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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Hyperscale & Cloud: 2026 capex expectations up 19%, $3-4t...

Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and Foundry. Hyperscale capex grew 70% YoY. Most raised 2025 guides, and confirmed sustained spending in 2026, lifting expectations....

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Baidu Inc (9888 HK): Kunlun AI Chip As The Key Catalyst For Revaluatio...

Amid US chip ban uncertainties, Baidu Inc's (Baidu) Kunlun chip is well-positioned to capture emerging AI chip localisation opportunities. Meanwhile, Robotaxi offers significant growth potential, with Baidu emerging as the global leader in driverless commercial ride-hailing. In cloud, Baidu differentiates itself through its full-stack AI capabilities and a resilient, recurring software revenue stream. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of HK$135.00 (US$150.00).

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+9)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, September 9, 2025

Top Stories Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Product-level data was mixed, with motor vehicles and hi-tech exports showing strength. Looking ahead, the trade outlook remains cautious, with ...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tesla CEO package: Outside of common norms, but sensible and credible

Last week, Tesla’s board proposed a compensation package for CEO and largest shareholder Elon Musk that stands out for its scale, structure, and ambition.  Does it make sense for shareholders? We provide a useful perspective, on a single slide. Tesla CEO package: Out of common norms, but sensible and credible

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

A closer look at chip purchases and installed bases And the relative ...

We are getting more questions about each company’s share of GPU purchases, and especially how it could impact capacity constraints at Cloud divisions (especially AWS).

Anish Jog ... (+6)
  • Anish Jog
  • Daniel Ives
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Scott Devitt
  • Steven Wahrhaftig
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: AI -- Accelerating AI+cloud hyperscaler growth; AI age...

We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Autos: Semi recovery underway; tangible risks of pull-for...

Today, we are publishing the Autos section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry and Semicap Equipment. The auto semiconductor recovery is underway, with revenues up 4% QoQ ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: AI -- Accelerating AI+cloud hyperscaler growth; AI age...

We expect the emergence of AI agents and AI applications to continue fuelling the surge in AI inference demand, driving the acceleration of hyperscaler revenue growth, and we forecast revenue growth reaccelerating in 2H25-2026. The sustained dominance of super-apps in commerce, coupled with the swift rise of cost-efficient AI models, creates a strong catalyst for adoption and future global expansion. We upgrade the internet sector to OVERWEIGHT and are OVERWEIGHT the AI segment. WHAT’S NEW  Ev...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong top-line growth and margins further hurt in 2H2...

China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

GOOGL/META/AMZN: Insights into AI Capex from Hot Chips 2025 and NVDA e...

GOOGL and META presented technical details of several AI investment projects earlier this week at the Hot Chips 2025 conference, and NVDA results provided insights into the AI infrastructure supply chain and continued capacity constraints.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The Great Replatforming, Part II – The General Theory. Could Jensen ju...

In a very timely manner, as Jensen just touted a $3-4tn Tech. Infra. market for 2030, we publish the second part of our “Great Replatforming” series, in which we look at how much AI investments the global economy can absorb over time. In the first part of the series, we showed how increasing capex should be analyzed as enablers of revenue growth and productivity improvements, and applied the framework to hyperscalers, showing how pushing capex intensity to new highs is easily financed by contin...

Tesla Inc: 1 director

A director at Tesla Inc sold 120,000 shares at 350.286USD and the significance rating of the trade was 71/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sho...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Bible 2Q25 – Ride-sharing & Delivery: Lower Prices, Higher Profits. Wa...

Today, we are publishing the Ride-sharing and delivery section of our 28th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Memory, Hyperscale & Cloud, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. Ride-sharing bo...

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