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 PRESS RELEASE

Leonardo introduces ECOS-E multimode Radio Base Station, a significant...

GREENSBORO, N.C.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Leonardo, the leading global Aerospace, Defence and Security company, presents to North American market the ECOS-E DTA7000 multimode Radio Base Station, a cutting-edge advancement in communication technology. Designed to meet the evolving needs of modern communication systems, the ECOS-E sets a new standard for versatility, reliability, and performance and is poised to redefine the way organizations communicate and collaborate in the digital age. The solution is on display in Leonardo’s stand #1115 at IWCE 2024, the leading conference for critical communic...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Leonardo : FY 23 in line – movement on Hensoldt JV and in space

>Q4 2023 in line with expectations and impressive commercial momentum - Leonardo’s Q4 2023 figures were broadly in line with expectations. EBITA came to € 645m, (ODDO BHF: € 644m, css: € 643m), +8%, for sales of € 5.022bn, giving a margin improvement of 34bp to 12.8%. In detail, DE&S (with a margin of 15.5% vs 15%e) and particularly the European component - MBDA and cybersecurity – offset a slightly weaker than expected Q4 in helicopters (margin of 11.3% vs 11.9%e wit...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Leonardo : FY 23 en ligne – Ca bouge avec Hensoldt et dans l’espace

>T4 2023 en ligne avec les attentes et belle dynamique commerciale - Leonardo a publié un T4 2023 globalement en ligne avec les attentes. L’EBITA ressort à 645 M€, (ODDO BHF : 644 M€, Css : 643 M€), +8%, pour un CA de 5 022 M€ faisant ainsi progresser la marge de 34 pb à 12.8%. Dans le détail, DE&S (avec une marge de 15.5% vs. 15%e) et tout particulièrement la composante européenne -MBDA et cyber sécurité- compense un T4 un peu plus faible qu’attendu dans les hélicopt...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Leonardo : Neutral vs Outperform - Taking a break

>Neutral vs Outperform but target price raised to € 17.5 - We prefer to take a break and lower our rating from Outperform to Neutral with a new target price of € 17.5, derived from an average between a DCF and SOTP for 2025. With an 85% rise in 2023, the stock posted the best performance in the defence sector in Europe, outperforming its peers by 54%, while the consensus lowered its estimates over the last 12 months. The re-rating is thus significant as the stock is n...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Leonardo : Neutre vs Surperformance – Le temps d’une pause

>Neutre vs Surperformance mais OC relevé à 17.5 € - Nous préférons prendre une pause et abaisser notre recommandation de Surperformance à Neutre avec un nouvel objectif de cours de 17.5 € dérivé d’une moyenne entre un DCF et une SOTP 2025. Avec une appréciation de 85% en 2023, le titre a réalisé la meilleure performance du secteur défense en Europe, surperformant ses pairs de 54%, alors même que le consensus a réduit ses estimations sur les 12 derniers mois. Le rerat...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/10/2023

The Q3 earnings season, which has seen stocks that have disappointed expectations take a severe pounding, has thus far resulted in only a modest downward revision to the consensus. EPS for 2023 are now expected to be down -1.1% vs 2022, with of course significant divergences between sectors. However, it is the fall in interest rates since the end of September that has driven stock market performances the most, with technology and consumer products & services (including luxury goods) r...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 10/11/2023

La saison des résultats du T3, qui a vu se succéder de vives sanctions pour les titres qui décevaient les attentes, n’a pourtant jusqu’à présent occasionné qu’une modeste révision baissière du consensus. Les BPA 2023 sont désormais attendus en baisse de 1,1% vs 2022, avec bien entendu des divergences sectorielles importantes. C’est toutefois la baisse des taux, intervenue depuis fin septembre, qui a davantage drivé les performances boursières, à l’instar de la Technology et des Consum...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Leonardo : After 6 months at the helm, Roberto Cingolani attempts to m...

