Telia (Buy, TP: SEK46, +12%) Telenor (Neutral, TP: NOK150, -6%) Telia...

Telia has announced a RAN sharing deal with ICE in Norway. We look at the impact of this deal (first derivative and second derivative effects to both Telia and Telenor) and provide some feedback from a management meeting we had this morning with Telia CEO and CFO – which also includes commentary on the outlook in Finland and Sweden M&A.

Telia Company AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at Telia Company AB bought 15,880 shares at between 39.500SEK and 40.490SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over t...

Telia/ice RAN sharing: modest upside over time

Telia (Buy, TP: SEK 46, +15%) Post Q4 25 model update – The Buy case ...

In this note, we update our model and thoughts following the Q4 results (HERE) incorporating conference call feedback and compare our new estimates to guidance and consensus. We have lifted SR expectations for FY26, but EBITDA has come down a touch.

Solid execution, but valuation still caps upside

Telia (Buy, TP: SEK 48, +18%) Q4 25: Good FCF beat and DPS increase

Telia has reported a mixed set of Q4 results, with a modest EBITDA miss adjusting for Sweden Pension, but a good FCF beat (+9%, even after normalizing for NWC). Guidance is broadly in line with expectations for 2026, and the DPS has been lifted for the first time in four years, which consensus did not expect.

Solid but undramatic Q4, dividend raise

Improving execution warrants a neutral stance

BioArctic AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at BioArctic AB sold 347,500 shares at 310.000SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

European Telecoms for 2026 Industry action required for further outpe...

Over the past 3 years, the EU telecoms sector has had a great run – up >50%, despite modest underlying revenue/ EBITDA growth. This has almost entirely come from a deserved upwards re-rating in the multiple as the risk profile across the sector diminishes – which has been a key theme of ours in the past few years given improved regulation. So, we feel this has now largely played out.

FCF improves, but growth still needs to deliver

Telia (Buy, TP: SEK 40, +15%) Q3 25: All-in FCF guidance lifted

Telia has reported a good set of Q3 results, with numbers in-line, and has lifted FY25 FCF guidance to SEKc8bn from SEKc7.5bn, driven by lower capex.

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/SAP, Telia, Orange, Castellum, Klepierre, ...

Technology - SAP reports strong 3Q25 results

Stronger Q3 FCF

Cost savings support earnings, but growth lags

Why you should be reading the Tariff Tracker – a leading SR indicator

We publish monthly front book pricing data in our Tariff Tracker product. In this report we show some new analysis looking at how front book tariffs are a good leading indicator for service revenue trends in mobile and fixed, including new work looking at discounted and undiscounted prices.

EU Telecoms: Half-time 2025 Review Sector has outperformed: More sele...

The European Telecoms continues to outperform: up 17% YTD vs. the market up 10%. While this is great to see, adding to the 12pp outperformance in 2024 and supporting our investment thesis of improving regulation, it does mean the equity upside story from here is becoming more selective.

Telia performs well/Bredband2 acquisition doesn't come cheap

Telia reported solid 2Q25 results which were in line with expectations. However, the most interesting news was its bid for Bredband2, a large Swedish provider of broadband services. Although we think the intended acquisition comes somewhat expensive, we like the potential improvement of Telia's broadband market share to c.41.5% in Sweden. Regulatory approval for the transaction is very well possible when comparing Sweden with other European countries. Telia's credit profile continues to look sou...

Telia (Buy from Neutral, TP: SEK 40, +15%) OpEx execution (& M&A) lif...

It has been a busy few days for Telia: it reported a good set of Q2 results last week and announced a deal to sell its Latvian business and a deal to buy Swedish fibre provider Bredband2. We look at these events in this report, and upgrade Telia to a Buy.

Not enough to excite us