New analysis on Scemblix, the IgAN franchise & Zolgensma means we upgrade our 2028 EPS by 13% & are 15% above cons. We show Scemblix could hit $5bn at peak & following analysis of the IgAN franchise, we forecast $5bn sales in 2028 ($2.7bn above cons). Whilst 2025 EPS needs to fall by 2-3% to account for FX (and possibly Part D reform), we see significant potential for upgrades as the year progresses and Scemblix, Kisqali, Kesimpta & Cosentyx in HS continue to outperform. We see further upside fr...
A director at Novartis AG sold 1,807 shares at 92.582CHF and the significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly show...
In the aftermath of the H224 Healthcare correction, we look forward to 2025 with a more focused stock specific approach We show sector fundamentals have remained robust despite the correction. We see 4 key themes for the Pharma sector in 2025; 1) 2025 is a very strong year for important pipeline readouts, 2) The volume impact of Medicare Part D reform will dominate the narrative in H125 & continue to be a tailwind into 2026, 3) Margin expansion should be robust at a sector level, 4) Biotech M&A...
>Prefer quality over quantity - At its CMD in London yesterday, Novartis confirmed its pure player positioning in innovative medicine and its strategy focused on four therapeutic areas (cardiovascular/renal, oncology, neuroscience and immunology), five technological platforms and four geographical regions (US, China, Germany, Japan). We note the ambition to continue to improve R&D productivity by reducing the time-to-market (in part thanks to the use of AI) and focus...
>Privilégier la qualité à la quantité - Dans le cadre de son CMD qui s’est tenu hier à Londres, Novartis a confirmé son positionnement pure player médecine innovante et sa stratégie centrée sur 4 aires thérapeutiques (cardiovasculaire/rénal, oncologie, neuroscience et immunologie), 5 plateformes technologiques et 4 zones géographiques (US, Chine, Allemagne, Japon). Nous notons une volonté de continuer à améliorer la productivité de la R&D en réduisant le time-to-mark...
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