 August Scale-up of organization to weigh on margins in Q2… …and notable volumes in Germany set to come in H2
ABGSC hosted Alcadon’s CEO at investor day today Ambitious European agenda… …with ample M&A headroom
EBIT 13% better than cons. expectations Margins to improve ahead… …as well as organic growth
Adj. EBIT 13% better than ABGSCe Deliveries in Germany have started Trading at 14x f12m adj. EV/EBIT
High growth of 22%… …but cost inflation and planned opex pressure margins 13x ‘23e EV/EBIT
FY’21 sales up 58% y-o-y ‘22e-‘23e adj. EBIT down 3-4% 14x ‘22e EV/EBITA
High growth continues – sales up 89% y-o-y Bigger projects delayed to H2’22 11x ‘23e EV/EBIT
Q4 report due Tuesday, 22 February M&A headroom to add ~60% to ‘22e EBITDA Fair value range raised to SEK 90-120 (45-90)
59 companies presented at the seminar Mostly Swedish small caps attending See links to all company recordings
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