In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in June 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on deve...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in May 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on devel...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in April 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on dev...
The Asia Trade Book for April 2025 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in March 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on dev...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in February 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in January 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
In our inaugural Asia Monthly for 2025, we share our regional credit outlook for the year, with a focus on China, Macau, India and Indonesia. We also provide a review of 2024, in which we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements for the year. In addition, we provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases in December 2024, summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well a...
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in November 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on ...
The Asia Trade Book for November 2024 includes a summary of our recommendations, as well as our high-conviction ideas. The report also features relative-value charts and lists of the bonds across Asia HY and crossover credits. Please reach out to our analysts to discuss any of these ideas, or other trade recommendations from our Asia coverage.
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in October 2024. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the Top/Bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on d...
The Politburo sent a clearer message of support for the housing market. However, the industry is still under great pressure, with property sales negatively impacted by COVID-19 restrictions in April and financing for developers turning even tighter. Apr 22’s Top 100 contracted sales declined 16.2% mom and 58.6% yoy, indicating that homebuyers are shunning debt-laden private developers. We think the possibility of easing of financing regulations may be rising. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
3M22 property FAI slowed to +0.7% yoy, new construction starts slumped to -17.5% yoy while land transacted area declined 41.8% yoy. The gloomy market outlook coupled with tight liquidity conditions are hurting appetite for land acquisitions. 3M22 home sales value slumped 25.6% yoy and home inventory shrank 2.64% mom, partly attributable to the slower pace of new project launches. Sporadic lockdowns may defer the housing market’s recovery in core cities to 2H22. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
The regulator gave assurances that it will support the housing and capital market, calling for new policies to resolve risks in the property sector. The Finance Ministry confirmed the deferral of property tax trial. CBIRC reiterated their support in M&A financing issuance while CSRC pledged to support domestic bond issuance by private enterprises. The upcoming policy support should limit the downside potential, and coupled with the current attractive valuation, we upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGH...
Bank loans for affordable rental housing projects have been excluded from banks’ two red lines metrics. It grants easier access to cheap financing to encourage new investments in the segment. Rental housing operators will assess the net impact of obtaining affordable rental housing certification based on operational conditions. More policy support is needed to ensure a sustainable business model and investment attractiveness of the segment. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just awarded an improved star rating to SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS (HK), active in the Real Estate Holding & Development industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title receives an improved star rating and now shows 2 out of 4 possible stars. Given its market behaviour as risky, theScreener considers that these elements allowing slightly upgrading its general evaluation to Slightly Negative; the title, however, remains unattractive. As of the an...
2021 property FAI rose 4.4% yoy, the lowest since 2015. Tight liquidity and gloomy market outlook have dampened developers’ appetite, with new construction starts declining 31.2% yoy in Dec 21. Dec 21 property sales rebounded by 40% mom, driven by aggressive project launches and pricing strategies. New home prices slid another 0.3% mom in Dec 21. Waning investor confidence is expected to restrain developers’ debt raising ability from the primary market. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
Over 80% of the leading developers failed to achieve their sales targets in 2021 while SOE developers generally outperformed the industry. The financing environment remains challenging as the recent easing measures only benefitted “high-quality” developers. M&A financing for SOEs could be exempted from Three Red Line limitations while the Guangdong provincial government is reported to be facilitating M&As in the industry. Policies continue to favour SOEs. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
Be wary of the spillover effects from the potential default events in the sector which would also weigh on market sentiment. Keep an eye on the potential interventions from the regulators and the magnitude of the corresponding policy changes. Property sales and home prices further softened in November, with the market yet to bottom. Developers are more aggressive with their pricing strategies in order to close the gap with their annual sales targets. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT.
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