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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

A good start to the year

Q1 EPS 7% above, but some special elements. Backlog implies revenue estimates are robust. Strong momentum, high expectations - HOLD.

 PRESS RELEASE

Mowi ASA – Successful placement of new senior unsecured green bonds

Mowi ASA – Successful placement of new senior unsecured green bonds Bergen, 25 April 2024 – Reference is made to the stock exchange notice from 22 April 2024. Today, Mowi ASA (rated BBB+/Stable by Nordic Credit Rating) has successfully issued a total of NOK 3,500 million (EUR 298 million) of new senior unsecured green bonds split between two tranches. NOK 2,500 million (EUR 213 million) has been issued with a tenor of 5 years and a coupon of 3-month Nibor + 1.13% margin p.a., and NOK 1,000 million (EUR 85 million) has been issued with a tenor of 8 years and a fixed coupon of 3-month Nibor +...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

Rich in growth, quality and valuation

Still growing well into Q1e. Strong tailwinds in Defence, but within expectations. Strong growth into the end of the decade priced in - HOLD.

 PRESS RELEASE

Mowi ASA – Green Bond Mandate Announcement and Fixed Income Investor M...

Mowi ASA – Green Bond Mandate Announcement and Fixed Income Investor Meetings Bergen, 22 April 2024 – Reference is made to the stock exchange notice published 26 March 2024 where Mowi announced the assignment of a BBB+ investment grade rating with stable outlook from Nordic Credit Rating. Mowi has mandated Danske Bank (Green Bond Advisor), DNB Markets, Nordea and SEB as Global Coordinators and Joint Lead Managers, and ABN AMRO, Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank and Rabobank as Joint Lead Managers to arrange a series of physical and virtual fixed income investor meetings commenc...

Niclas Gehin
  • Niclas Gehin

Kongsberg Gruppen (Hold, TP: NOK780.00) - NATO spending sets the tone

We have downgraded to HOLD (BUY), but raised our target price to NOK780 (680), as we believe the valuation now reflects a probable NATO defence-spending ramp-up. Based on our analysis of various Western defence-budget scenarios and the correlation to Kongsberg Gruppen’s growth and valuation, we find the following priced in: by 2030, all non-US NATO defence spending rising to 2.5% of GDP, the equipment share of spending increasing from 30% to 40%, and Kongsberg Gruppen’s EBITDA margin expanding f...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Mowi (Buy, TP: NOK235.00) - Q1 EBIT miss, but worst looks over

Mowi reported Q1 operating EBIT of EUR201m, versus our estimate of EUR234m and consensus of EUR230m, which had been lowered from ~EUR270m a few months ago. Profit warnings from peers and available market data suggested fish downgrades in Norway would be an issue, but were actually more than we expected. However, the worst seems over, and while we have cut our Q1–Q2e earnings from Norway, and 2024e EPS by 3.3%, we reiterate our BUY and NOK235 target price.

 PRESS RELEASE

Mowi ASA (OSE:MOWI): Q1 2024 Trading update

Mowi ASA (OSE:MOWI): Q1 2024 Trading update Harvest volumes Q1 2024 (1) Farming Norway55.0 thousand tonnesFarming Scotland14.5 thousand tonnesFarming Chile12.5 thousand tonnesFarming Canada8.5 thousand tonnesFarming Ireland1.0 thousand tonnesFarming Faroes2.5 thousand tonnesFarming Iceland (Arctic Fish)2.5 thousand tonnesTotal96.5 thousand tonnes   Note:(1) The harvest volumes are provided in gutted weight equivalents (GWE). Additional information Operational EBIT for the Group was approximately EUR 201 million in Q1 2024. Blended farming cost was EUR 6.05 per kg in the quarter. Issues w...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Bakkafrost (Hold, TP: NOK590.00) - Strong Q1e coming up

We expect Q1 operating EBIT of DKK666m (8% above consensus of DKK615m), driven by higher harvest volumes, as EBIT/kg margins are broadly in line (our estimated group EBIT/kg is DKK30.8 versus consensus of DKK31.2). Faroe Islands harvested 14.3kt in Q1 and we expect solid average harvest weights, while Scotland harvested 7.3kt. We expect high superior shares in both regions. For the Fishmeal, Oil and Feed segment, we expect EBIT of DKK162m, in line with consensus of DKK164m. The Q1 report is due ...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Mowi (Buy, TP: NOK235.00) - Unjustified discount to peers

We forecast Q1 operating EBIT of EUR234m, 9% below consensus of EUR258m (results due at 06:30 CET on 8 May). With a solid operating track record in Norway and rebound potential in several international farming regions, we find Mowi’s 35% discount to Bakkafrost and SalMar on a blended 12-month forward P/E unjustified. We reiterate our BUY and NOK235 target price.

 PRESS RELEASE

Mowi ASA Assigned BBB+ Investment Grade Rating With a Stable Outlook F...

Mowi ASA Assigned BBB+ Investment Grade Rating With a Stable Outlook From Nordic Credit Rating Nordic Credit Rating has today assigned a first-time long-term issuer credit rating of BBB+ with a stable outlook to Mowi ASA. The credit rating report from Nordic Credit Rating can be found here:

 PRESS RELEASE

Mowi ASA: Integrated Annual Report 2023

Mowi ASA: Integrated Annual Report 2023 Mowi has today published its 2023 Integrated Annual Report, including sustainability reporting and complete 2023 annual accounts with notes. The integrated report is attached, available in European Single Electronic Format (ESEF) and has been published on The Green Financing Impact Report for 2023 in relation to Mowi’s EUR 200 million Green Bond issuance has also been published today and is available on our website /investors/share-and-bond/bonds/This information is subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to section of 5-12 of the Norwegian S...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

The quality report

Knowing who has the best farming locations, production areas and operations is key to assessing future performance potential. Our extensive asset quality research findings suggest SalMar has the best sites, and the best MAB portfolio, while Mowi has outperformed its benchmark the most and has the most conservative estimates versus our expectations. Grieg Seafood is the most undervalued and Lerøy Seafood has the highest margin rebound potential in our view.

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