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Jin Yoon
  • Jin Yoon

Tencent 4Q25 Results: AI Investment to Partly Weigh Down Margins in FY...

What’s new: Tencent’s reported 4Q25 revs that were largely in line with consensus and above our expectations. Rev growth momentum could remain resilient in 1Q across key business segments. Tencent plans to at least double investments in AI to more than RMB36bn which could partly weigh down margins in FY26. We maintain our PT at HKD750. Analysts: Jin Yoon

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 4Q25: In-line results; AI Empowers All Busi...

Tencent’s 4Q25 earnings came in better than expected. Revenue grew 15.4% yoy to Rmb192.9b, 2-3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3.3ppt yoy to 56.4%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.4% yoy to Rmb72.6b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 1ppt yoy to 37.6% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS ramped up 19.5% yoy, 6.5% higher than consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$757.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+6)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 19, 2026

Top Stories Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/HK$60.25/Target: HK$105.00) FYG’s 4Q25 GAAP net profit missed expectations at Rmb2,248m (+11.3% yoy/-0.5% qoq), due to forex losses. Stripping out one-off items, adjusted net profit met estimates at Rmb2,427m (+36.2% yoy/+4.0% qoq) on a yoy margin expansion. Its earnings outlook remains brilliant, backed by: a) continuous market share gain overseas, b) ASP increase on product mix optimisation, and c) its aluminium trim business. Maintain 20...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, March 19, 2026

Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/HK$60.25/Target: HK$105.00) FYG’s 4Q25 GAAP net profit missed expectations at Rmb2,248m (+11.3% yoy/-0.5% qoq), due to forex losses. Stripping out one-off items, adjusted net profit met estimates at Rmb2,427m (+36.2% yoy/+4.0% qoq) on a yoy margin expansion. Its earnings outlook remains brilliant, backed by: a) continuous market share gain overseas, b) ASP increase from optimisation of product mix, and c) its aluminium trim business. M...

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): Launch Of WorkBuddy And One-Click Deploymen...

We continue to view Tencent as a core holding for investors seeking exposure to AI applications. Tencent launched WorkBuddy on 9 March, an AI agent developed by the Tencent Cloud CodeBuddy team, alongside QQ Open Platform’s integration with OpenClaw. AI applications are also increasingly delivering both cost reductions and revenue uplift across Tencent ecosystems, enabling new monetisation opportunities, with gaming and advertising among the earliest beneficiaries. Maintain BUY with an unchanged...

Joyce Chu ... (+4)
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Top Stories Company Results | Chongqing Brewery (600132 CH/NOT RATED/Rmb56.22) In 2025, CBC achieved revenue of Rmb14,722m (+1% yoy) and core net profit of Rmb1,188m (-3% yoy). Sales volume increased 1% yoy and ASP remained largely flat. On-premise channels showed a slight improvement during the CNY holiday, but still remained under pressure. In contrast, off-premise channels performed well. While there has been a surge of small players in emerging channels, this is seen as a positive developme...

Audrey Celia ... (+8)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Greater China Company Results | Chongqing Brewery (600132 CH/NOT RATED/Rmb56.22) In 2025, CBC achieved revenue of Rmb14,722m (+1% yoy) and core net profit of Rmb1,188m (-3% yoy). Sales volume increased 1% yoy and ASP remained largely flat. On-premise channels showed a slight improvement during the CNY holiday, but still remained under pressure. In contrast, off-premise channels performed well. While there has been a surge of small players in emerging channels, this is seen as a positive developm...

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls.

Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list.

Amerul Iqmal ... (+21)
  • Amerul Iqmal
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Kate Luang
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Lester Siew
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, March 04, 2026

Greater China Economics | China Investors expect the NPC to set a 2026 real GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, with policy support led primarily by fiscal measures while monetary easing remains complementary. The official deficit is likely capped at 4%, though augmented fiscal expansion via special bond issuance will provide additional support. The 15th Five-Year Plan is expected to prioritise hard-tech self-reliance, advanced manufacturing and curbing industrial involution, with only target...

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

China Internet. Deeper Dive Into Agentic AI And The Rise Of AI Super A...

To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To- B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) rollout of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: Baidu,...

Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Julia Pan Mengyao

China Internet: Deeper dive into agentic AI and the rise of AI super a...

Highlights  To-C applications growth is accelerating among mega-cap players with super apps, while emerging unicorns focus on To-B and To-prosumers in specific AI scenarios/verticals and on physical AI in verticals such as mobility and smartphone. For the next 6-12 months, we are eyeing key AI narratives: a) roll-out of super apps leveraging on agentic AI, b) leading LLMs in specific verticals unlocking monetisation potential, and c) key drivers of cloud revenue growth. Over time, we expect fur...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+13)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, February 02, 2026

Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 4Q25 Results Preview: Intact Online Games A...

We expect Tencent’s revenue growth to remain solid at 13% yoy in 4Q25 despite macro headwinds and the ad-spend tax, continuing to benefit from inventory release and AI empowerment. We opine that near- to mid-term catalysts would include: a) multiple flagship new game launches in 2026, b) continued improvement in ad placement efficiency driven by AI, and c) the launch of AI-powered Mini Program code development tools on WeChat. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$800.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, January 22, 2026

Top Stories Sector Update | Healthcare At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cutting-edge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthcar...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, January 22, 2026

Greater China Sector Update | Healthcare At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cutting-edge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthca...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong AI-driven IPO Wave Set To Unfold In 2026.

We reckon that the AI wave is driven by key themes including: a) recurring AI LLM/applications and cloud revenue growth, and b) a wider deployment of proprietary and data driven AI agents by vertical players to strengthen competitive moats. Amid an uncertain competitive backdrop, we opine that cloud hyper-scalers are key beneficiaries underpinned by their ecosystem scale and technological capabilities, underscoring growing investor confidence in the AI-driven sector’s re-rating. Maintain OVERWEI...

Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, January 12, 2026

Greater China Economics | Inflation December CPI inflation rose to 0.8% yoy (+0.1ppt mom), the strongest reading ytd, with a sharp rebound in food prices. Core CPI remained at 1.2% yoy, the highest level for 2025, with goods inflation strengthening further while services inflation continued to ease slightly. PPI deflation moderated to 1.9% yoy (+0.3ppt mom), supported by improvements in mining and consumer goods pricing. Overall, the data suggests tentative price stabilisation, although defl...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+8)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Frdiay, January 2, 2026

Top Stories Economics | PMI December Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1, back in the expansionary zone for the first time since March. Non-manufacturing PMI also improved at 50.2 (+0.7pt mom), driven by a rebound in construction activity, while services PMI remained slightly contractionary, pointing to weak domestic demand. Enterprise PMI showed divergent trends, with large firms leading the improvement. Overall, the December data points to an uneven recovery despite the positive headline numbers. ...

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - December 2025

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls Market consolidation slowed in November as expectations of a 25bp Fed cut buoyed sentiment. The HSI and MSCI China fell 0.2% and 2.4% mom respectively amid weak data and limited catalysts. While the upcoming Economic Work Conference may offer a catalyst to end this phase, we remain cautious, preferring defensives and oversold names. We add BeOne Medicines, HKEX, NetEase and Plover Bay to BUY, take profit on AIA, and cut losses on Ja...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
OU8 CENTURION
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
CTRA CIPUTRA DEVELOPMENT
EGCO ELECTRICITY GENERATING PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
V03 VENTURE CORPORATION LIMITED
ERW ERAWAN GROUP
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
JSMR PT JASA MARGA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
601668 CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING CORP. LTD. CLASS A
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
2318 PING AN INSURANCE (GROUP) COMPANY OF CHINA LTD. CLASS H
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
CPALL TB CP ALL
SDPL SIME DARBY PLANTATION BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
02232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP
2013 WEIMOB INC
RGB RGB INTERNATIONAL BHD
WHA TB WHA CORP PCL
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
CVL CIVMEC
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ITC I-TAIL CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
STM SEATRIUM LTD
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
BTG BETAGRO PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
GEELY GEELY AUTOMOBILE
EXCL XLSMART TELECOM SEJAHTERA
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 3Q25 Results Recap: Strong AI Cloud Top-line Growth; L...

China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...

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