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Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/05/2024

Founded in 1959, Leifheit AG is one of the leading European brand suppliers of household items. The group divides its operating business into the household, wellbeing and private label segments. In view of its growing turnover (CAGR of +2.8% for 2023 to 2026e) and EBIT margins (+290bp to 5.2% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as its solid financial profile (equity ratio of about 50%, average net cash position of c. € 40m for 2024e to 2026e, average positive FCF of c. € 11m for 2024e to 2026e...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/03/2024

Founded in 1959, Leifheit AG is one of the leading European brand suppliers of household items. The group divides its operating business into the household, wellbeing and private label segments. In view of its growing turnover (CAGR of +2.8% for 2023 to 2026e) and EBIT margins (+290bp to 5.2% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as its solid financial profile (equity ratio of about 50%, average net cash position of c. € 40m for 2024e to 2026e, average positive FCF of c. € 11m for 2024e to 2026e...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

Aperam : Decent Q1 set of results, Q2 outlook on higher demand but mar...

>Soft results as expected with stainless weakness offset by recycling and alloys - Aperam delivered decent Q1 results with adjusted EBITDA at € 55m, stable on Q4 in line with the group guidance and above the consensus at € 52m and our own expectations of € 48m. Positively, the core Stainless & Electrical division returned to profits (€ 14m EBITDA), although that was mostly driven by lower inventory valuation losses. Volumes were otherwise decent notably in Europe (per...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aperam: In-line 1Q24 EBITDA, FCF marked by WC build, 2Q24 guidance below consensus. Ayvens: Taking the brakes off. BAM: Not the best start to the year. bpost: 1Q24 in line with consensus but beat vs INGF, no outlook yet. Brunel International: good set of 1Q24 results – 5% beat on EBIT, comforting trends. B&S Group: Preview - should be a non-event. DEME Group: Preview - should be a non-event. D'Ieteren: Febiac April registrations flat YoY, VW brands up 8.4%. GBL: NAV per share in ...

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

LNA Santé : Q1 2024 revenue: solid - 2024 healthcare tariffs not parti...

>Q1 revenue: robust organic growth - LNA Santé has reported Q1 revenue of € 189.3m, up 6.9% (+6.9% l-f-l). Occupancy rates at cruising speed, excl. hospital care at home, stood at 99%, up 1.6 points vs Q1 2023. LNA reiterated its target for organic growth of 4.5%, i.e. operating income of >€ 750m (i.e. >+4.2%) for an EBITDA margin excl. IFRS of 11% (vs 10.8% in 2023). That said, LNA noted the latest elements relating to 1/ the 2024 tariff campaign for post-acute/...

Emna Ben Bdira ... (+2)
  • Emna Ben Bdira
  • Maxime Kogge

Aperam : Decent Q1 set of results, Q2 outlook on higher demand but mar...

>Soft results as expected with stainless weakness offset by recycling and alloys - Aperam delivered decent Q1 results with adjusted EBITDA at € 55m, stable on Q4 in line with the group guidance and above the consensus at € 52m and our own expectations of € 48m. Positively, the core Stainless & Electrical division returned to profits (€ 14m EBITDA), although that was mostly driven by lower inventory valuation losses. Volumes were otherwise decent notably in Europe (per...

Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
  • Christophe-Raphaël Ganet

LNA Santé : CA T1 2024 : solide – Tarifs sanitaires 2024 peu encourage...

>CA T1 : une croissance organique robuste - LNA Santé publie un CA T1 à 189,3 M€, une hausse de 6,9% (+6,9% à ptc.). Le taux d’occupation des établissements en régime de croisière, hors HAD, ressort à 99%, en hausse de 1,6 point par rapport au T1 2023. LNA renouvelle son objectif de croissance organique à 4,5% soit un CA Exploitation de >750 M€ (ie. >+4,2%) pour une marge d’EBITDA hors IFRS à 11% (vs 10,8% en 2023). Toutefois, LNA insiste sur les derniers élément...

 PRESS RELEASE

Aperam - Résultats du premier trimestre 2024 : “Les activités non trad...

Aperam S.A. / Mot-clé(s) : Résultat trimestriel Aperam - Résultats du premier trimestre 2024 : “Les activités non traditionnelles font preuve de résilience face à la récession industrielle” 03-Mai-2024 / 06:59 CET/CEST Résultats du premier trimestre 20241 "Les activités non traditionnelles font preuve de résilience face à la récession industrielle"   Luxembourg, le 3 mai 2024  (07:00 CET) - Aperam (« Aperam », ou la « Société») (Amsterdam, Luxembourg, Paris, Bruxelles: APAM et NYRS: APEMY), a annoncé aujourd’hui ses résultats pour le trimestre se terminant le 31 mars 2024.   ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Aperam - First quarter 2024 results: “Non-traditional activities prove...

Aperam S.A. / Key word(s): Quarter Results Aperam - First quarter 2024 results: “Non-traditional activities prove resilient in the industrial recession” 03-May-2024 / 06:59 CET/CEST First quarter 2024 results1   “Non-traditional activities prove resilient in the industrial recession”   Luxembourg, May 3, 2024 (07:00 CET) - Aperam (referred to as “Aperam” or the “Company”) (Amsterdam, Luxembourg, Paris, Brussels: APAM, NYRS: APEMY), announced today results for the three months ended March 31, 2024.  Highlights Health and Safety: LTI frequency rate of 1.5x in Q1 2024 comp...

Frank Claassen
  • Frank Claassen

Aperam - Have we now seen the trough quarter?

