reports
- William Basa
- William Basa
Macro Technicals - 31 January 2018
Major long-term supports in the USD are still trying to force a two-way trade in USDJPY, GBP, EUR (and DXY); a bounce to weekly downtrend/Feb resistance remains a sale. US 10s are flirting with their Yearly breakdown threshold - with 25-30bps of gap behind there. See Macro Technicals Report for specific price levels and Trade Strategies
- William Basa
- Barbara Gray
The Shopping Race
As we look to 2018, I am becoming more and more convinced that the secret for companies to survive the retail apocalypse will be for them to advance beyond the four traditional economic moat factors (i.e., low-cost producer, intangible assets, switching costs, network effect) to the experience moat. For as Amazon continues to innovate and push the edges of the consumer value frontier in terms of pricing, convenience, and variety of choice, companies are discovering they can no longer compete on ...
MSCI Asia ex-Japan: Correction Risk Intensifies
The MSCI Asia Free ex-Japan (MXASJ – 718) has continued to set new all-time highs this month, while long-term bullish, targeting 1,080+, we believe that the risk of a correction has intensified. This year has had the smallest peak to trough correction of any year on record (1988-2016), just -3.7% and the 9-month RSI is now above 85, a rare event. The good news is that 2017 is seen as being like 1989 and 2004, not 1993 or 2007. We still see an ongoing correction risk of around 10% - the MXASJ c...
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