The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
We initiate coverage of Zabka Group (Zabka), a dynamically growing leader (adj. net profit CAGR 2025-2028e of 27%) in convenience shopping in Poland, with an Outperform rating and a target price of PLN 30. The group is engaging time constrained customers with a differentiated proposition while benefitting from secular trends and a supportive macro backdrop. At our target price, Zabka would trade above closest peer Dino, while operating a business model that is less exposed to grocery market pric...
AEGON: 3Q in line, UK weak, all eyes on CMD in December. DEME Group: Going into 2026 with a stable order book. D'Ieteren: North America Beron peer Boyd confirms positive l/l in 3Q25, further improvement in 4Q25. KBC: 3Q above, increase in FY25 guidance across the board, first SRT is sizeable. Ontex: Peer Essity acquires Edgewell's Feminine Care activity. SBM Offshore: Progression in markets and earnings. Zabka: CVC and PG sell 100m shares via ABB
ABN Amro: 3Q mixed, NIBC M&A good value for money. Adyen: CMD highlights – confident on long-term growth Belgian Telecoms: Digi Belgium raises €104.5m in capital, after €80m capital increase in July. CM.com: Raises €5m through private placement. Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: Potential bidder for Carrefour Romania. Events Calendar
Adyen: Preview Investor Day Aperam: In line 3Q25 EBITDA, soft 4Q25 guidance balanced by optimism on EU trade action and FCF beat Brunel: 3Q25 beats; outlook FY25 in line but trend NL and cash position weaker CM.com: Rejects Bird's offer Euronext: Records, beats, buybacks and upgrades GBL: 3Q25 a bit light Kinepolis: Canadian peer Cineplex 3Q25 Results and October 2025 Box office revenue NEPI Rockcastle: COO appointed as new CEO Proximus: Major cut to Global 2026 EBITDA, in line 3Q, 2025 FCF guid...
We reiterate our HOLD on Zabka, as well as our PLN23 target price. We continue to like Zabka's long-term growth potential but are concerned by the disappointing delivery in like-for-like growth since the group's IPO. This is offset, however, by a faster roll-out of new stores, which in our view safeguards the group's high growth equity story for the time being. The valuation multiples we attach to Zabka remain broadly unchanged at 13.0x EV/Adj. EBIT 2026F and 18x Normalised PER 2026F, reflecting...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 3Q25 results review – 55% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 3Q25 results review – 10% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 28% yoy, to PLN 18.4m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Richter: weak 3Q25 across all segments NEGATIVE • CTP: 3Q25 – in line, FY targets reiterated NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 3Q25 results in line operationally NEUTRAL • Sok ...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
AB InBev: The interim is back. Arcadis: Slow return to organic growth, FCF disappoints. Ayvens: Keeping its promise. dsm-firmenich: Waiting for Godot. D'Ieteren: Boyd prelim 3Q25, $1.3bn M&A deal, NYSE listing, $780m capital increase. Flow Traders: Down but not out. Ontex: FY25F guidance confirmed despite a modestly softer 3Q25. Recticel: Weak 3Q25 but comforting outlook. Shell plc: Solid story with cash continuing to come in strongly. TKH Group: Preview - subsea remains in foc...
Adyen: 3Q25 results – solid net revenue, FY25 guidance reiterated. Aedifica: Guidance raised, positive tenant trends and good portfolio valuation. Ageas: China Taiping Life 3Q25 Solvency much lower, remains solid. Allfunds Group PLC: Strong flows. ASM International: 3Q25 results - disappointing orders, much better margins. Corbion: Iron wills and nerves of steel. Lotus Bakeries: peer Mondelez 3Q25 results. Melexis: 3Q25 results, ongoing gross margin pressure. Staffing: Dutch figs...
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: solid 3Q25 bottom line, but waiting for a change of strategic investor NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q25 results do not bring much to the table NEUTRAL • Zabka: 3Q25 a notch above the consensus POSITIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 3Q25 results – sales up 59% yoy, to PLN 7.34m POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 results – CCS EBITDA above estimates POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 results – net income beat NEUTRAL • Borouge: 3Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 fin...
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