reports
- Mattias Holmberg
Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK515.00) - Marine margin thesis playing out
Alfa Laval had an optically weak quarter, but it was clean in operational performance. Early signs of macro caution emerged through a newly introduced “cost prudence initiative” and repeated comments pointing to softer Marine order intake from Q2, but overall stable demand for the group. Still, margin execution was strong, with Marine reaching 21.8%, confirming our positive thesis in the stock, which is now one of the few in the sector where we expect earnings growth YOY in 2025. We have cut our...
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Christoffer Wang Bjørnsen
Telenor (Sell, TP: NOK140.00) - Q1e slightly below consensus
We have made only limited estimate changes (except for an accounting change for the treatment of write-offs in associates) and are slightly below consensus on Q1e revenues, service revenues, adj. EBITDA, net profit and FCF. With Nordics opex cuts looking set to be back-end loaded this year, we expect Q1 to be a relatively uneventful quarter. We will look for more clarity on lower-quality cash flow tailwinds with regard to Telenor’s ability to cover its dividends with FCF before M&A this year, wh...
- ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
- Fredrik Stensved
- Markus Henriksson
- Oscar Lindquist
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Simen Mortensen
Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations
Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Simen Mortensen
Skanska (Buy, TP: SEK270.00) - Q1e risk, but SOTP upside potential
With only a minor SEK110m divestment in ‘Central’ in the quarter, we see downside risk to consensus for Q1. However, supported by a solid balance sheet and investments in Commercial Development (CD), Investment Properties (IP) and Residential Development (RD), we see solid upside potential from an SOTP perspective, and believe capital releases remain Skanska’s main potential share price catalyst. Due to FX, we have lowered our 2025–2027e EPS by c2% on average, and our target price to SEK270 (280...
Telenor's Subsidiary KNL Signs Framework Agreement with the Finnish an...
Telenor's Subsidiary KNL Signs Framework Agreement with the Finnish and Swedish Defence Forces (Stockholm, 2 April, 2025) Telenor expands into the defence industry: Subsidiary KNL signs a ten-year contract with the Finnish and Swedish Defence Forces through NORDEFCO (Nordic Defence Cooperation) for advanced military communication technology. In a time marked by cyber threats and geopolitical tensions, Telenor has increased its presence in the defence industry. Through its Finnish subsidiary KNL, Telenor now provides critical technology for modern military operations. Pioneering Military C...
Telenors datterselskap KNL signerer rammeavtale med det finske og sven...
Telenors datterselskap KNL signerer rammeavtale med det finske og svenske forsvaret (Stockholm, 2. april 2025) Telenor forsterker sin posisjon i forsvarsindustrien: Datterselskapet KNL sikrer seg en tiårig kontrakt med det finske og svenske forsvaret gjennom NORDEFCO (Nordic Defence Cooperation) innen banebrytende militær kommunikasjonsteknologi I en tid der cybertrusler og geopolitiske spenninger preger verdensbildet, har Telenor utvidet sin tilstedeværelse i forsvarsindustrien. Gjennom det finske teknologiselskapet KNL har Telenor sikret seg en teknologi som kan vise seg å bli avgjørende...
- ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
- Oscar Rönnkvist
- Øystein Elton Lodgaard
- Simon Granath
- ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
- Herman Caspersen
- Oscar Rönnkvist
- Øystein Elton Lodgaard
Skanska AB: 1 director
A director at Skanska AB maiden bought 4,000 shares at 22.777USD and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
A-rated TMT credit investments/Better credits at similar spreads
This report updates credit investors on opportunities in the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Relx, Swisscom, and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. We provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
Jottacloud and Telenor Software Lab Merge to Build a Strong Norwegian ...
Jottacloud and Telenor Software Lab Merge to Build a Strong Norwegian Challenger in Cloud Storage Oslo, March 19, 2025 – Growing geopolitical tensions have driven European consumers to seek alternatives to international technology services. Today, Telenor and Jotta announce the merger of their cloud storage businesses, forming an all-Norwegian alternative to global players. “Most of us store our private photos on the cloud, and many are now questioning the security of data stored abroad. By merging the Norwegian cloud storage companies Jotta AS and Telenor Software Lab, we are creating a ...
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