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 PRESS RELEASE

Tryg A/S – total number of voting rights and capital

Tryg A/S – total number of voting rights and capital With reference to section 32 of the Danish Capital Markets Act (Kapitalmarkedsloven), Tryghereby publishes the company's total number of voting rights and the total share capital. After the capital decrease registered on 29 April 2024 the company's share capital was reduced by nominal DKK 92,214,355 to nominal DKK 3,081,960,545. Tryg's nominal share capital amounts to DKK 3,081,960,545 equivalent to 616.392.109 shares and 308,196,054,500 voting rights as of 30 April 2024. Attachment

Telia Company AB: 1 director

A director at Telia Company AB bought 14,100 shares at 2.140EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 50/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clear...

 PRESS RELEASE

Tryg A/S – capital reduction

Tryg A/S – capital reduction   At Tryg’s annual general meeting on 21 March 2024, it was decided to cancel repurchased shares from the Group’s share buy back programmes. The Group’s share capital is reduced by nominal DKK 92,214,355 to nominal DKK 3,081,960,545. The reduction of the share capital was announced by the Danish Business Authority on 22 March 2024. Tryg has not received any objections to the capital reduction. Therefore, the reduction is effective as the Danish Business Authority has registered the capital reduction. After the cancellation of the 18,442,871 repurchased share...

Douglas Lindahl
  • Douglas Lindahl

Hexpol (Hold, TP: SEK140.00) - Smooth operator

Despite weaker organic growth than we had expected, Q1 had strong cost control and solid margins. We have raised our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by c1% on average, having become more positive on margins. We reiterate our HOLD and SEK140 target price, continuing to see risk/reward as fairly balanced.

Stefan Gauffin
  • Stefan Gauffin

Telia Company (Buy, TP: SEK33.00) - Soft Q1, but limited revisions

Telia reported Q1 service revenue, EBITDA, and cash flow below consensus. However, with the SEK300m/year service agreement after the sale of the Danish operation, we have made limited revisions to our 2024–2025e service revenue, EBITDA, and cash flow. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to SEK33 (35).

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Alfa Laval (Buy, TP: SEK540.00) - Sit back, relax and enjoy the ride

Q1 confirmed that demand remains strong for Alfa Laval and strengthened our view that investors and consensus are exaggerating concerns about the heat pump demand slowdown and underestimating the strength of the Marine market. Alfa Laval remains our sector top pick, being an enabler of the energy transition with promising long-term growth prospects. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to SEK540 (495), having increased our 2025–2026e adj. EBITA by 6–7%.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath

Cash flow volatility was not appreciated

Q1: solid underlying growth and reiterated FCF outlook, but the market focused on the (weak) volatile cash flow in Q1. Uncertainty, limited re-rating potential and soft valuation support. HOLD.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Easily brushing HVAC weakness aside

Orders 11% higher, with Marine and Energy jumping. Sales lagged, but no major concern; adj EBITA +4%. Great exposure, visibility, financials - keep BUY

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Telia (Buy, TP: SEK33, +24%) Q1 24: Weak headline numbers, but due to...

Telia has reported a weak set of headline numbers, but consensus had not fully adjusted for the one-off items the company had flagged before the quarter. Adjusting for these items, EBITDA is c-0.5% light only. Structural OCF (SOCF) is also light vs consensus, but again, this was flagged as a phasing issue pre the quarter, and again it looks like the messaging was not fully incorporated into numbers.

ABGSC Telecom Operators Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Telecom Operators Research
  • Oscar Rönnkvist
  • Øystein Elton Lodgaard
  • Simon Granath
Tomi Railo
  • Tomi Railo

FLSmidth (Buy, TP: DKK400.00) - Another transformation year

Ahead of the Q1 results (due at 07:30 CET on 15 May), we have made relatively minor estimate changes, raising our 2024–2026e clean EPS by c2% on average. We reiterate our BUY, and have raised our target price to DKK400 (370).

