reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Industrials; Overweight Small-Caps The S&P 500 has continued to trickle higher along with positive expectations surrounding trade and Fed policy. 2,817 is the current resistance level we are watching on the S&P 500. Considering the market's melt-up, we believe potential exists for a “sell the news†event once a deal on trade is announced. At the same time, we continue to believe the market is going through a bottoming process and that a “buy the dip†mentality remains warrante...
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
ECH. ISHARES MSCI CHILE CAPPED INVESTABLE MARKET INDEX FUND
IAU ISHARES COMEX GOLD TRUST
EWL ISHARES MSCI SWITZERLAND CAPPE
EWY ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA CAPPED INDEX FUND
ITA ISHARES U.S. AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
XME SPDR S&P METALS & MINING ETF
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
XAR SPDR S&P AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE FUND
EPU ISHARES MSCI ALL PERU CAPPED E
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
XHB SPDR S&P HOMEBUILDERS ETF
IJR ISHARES S&P SMALL-CAP ETF
VEA VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED MARKETS ETF
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
UUP INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND
TUR ISHARES MSCI TURKEY ETF
VUG VANGUARD GROWTH ETF
SIL GLOBAL X SILVER MINERS ETF
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
VTV VANGUARD VALUE ETF
HEDJ WSDMTR EURP HDGD
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Real Estate and Utilities to overweight The S&P 500 peaked near 2,817 resistance following the Trump-Xi meeting at the G20 summit, and is now hovering near the critical 2,600 support level. Our baseline expectation is for continued consolidation between these support and resistance levels. The ultimate breakout or breakdown will be key in determining where the market goes longer term. Meanwhile, barring meaningful clarity on the U.S.-China trade front or Fed policy, the market remains...
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
PPH VANECK VECTORS PHARMACEUTICAL
IAU ISHARES COMEX GOLD TRUST
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
IHF ISHARES U.S. HEALTHCARE PROVID
A115LY ISHARES MSCI QATAR CAPPED ETF
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
VEA VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED MARKETS ETF
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
XHS SPDR S&P HEALTH CARE SERVICES FUND
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
UUP INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND
EIDO ISHARES MSCI INDONESIA ETF
TUR ISHARES MSCI TURKEY ETF
REZ ISHARES RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTAT
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Cautious outlook intact We continue expect additional consolidation, volatility, and potentially lower prices as the market attempts to stabilize. Important levels we are monitoring on the S&P 500 include support near 2,600 and resistance near 2,817 - which currently coincides with both the 100-day and 50-day moving averages. • Big picture trends. The growth (IUSG) vs. value (IUSV) uptrend is breaking down in favor of value -- shift exposure from growth to value. The large-cap (IVV) vs. smal...
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
IBB ISHARES NASDAQ BIOTECHNOLOGY ETF
EWZ ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL CAPPED INDEX FUND
IAU ISHARES COMEX GOLD TRUST
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
BNO US BRENT OIL FUND LP
IHF ISHARES U.S. HEALTHCARE PROVID
DBO INVESCO DB OIL FUND
A115LY ISHARES MSCI QATAR CAPPED ETF
IJR ISHARES S&P SMALL-CAP ETF
IVV ISHARES S&P 500 ETF
IUSV ISHARES CORE RUSSELL U.S. VALU
IUSG ISHARES CORE RUSSELL U.S. GROW
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
RHS INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER STAPLES ETF
RCD INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ETF
EIS ISHARES MSCI ISRAEL CAPPED ETF
XHS SPDR S&P HEALTH CARE SERVICES FUND
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
UUP INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND
A1XFFG FIDELITY MSCI TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES INDEX ETF
EIDO ISHARES MSCI INDONESIA ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Consumer Discretionary; Outlook increasingly bullish Upgrading Consumer Discretionary. The XLY's price and relative strength are breaking topside resistance to new highs... see below (right) and page 5. Market outlook and internals. Market internals continue to improve, which bolsters our increasingly bullish outlook. The Cyclicals vs. Staples ratio (XLY/XLP) continues to advance to new highs, confirming a risk-on environment. Also, one of the few previously concerning indicators we'...