>Robust order intake in Q3 – EBITA in line – Further progress in reducing the seasonality of FCF - The cause for satisfaction in Q3 lies in the order intake which reached € 4.6bn, well ahead of consensus expectations at € 3.9bn, and what is more with no major orders, giving a book-to-bill of 1.36x. The performance is particularly robust in defence electronics (B/B of 1.6x) with just a single notable order to supply radars to the Italian air force. FOCF burn was also l...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Leonardo : Après 6 mois à la barre, R. Cingolani tente de faire bouger...

>Solides prises de commande au T3 – EBITA en ligne – Nouvelle progression dans la réduction de la saisonnalité du FCF - La satisfaction du T3 se trouve dans les prises de commandes qui atteignent 4.6 Md€, largement au-delà des attentes du consensus de 3.9 Md€, qui plus est sans commande majeure, soit un book-to-bill de 1.36x. La performance est particulièrement solide chez Defence Electronics (B/B de 1.6x) avec une seule commande notable pour la fourniture de radars p...

Leonardo S.p.A.: 1 director

A director at Leonardo S.p.A. bought 5,000 shares at 13.540EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 57/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Usama Tariq
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/10/2023

Last week we held our third ODDO BHF Iberian Forum, the third since the announcement of our partnership with BBVA. The event was fully virtual and took place on 4 and 5 October. With 62 Iberian issuers, close to 180 institutional investors and more than 700 meetings, this is one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences held this year. This note brings together 47 feedback documents, with 6 target price revisions (o/w 4 downgrades). The main subjects of debate were, on the one han...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+3)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 10/10/2023

Malgré une période de profits exceptionnels depuis 2 ans, RWE a connu une performance boursière atone (hors dividendes). Pourtant la période qui s’ouvre et les besoins d’investissements massifs sont typiquement le cocktail idéal pour la création de valeur de long terme. Le titre est passé d’une prime de 30% vs indice à une décote de 17% avec une accélération depuis septembre et les déboires de l’éolien offshore aux US. Nous estimons que les niveaux actuels sont propices à un retour su...

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+3)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/10/2023

Despite a period of exceptional profits over the past two years, RWE’s share price performance has been flat (excluding dividends). But massive investment needs over the coming years are typically the ideal cocktail for long-term value creation. The stock’s 30% premium to the index has morphed into a 17% discount, with the downward trend accelerating since September following setbacks to US offshore wind. We think this is a good time to return to the stock at current valuation levels....

Charlotte Vaisse ... (+5)
  • Charlotte Vaisse
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Usama Tariq
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/10/2023

Last week we held our third ODDO BHF Iberian Forum, the third since the announcement of our partnership with BBVA. The event was fully virtual and took place on 4 and 5 October. With 62 Iberian issuers, close to 180 institutional investors and more than 700 meetings, this is one of the largest dedicated Iberian conferences held this year. This note brings together 47 feedback documents, with 6 target price revisions (o/w 4 downgrades). The main subjects of debate were, on the one han...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Q3 preview engine makers - preference for Safran maintained vs ...

>Aftermarket momentum still positive for engine manufacturers but greater upside for Safran - At Safran, Q3 will have benefited from the increase in spare parts prices (at 01/08) and early buying that will in our view push civil aftermarket sales growth to 33% in USD (vs 35% in Q2 and 38.1% in Q1 and 23.7% for Visible Alpha), i.e. sequential growth that we estimate at around 14%. At MTU, we estimate growth at 20% (including early buying ahead of the price increases t...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Preview T3 motoristes - Préférence maintenue pour Safran vs MTU

>Une dynamique après-vente toujours positive pour les motoristes mais un upside plus important coté Safran - Chez Safran, le T3 aura bénéficié de l’augmentation des tarifs de pièces détachées (au 01/08) et d’achats par anticipation qui pousseront, selon nous, la croissance de l’après-vente civile à 33% en USD (vs. 35% au T2 et 38.1% au T1 et 23.7% pour Visible Alpha), soit une croissance séquentielle que nous estimons à c14%. Chez MTU, nous modélisons cette croissanc...

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