Patrik Ling
  • Patrik Ling

Getinge (Buy, TP: SEK255.00) - Upgraded to BUY after Q1 beat

Q1 earnings were stronger than we expected, with no negative surprises. We believe consensus for the coming years looks realistic and that Getinge’s valuation (despite the recent share price rise) looks attractive. Thus, we have upgraded to BUY (HOLD) and have raised our target price to SEK255 (210).

 PRESS RELEASE

Tryg shares are traded ex-dividend

Tryg shares are traded ex-dividend Today, 18 April 2024, Tryg shares are traded ex-dividend of DKK 1.95. Attachment

Håkon Astrup
  • Håkon Astrup

Tryg (Buy, TP: DKK185.00) - Continued underlying improvement

Q1 PTP was down 15% YOY to DKK1,007m (as we and consensus expected), reflecting the harsh winter weather and a high-profile claim in Sweden. However, the underlying claims ratio extended its long run of improvements, ending 0.5%-points stronger YOY. Given the ongoing premium repricing and CMD in December, we expect focus to remain on maintaining underwriting discipline, supporting continued improvements. We have made limited changes to our 2025–2026e net profit, and reiterate our BUY and DKK185 ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Reporting of trading in Tryg shares by senior management and their rel...

Reporting of trading in Tryg shares by senior management and their related parties  CEO Johan Kirstein Brammer has transferred 4,365 Tryg shares at DKK 138.8 for a total amount of DKK 605,862 on 17 April 2024.                                                            Attachment

 PRESS RELEASE

Reporting of granting of Tryg shares to Allan Kragh Thaysen (CFO) and ...

Reporting of granting of Tryg shares to Allan Kragh Thaysen (CFO) and Alexandra Bastkær Winther (CCO)   Group CFO Allan Kragh Thaysen has been granted 5,002 Tryg shares for a total amount of DKK 687,775. Group CCO Alexandra Bastkær Winther has been granted 4,473 Tryg shares for a total amount of DKK 615,037. Granting of the shares are related to the bonus programme in 2020. Attachment

 PRESS RELEASE

Tryg A/S – 1. kvartals rapport 2024

Tryg A/S – 1. kvartals rapport 2024   Trygs bestyrelse har i dag godkendt 1. kvartals rapport for 2024 Tryg rapporterede et insurance service result på 1.275 mio. DKK (1.474 mio. DKK) og en combined ratio på 86,6 (84,0) i 1. kvartal 2024 påvirket negativt af højere end normalt vejr- og storskader niveau for mere end 180 mio. DKK. Den underliggende erstatningsprocent for Tryg Koncernen blev forbedret med 0,5 procentpoint, hvorimod Privat havde en forværring i den underliggende erstatningsprocent på 0,5 procentpoint påvirket af en stigning i frekvensen for motor skader. Tryg rapporterede en...

 PRESS RELEASE

Tryg A/S – Interim report Q1 2024

Tryg A/S – Interim report Q1 2024   Tryg’s Supervisory Board has today approved the Q1 2024 interim report. Tryg reported an insurance service result of DKK 1,275m (DKK 1,474m) and a combined ratio of 86.6 (84.0) in Q1 2024, adversely impacted by more than DKK 180m higher than normal weather and large claims level. The underlying claims ratio for the Group improved by 50bps, whilst the Private segment displayed a deterioration of 50bps driven by an increase in motor claims frequency. Tryg reported a top-line growth of 4.8% primarily driven by price increases to offset inflationary pressu...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Renovation rules now a reality

The Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) was approved on 12 April, requiring the modernisation of existing real estate in the EU, and will soon enter the Official Journal of the EU. Member states will have two years to incorporate the provisions into their national legislation. While Q1 is Nordic construction’s low season due to winter effects, we see some downside risk to Q1e consensus and longer-term to 2024–2026e EBIT on lower development gains. We recommend a stock-picking approa...

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