reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DOC AV; PKN PW; PZU PW; TXT PW; MOL HB; H2O RO; MTLN GA; M...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: mixed 3Q FY26 P&L results; strong FCFF generation, double vs. last year NEUTRAL • Orlen: acquires stake in the Afrodite discovery in Norway NEUTRAL • PZU: 4Q25E results preview (due on 26 February) • Text: 3Q25-26E preview – 28% yoy EBITDA decline expected (due on 26 February) • MOL: to explore for oil and gas in Libya with TPAO and Repsol POSITIVE • Hidroelectrica: preliminary 4Q25 total volumes sold 18% above our estimate POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: secures access ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; WPL PW; BDX PW; PKN PW; INPST NA; ENA PW; TPE PW;...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
NLBR NLB GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
- Oleg Galbur
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
REL RELX PLC
DG VINCI SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
SK SEB SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
ORSTED ORSTED
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ENEL ENEL SPA
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SNP PETROM S.A.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
REL RELX PLC
DG VINCI SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
SK SEB SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
MMK MAYR-MELNHOF KARTON AG
CPG COMPASS GROUP PLC
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
IAG INTERNATIONAL CONSOLIDATED AIRLINES GROUP SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
ORSTED ORSTED
EZJ EASYJET PLC
ENEL ENEL SPA
RY4C RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG
COLO B COLOPLAST A/S CLASS B
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SNP PETROM S.A.
BBVA BANCO BILBAO VIZCAYA ARGENTARIA S.A.
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
LIN LINDE PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; TPE PW; ENA PW; WPL PW; CZ Macro; MTELEKOM HB; BR...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: January 2026 – cold comfort for gas
Brent crude oil prices have finally stopped falling, bouncing by USD 3.1/bbl in January 2026. In December 2025, a small increase in oil production from OPEC was offset by declines in Russia and Kazakhstan. The WOOD benchmark refining margin rose slightly, but company margins declined. Olefin prices increased, while naphtha prices were stagnant, bringing some respite to petrochemicals.
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
INF INFOTEL SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
AUB AUBAY SA
DSV DSV PANALPINA A/S
ATE ALTEN SA
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
COK CANCOM SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ADN1 ADESSO AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
ALSN ALSO HOLDING AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
ECONT ECONOCOM GROUP SE CLASS D
REY REPLY S.P.A.
AEIN ALLGEIER HOLDING AG
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
NA9 NAGARRO
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ATO ATOS SE
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Thomas Zlowodzki
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
DBK DEUTSCHE BANK AG
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
INF INFOTEL SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
AUB AUBAY SA
DSV DSV PANALPINA A/S
ATE ALTEN SA
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
COK CANCOM SE
BC8 BECHTLE AG
ADN1 ADESSO AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
ALSN ALSO HOLDING AG
SNP PETROM S.A.
ECONT ECONOCOM GROUP SE CLASS D
REY REPLY S.P.A.
AEIN ALLGEIER HOLDING AG
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
NA9 NAGARRO
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
GSK GSK PLC
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ATO ATOS SE
MICC MAGNUM ICE CREAM COMPANY N.V. (THE)
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; Polish media; DVL PW; SNP RO; BELA GA; Turkish aut...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
BAER JULIUS BAER GRUPPE AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SHEL SHELL PLC
SGSN SGS SA
- Oliver Metzger
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
BN DANONE SA
BAER JULIUS BAER GRUPPE AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DEMANT DEMANT A/S
ITRK INTERTEK GROUP PLC
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
AKZA AKZO NOBEL N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SHEL SHELL PLC
SGSN SGS SA
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
R22 R22
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
VRC VERCOM SA
SHO SHOPER SA
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
- Oleg Galbur
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; XTB PW; CCC PW; OPL PW; HUG PW; TEN PW; RBW PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik (BUY, PT TRY 207.5): 4Q25 results – in line operationally NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • CCC: acquisition of controlling stake in MKRI NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: fined PLN 34m by Poland's antitrust regulator NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate down 1% mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: January 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA marginally above zero in...
CEZ CEZ AS
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
RICHT RICHTER
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
HUGE HUUUGE
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
BOROUGE BOROUGE
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
DVL DEVELIA SA
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
RICHT RICHTER
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
XTB X-TRADE BROKERS DOM MAKLERSKI SA
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
H2O ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SPLUS HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
ZAB THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
PE RO ZABKA GROUP
PREMIER ENERGY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; CCC PW; ALE PW; INPST NA; BDX PW; SPL PW; SNP RO;...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
- Research Team
- Bram Buring
- CFA
- Jonathan Lamb
Orlen: what a year that was (downgraded to HOLD)
We have downgraded Orlen to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price target (PT) of PLN 102.7 (from PLN 73.3), offering upside of -2.2%. For Orlen, 2025 was an annus mirabilis and the share price broke new records, so we see limited upside from here. Gas prices fell in 2025, lowering our expectations for upstream and supply EBITDA. Capex in 2025E was below plan, but we expect negative FCF in 2026-27E. Acquisitions and discoveries keep Orlen’s upstream segment on a growing trajectory, while the first of...
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