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Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - April 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Up 0.6% Thanks To ...

1M Performance - Absolute: Over the last 1M period, the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of +0.6% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (+1.8%) while multi-asset holdings posted a negative return of -0.1%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+8.1%), Brederode (+7.4%), and Texaf (+6.9%) while the 3 worst performers were HAL Trust (-4.6%), Gimv (-1.5%), and D'Ieteren Group (-1.2%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD basis, the KBCS Holdings Univer...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: 1Q24, new unexpected SBB, underlying OCG better, strong ratios across. Belgian telecoms: Digi to start with mobile. CFE: Preview - forecasting revenue numbers… D'Ieteren: Belron US peer Boyd 1Q24 below consensus, warns on 2Q24 growth. Econocom: Joins consortium formed by Onepoint and Butler Industries to acquire Atos. KBC: 1Q24 better across, special dividend, capital distribution pushed back to 1H25. Syensqo: 1Q24 a touch better, positive earnings momentum confirmed. Umicore:...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : March 2024 sales below forecasts, memory continues to underpin ...

>Global sales for March 2024 at +15.2% y-o-y (vs +16.4% in February), Q1 2024 at +15% - Worldwide semiconductor sales in March 2024 were published by the WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), with the usual one-month lag. In terms of the three-month moving average, sales came to $ 50.8bn, falling short of our estimate of $ 52.2bn, pointing to y-o-y growth +15.2% (a slight sequential decline of -0.6%). This marks a slowdown vs February, which stood at +16.4%. Q1...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Ventes de mars 2024 inférieures aux attentes, la mémoire contin...

>Ventes mondiales de mars 2024 à +15.2% yoy (vs +16.4% en février), un T1 24 à +15% - Les ventes mondiales de semiconducteurs de mars 2024 ont été publiées par la WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), avec comme toujours, un mois de décalage. En données lissées (moyenne 3 mois), elles ressortent à 50.8 Md$, inférieures à notre prévision à 52.2 Md$, en croissance annuelle de 15.2% (légère baisse en séquentiel de -0.6%). Il s’agit d’un ralentissement par rapport ...

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost 1Q24 Conference call feedback

1Q24 sales decreased 5.3% to € 993m, or 3.2% below CSS expectations driven by soft results in N-A. Although the 1Q24 adj. EBIT of € 62.1m came in below expectations (kbcse: € 71.6m, css: € 69.7m), we want to highlight that the adj. EBIT was impacted by € 7.7m in M&A costs related to the Staci acquisition. Excluding this effect, profitability was in line with expectations driven by solid cost savings in E-logistics. Additionally, bpost mentioned that it does not expect any restructuring costs in ...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/05/2024

Founded in 1959, Leifheit AG is one of the leading European brand suppliers of household items. The group divides its operating business into the household, wellbeing and private label segments. In view of its growing turnover (CAGR of +2.8% for 2023 to 2026e) and EBIT margins (+290bp to 5.2% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as its solid financial profile (equity ratio of about 50%, average net cash position of c. € 40m for 2024e to 2026e, average positive FCF of c. € 11m for 2024e to 2026e...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 05/03/2024

Founded in 1959, Leifheit AG is one of the leading European brand suppliers of household items. The group divides its operating business into the household, wellbeing and private label segments. In view of its growing turnover (CAGR of +2.8% for 2023 to 2026e) and EBIT margins (+290bp to 5.2% in 2026e vs 2023), as well as its solid financial profile (equity ratio of about 50%, average net cash position of c. € 40m for 2024e to 2026e, average positive FCF of c. € 11m for 2024e to 2026e...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aperam: In-line 1Q24 EBITDA, FCF marked by WC build, 2Q24 guidance below consensus. Ayvens: Taking the brakes off. BAM: Not the best start to the year. bpost: 1Q24 in line with consensus but beat vs INGF, no outlook yet. Brunel International: good set of 1Q24 results – 5% beat on EBIT, comforting trends. B&S Group: Preview - should be a non-event. DEME Group: Preview - should be a non-event. D'Ieteren: Febiac April registrations flat YoY, VW brands up 8.4%. GBL: NAV per share in ...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille

Bpost : Still in a challenging environment

>Top-line pressures and one-off costs - Bpost experienced pressure on both its Q1 24 revenues as well as its operating earnings. Group operating income (i.c. revenue) for the quarter came in at € 993m and adjusted EBIT at € 62m, respectively -3% and -11% vs. ccs, and -6% and -3% vs. our estimates. Bpost’s results continue to be driven by (a slowing) Belgium and E-Logistics Eurasia, while E-Logistics NA performed poorly once again due to challenging market conditions. ...

Frank Claassen
  • Frank Claassen

bpost - Waiting for impact of press negotiations

•              The Q1-24 REBIT was somewhat below expectations, mainly on higher corporate costs. No concrete FY24 guidance as not all negotiations on press distribution are finalized yet and impact is still unclear.•              The planned acquisition of Staci can strategically be justified, but in our view it looks stretched financially, both on multiple paid and on resulting leverage. •              Although multiples appear undemanding, we stick to Hold. There are still many uncertainties.

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2024 : Adding Fugro, Removing Arcadis

In this May edition of our Dynamic Top Pick List we replace Arcadis by Fugro. Arcadis continues to deliver consistently on its promises and is working hard to realise its 2026 margin targets via cross selling, leveraging its global engineering platform and numerous self-help measures. In spite of this we remove Arcadis from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent & strong share price performance leaves little room for further short term triggers As a service provider to the energy industry, Fu...

Kristof Samoy ... (+5)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

D'Ieteren The engine that keeps on running

D'Ieteren's engine keeps on running, with the adj. PBT (gs) up 28.1% in 2023, driven by a strong performance at Belron, Auto, and the full consolidation of PHE. Going forward, we expect the adj. PBT (gs) to grow 9% in 2024, and to accelerate to +15.7% in 2025 driven by the completion of the transformation programme at Belron. With D'Ieteren trading at only 13.9x the adj. fwd P/E, we believe investors are not giving D'Ieteren enough credit for its excellent track record and growth prospects. In a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: 1Q24 update in line, FY24 outlook in line with consensus at mid-point. bpost: Agreement on Flemish newspaper delivery; risk of provisions largely removed. Cofinimmo: Q1 results in line. Corbion: Tail wags the dog. IMCD: The last hurdle was a harsh clip. Proximus: Strong start to the year, guidance unchanged ahead of Digi arrival. Recticel: Kingspan 1Q24 trading update. Signify: 1Q24 results; revenue decline accelerates. Umicore: Confirms FY 2024 EBITDA guidance range. ...

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : BFIT NA, BPOST BB, COFB BB, CRBN NA, MTLS US, PROX BB,...

: BFIT NA, BPOST BB, COFB BB, CRBN NA, MTLS US, PROX BB, UMI BB, XFAB FP, XIOR BB, IMCD NA

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