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Haidje Rustau ... (+6)
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Digi Communications, Sunrise, Telenet, Air France-KLM, Ineos Quattro, Atalian, Picard, Casino Guichard-Perrachon, Scan Global Logistics, Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet)

Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

European High Yield Investment Outlook 2025 - Lucror Analytics

In this publication, we review the past year and discuss our outlook for the next 12 months. We begin our discussion with the macro factors at play, including GDP forecasts, the geopolitical landscape and our expectations for cost inflation. We also trace the development of primary markets in the European HY space, and give our view on defaults in general as well as for our coverage universe. We then discuss sector trends and expectations, along with earnings development for companies under our ...

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Boparan, Vedanta Resources, Intrum, Tullow Oil, EnQuest Plc, TI Fluid Systems, Telenet

James Ratzer ... (+2)
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

Digi (Underweight) Telenet (Underweight) Proximus (Neutral, TP: €9.2, ...

After the launch in Portugal (HERE, HERE) Digi has now launched in Belgium. We look at the tariffs in this report, and assess whether or not Digi is viable as a new entrant.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill
Felix Fischer
  • Felix Fischer

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2024 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2024 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

Liberty Global Ltd: 1 director

A director at Liberty Global Ltd sold 20,230 shares at 13.651USD and the significance rating of the trade was 77/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Playtech, Salt, Eolo, Tele Columbus, Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, CABB, Manuchar, Canpack, Victoria, Grunenthal, Stena AB, TI Fluid Systems, Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Advanz Pharma

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Liberty Global operating companies/3Q24 Earnings: UPCB, TNETBB, ZIGGO ...

The 3Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global[a] were mixed. 3Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo and Telenet, slightly better at Sunrise, and weak at Virgin Media O2. We currently prefer Sunrise and Ziggo. Given similar credit profiles, we expect limited spread dispersion across the four companies. However, we expect that Liberty Global will look different one year from now, after (partial) network sales.

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Ian Wong
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SPIE, Teva, Digi Communications, Altice France (SFR), Telenet, Sunrise, Air France-KLM, Axactor, Victoria, Ineos, Stada, Oriflame, Casino Guichard-Perrachon, Boparan, Synthomer, NewDay

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $23, +8%) Record low service revenue trends a...

This is meant to be the quarter when the upcoming Sunrise spin should be attracting most attention and helping to crystallise value. However, we can't help but be distracted by a sharp deterioration in underlying service revenue trends as the impact of lapping lower inflation price rises and a sustained KPI loss is starting to catch up with Liberty Global.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $23, +16%) Sunrise CMD feedback and Liberty ...

The Sunrise CMD has just wrapped up – with the official spin-off from Liberty Global coming later this year. We provide our initial thoughts here on the new guidance, the valuation impact and the longer-term potential questions as the industry migrates towards higher-speed infrastructure

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Liberty Global operating companies/2Q24 Earnings: UPCB, TNETBB, ZIGGO ...

The 2Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global were mixed. 2Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo, stable at Virgin Media O2 and Sunrise, while it was weak at Telenet. We would currently prefer to own Sunrise and Ziggo. Given similar credit profiles and the same (partial) owner, Liberty Global, we expect limited spread dispersion across the group. The main challenge to this view is our idea that we expect that Lib...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral, $24, +24%) Q2 24: Deeper dive on VMO2 result...

As Liberty Global continues its transitional journey, we see two key areas of focus from the recent announcements, where we dig deeper in this note - the newly announced Belgian FTTH network sharing arrangement, and the VMO2 results & outlook.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Liberty Global operating companies/1Q24 Earnings: UPCB, TNETBB, ZIGGO ...

The 1Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global were mixed. 1Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo and Sunrise, while it was soft at Telenet and Virgin Media O2. We prefer to own Sunrise and Ziggo, today. Given similar credit profiles and the same (partial) owner at the moment, Liberty Global, we expect limited spread dispersion across the group. The main challenge to this view is our idea that we expect that Liber...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral) Q1 24 - The challenge of subscriber momentum

After the excitement of the strategic announcements in Q4, this is a quieter quarter with all FY financial guidance re-iterated. However, some of the issues that concerned shareholders with the Q4 results persist in the Q1 results: weak KPIs at VMO2 and VodafoneZiggo with limited signs of growth on the new UK nexfibre footprint. On a more positive note, Swiss broadband adds recovered to growth for the first time in a year and could help to support momentum into the Q4 demerger

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global (Neutral) Q1 24 - The challenge of subscriber momentum

After the excitement of the strategic announcements in Q4, this is a quieter quarter with all FY financial guidance re-iterated.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

FTTF Conference Summary: Top Ten Takeaways

Our Global Fiber-to-the-Future conference has just wrapped up with over 50 companies worldwide presenting their views on the state-of-play of the fiber market.

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