SLV ISHARES SILVER TRUST
GLD SPDR GOLD TRUST
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
EWC ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
IAU ISHARES COMEX GOLD TRUST
EWQ ISHARES MSCI FRANCE ETF
EIRL ISHARES MSCI IRELAND CAPPED ET
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
THD. ISHARES MSCI THAILAND CAPPED E
SOXX ISHARES PHLX SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
ENZL ISHARES MSCI NEW ZEALAND CAPPE
SMH MARKET VECTORS SMEICONDOUCTOR ETF
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
BNO US BRENT OIL FUND LP
A2AMMR PUREFUNDS ISE MOBILE PAYMENTS ETF
SCZ ISHARES MSCI EAFE SMALL-CAP ET
EPU ISHARES MSCI ALL PERU CAPPED E
ENOR ISHARES MSCI NORWAY CAPPED ETF
EWU SPDR S&P OIL & GAS EXPLORATION ETF
XOP ISHARES NORTH AMERICAN TECH-SOFTWARE ETF
IGV BLACKROCK INSTITUTIONAL TRUST COMPANY N.A.
EWS SPDR S&P SOFTWARE AND SERVICES FUND
XSW SPDR KBW REGIONAL BANKING ETF
KRE. VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF
CRAK INVESCO DB COMMODITY INDEX TRACKING FUND
DBC INVESCO DB OIL FUND
DBO ISHARES MSCI HONG KONG ETF
EWH ISHARES U.S. OIL & GAS EXPLORA
IEO ISHARES MSCI FINLAND CAPPED INVESTABLE MARKET INDEX FUND
EFNL ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF
EWJ SPDR S&P RETAIL ETF
XRT MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Energy and Small-caps • Energy and small-caps breaking out. We are upgrading both to overweight. Continued strength in oil prices has led the XLE to breakout topside resistance... see below and page 6. Also breaking out to new highs is the Russell 2000 small-cap index (IWM)... see below and page 3. • Big picture trends: Interest rates, the USD, and commodities. The 10-year Treasury yield has continued to climb, moving as high as 3.115% last week to levels not seen since 2011. Wit...
SLV ISHARES SILVER TRUST
GLD SPDR GOLD TRUST
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
EWC ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
ECH. ISHARES MSCI CHILE CAPPED INVESTABLE MARKET INDEX FUND
IAU ISHARES COMEX GOLD TRUST
EWQ ISHARES MSCI FRANCE ETF
EWY ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA CAPPED INDEX FUND
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
THD. ISHARES MSCI THAILAND CAPPED E
IAI ISHARES U.S. BROKER-DEALERSETF
IHI ISHARES U.S. MEDICAL DEVICES E
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
DBO POWERSHARES DB OIL FUND
BNO US BRENT OIL FUND LP
SCZ ISHARES MSCI EAFE SMALL-CAP ET
EPU ISHARES MSCI ALL PERU CAPPED E
ENOR ISHARES MSCI NORWAY CAPPED ETF
EWI POWERSHARES DB COMMODITY INDEX FUND
EWU POWERSHARES DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND
DBC SPDR S&P OIL & GAS EXPLORATION ETF
UUP ISHARES NORTH AMERICAN TECH-SOFTWARE ETF
XOP BLACKROCK INSTITUTIONAL TRUST COMPANY N.A.
- Shelley Moen
Vermilion ETF Sector Charts: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Key Points: Energy: Potential reversal setting up. We indicated in our Vital Signs yesterday that many Energy stocks have RSI divergences, suggesting a rally is likely. Overweights: Financials, Health care, Manufacturing, Technology Materials: staging a reversal, with the exception of gold and silver. For a trial to Vermilion Research visit www.verilioncap.com or call our sales team at (952) 922-7500.
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