These are exciting times in the Benelux TMT markets. In this new Benelux Credit TMT report we discuss the most attractive corporate bonds in the Benelux and wider TMT space and provide insights into the key developments driving the Dutch broadband market. We also discuss recent developments of the names under our coverage: ASML, SES, KPN, Proximus, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Wolters Kluwer and RELX. The latter section comes from previously published Flash Notes and have been updated where needed.
A director at Liberty Global Ltd sold 45,000 shares at 11.459USD and the significance rating of the trade was 64/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
The 2Q25 earnings of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] continue to look soft. Interestingly, a network carve-out in the UK now seems off the table, while Liberty Global is working to unlock the intrinsic value of its separate businesses through divestitures, as they have done with Sunrise. Nevertheless, 2Q25 performance was underwhelming and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. Despite stable QoQ leverage, we see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is st...
Belgian telcos: Telenet small positive net adds, good financials, guidance up. Kinepolis: US Cinemark strong, 5% growth in US tickets, consumption per visitor. KPN: VodafoneZiggo 2Q25 very weak, guidance maintained. PostNL: 2Q25 beats underlying slightly; FY25 guidance reiterated, EU court appeal
The Europe HY Trade Book for May 2025 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. We also discuss the US tariff situation and key related impacts.
The 1Q25 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q24, leverage deteriorated across the board in 1Q25, while all companies lost broadband customers. We were especially disappointed by the weaker outlook for VodafoneZiggo. Although all businesses have their intrinsic strengths, there are challenges, as described below, and our conviction to buy or sell the notes is low. We see limited value in current spreads. Nevertheless, there is still ups...
The 4Q24 earnings reports of VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Sunrise and Virgin Media O2[de] were soft. When compared to 4Q23, the 4Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was weak across the board. We currently prefer Sunrise, as it guides for adj. EBITDAaL growth and lower leverage. We also like VodafoneZiggo, as there is less uncertainty with respect to a potential network carve-out than at Virgin Media O2 and Telenet. Given similar credit profiles, we expect limited spread dispersion across the four companies.
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Digi Communications, Sunrise, Telenet, Air France-KLM, Ineos Quattro, Atalian, Picard, Casino Guichard-Perrachon, Scan Global Logistics, Forvia (formerly Faurecia), Lottomatica (formerly Gamenet)
In this publication, we review the past year and discuss our outlook for the next 12 months. We begin our discussion with the macro factors at play, including GDP forecasts, the geopolitical landscape and our expectations for cost inflation. We also trace the development of primary markets in the European HY space, and give our view on defaults in general as well as for our coverage universe. We then discuss sector trends and expectations, along with earnings development for companies under our ...
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Playtech, Salt, Eolo, Tele Columbus, Telenet, VodafoneZiggo, CABB, Manuchar, Canpack, Victoria, Grunenthal, Stena AB, TI Fluid Systems, Ineos, Ineos Quattro, Advanz Pharma
The 3Q24 earnings reports of the four high yield telecom companies that are (partially) owned by Liberty Global[a] were mixed. 3Q24 adj. EBITDA performance was strong at VodafoneZiggo and Telenet, slightly better at Sunrise, and weak at Virgin Media O2. We currently prefer Sunrise and Ziggo. Given similar credit profiles, we expect limited spread dispersion across the four companies. However, we expect that Liberty Global will look different one year from now, after (partial) network sales.
In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: SPIE, Teva, Digi Communications, Altice France (SFR), Telenet, Sunrise, Air France-KLM, Axactor, Victoria, Ineos, Stada, Oriflame, Casino Guichard-Perrachon, Boparan, Synthomer, NewDay
This is meant to be the quarter when the upcoming Sunrise spin should be attracting most attention and helping to crystallise value. However, we can't help but be distracted by a sharp deterioration in underlying service revenue trends as the impact of lapping lower inflation price rises and a sustained KPI loss is starting to catch up with Liberty Global.
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