•              Q1 EBITDA was in line, while the outlook of a higher Q2 is encouraging. •              Nevertheless, improvement is already anticipated and we do not expect to materially change our estimates.   •              We stick to our Hold rating with a TP of EUR 30, based on our 2025E SOTP with an overall target EV/EBITDA of around 5x.

 PRESS RELEASE

Aperam annonce les résultats de son Assemblée Générale

Aperam S.A. / Mot-clé(s) : Assemblée générale Aperam annonce les résultats de son Assemblée Générale 30-Avr-2024 / 16:59 CET/CEST   Aperam annonce les résultats de son Assemblée Générale Annuelle   Luxembourg, 30 Avril 2024 (17:00 CET) - L’Assemblée Générale Annuelle qui s’est tenue aujourd’hui à Luxembourg a approuvé à une large majorité toutes les résolutions à l’ordre du jour. Des dispositions ont été prises pour permettre aux actionnaires de voter en présentiel, par voie électronique et par procuration.   Les résultats seront publiés sous peu sur "Investors" - “Equity ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Aperam announces results of its General Meeting

Aperam S.A. / Key word(s): AGM/EGM Aperam announces results of its General Meeting 30-Apr-2024 / 16:59 CET/CEST   Aperam announces results of its Annual General Meeting   Luxembourg April 30, 2024 (17:00 CET) - The Annual General Meeting of shareholders (“the General Meeting”) of Aperam held today approved all resolutions on the agenda by a large majority. Arrangements were made to allow shareholders to vote physically, electronically and by proxy voting.   The results of the votes will be posted in due course on under "Investors" - “Equity Investors” - "Annual General Meet...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/30/2024

BHP's bid for Anglo American has confirmed interest from miners in copper in the context of increasingly challenged production and difficulties in fully completing projects. Anglo’s (Neutral) prospects in copper are now better valued and this is also the case for BHP (Neutral vs Underperform) although not so for Rio Tinto (Outperform vs Neutral). Downstream, Nexans and Montana Aerospace are our Top Picks (Outperform) vs Aurubis, Rexel and Prysmian (Neutral). - ...

Jean Danjou ... (+2)
  • Jean Danjou
  • Oliver Metzger

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 30/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

L’offre de BHP sur Anglo American a confirmé l’intérêt des minières pour le cuivre dans un contexte de tensions croissantes sur la production et de difficultés à faire aboutir les projets. Les perspectives d’Anglo (Neutre) dans le cuivre sont désormais mieux valorisées, c’est aussi le cas de BHP (Neutre vs Sous-performance) mais pas encore assez, selon nous, sur Rio Tinto (Surperformance vs Neutre). En aval, Nexans et Montana Aerospace sont nos valeurs préférées (Surperformance) vs Au...

Figeac Aero: 1 director

A director at Figeac Aero maiden bought 8,000 shares at 5.500EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 54/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

Nokian Renkaat Oyj : Début d’année plus difficile que prévu

>Résultats inférieurs aux attentes mais guidance confirmée - Nokian Tyres a publié des résultats T1 2024 nettement inférieurs à nos attentes et celles du consensus avec un CA seulement stable à 237 M€ (consensus 265 M€) et un EBIT ajusté de -15 M€ (consensus +4 M€, ODDO BHF -3 M€), notamment pénalisé par des facteurs externes (grèves en Finlande, impacts Mer Rouge) qui ont davantage impacté sa production que ce que nous anticipions (impact CA de ~25 M€ au T1) et qui ...

Anthony Dick ... (+2)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis

Nokian Renkaat Oyj : A tougher start to the year than expected

>Earnings short of estimates but guidance confirmed - Nokian Tyres reported Q1 2024 earnings far below our estimates and those of the consensus with sales merely stable at € 237m (consensus € 265m and adjusted EBIT of -€ 15m (consensus +€ 4m, ODDO BHF -€ 3m), notably penalised by external factors (strikes in Finland, disruptions in the Red Sea) which have hit the group’s production harder than we expected (sales impact of ~€ 25m in Q1), and which should continue to af...

Stijn Demeester
  • Stijn Demeester

Aperam/Model update and 1Q24 preview/BUY

We lower our 2024F-25F Adj. EBITDA estimates ahead of Aperam's 1Q24 results, mainly to reflect a delayed recovery in the European stainless steel market. Limited recovery is being seen in 1H24 market trends. We maintain our BUY, on the back of Aperam's attractive earnings recovery potential once market conditions normalise.

Miika Ihamaki
  • Miika Ihamaki

Nokian Tyres (Hold, TP: EUR9.00) - Soft Q1, with or without setbacks

The Q1 results were below our expectations, even after adjusting for the negatives on the group profit from the political strikes in Finland and the Red Sea conflict. On a positive note, the PCT price/mix was guided to hold up well, partly offsetting our revised lower sales expectations, while the Romanian factory appears to be ramping up on schedule. We reiterate our HOLD but have cut our target price to EUR9.0 (9.5), after lowering our 2024–2026e clean EBIT by c6% on average.

Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

Melexis/Slower growth period/HOLD

Melexis reported a comforting 1Q24 update pointing towards an end of destocking. The company is performing relatively well taking into account the weakness in automotive production. This is supported by R&D driving good levels of design wins. We leave our estimates largely unchanged but we still expect below average growth for 2024-25F on the back of limited car production growth and above-average price pressure. We reiterate our HOLD rating and maintain our DCF-based target of €85.

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