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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Results slightly better, guidance for the combined entity to come in Sept. CM.com: 4Q25 results – no turning point yet. D'Ieteren: Allstate reports bumper 4Q25, touts premium cuts, consensus prudent. Heijmans: Construction cool cat. Proximus: CPaaS peer Twilio 4Q25 results better than expected. Talabat: 4Q25 results, doubling down on investments. Theon International: Preview – a busy year it was.

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB...

: ABI BB, ADYEN NA, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, NEXTA BB, MONT BB, NN NA, ONTEX BB, SIP BB, WDP BB, NXFIL NA

Guy Sips ... (+10)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Preview: Another quarter in no man's land? / Ahold Delhaize: Confirms the acquisition of Delfood / AGEAS: China – state to inject capital into insurers / AkzoNobel: Tepid 4Q25 results and FY26 outlook / D'Ieteren: Belgian car registrations down 19%, 65% of 2019 level, VW down only 5% / Xior Student Housing: Sound organic trends continue, two-year guidance revealed

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Capex revisions, Replatforming, Memory Pricing, Semicap, Tesla, Apple....

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 27 names we followed last week, follow the link.

David Vagman ... (+16)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Dirk Verbiesen
  • Francesca Ferragina
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Marc Zwartsenburg
  • CEFA
  • Maxime Stranart
  • Michiel Vereycken
  • Quirijn Mulder
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

ING Benelux Favourites/Aedifica, Ageas, ASM International, Basic-Fit, ...

We refresh our ING Benelux Favourites list. We apply a fundamental bottom up approach in which we select stocks which provide the best upside within our Benelux coverage universe and these stocks need clear catalysts. Additions/deletions: We add the following names to the ING Benelux Favourites list: Ageas: Ageas has done multiple deals; its most recent purchase of the 25% stake BNP Paribas had in its Belgian ops, is an accretive deal and we believe makes the Belgian operations ready for a pot...

Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

ASM International/Back on its growth path/BUY

ASM's 4Q25 order intake beat has transformed the 3Q25 disappointment into just a one-off timing hiccup within a very strong long-term growth path. TSMC's FY26 capex beat underlines that AI strength and ongoing technology transitions are key tailwinds for ASM. We expect the company to significantly outgrow its peers. We meaningfully increase our estimates, up our DCF-based target price to €900 per share (from €700) and reiterate our BUY. ASM remains on the ING Benelux Favourites list.

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AGEAS: strong upgrade to FY25 earnings guidance (€1.3 to €1.6bn) due to one-off from China; ASM: The beat comes early; D'Ieteren: Possible Belron IPO by end 2026, Belron debt repricing; IBA: IBA to install three P1 systems at University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center

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