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Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: TRIP, WBD/NFLX, TPH/1911, 6201, EA, KCO/WS, UBI, AAV, OS,...

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD - $28.11) and Netfilx Inc. (NFLX - $75.86)News Reports Paramount Enlists Top Shareholder in Push to De-Rail Pending Merger.Paramount (PSKY) is in discussions to nominate Matt Halbower, CEO of Pentwater Capital Management, to WBD's board as part of a proxy fight aim

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Amazon (Buy/Top Pick, target declines to $285) Higher capex = higher A...

Our target declines to $285 from $350 on mixed estimate changes (dominated by lower near-term FCF) as well as slightly lower target multiples to better account for elevated investment risk.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

What Does the PSKY Announcement of Compliance Mean?

As part of a new bid to buy WBD, PSKY announced that it had already complied with the DOJ’s second request. Investors have been asking about how to understand this announcement, how the timing of this review compares with other DOJ investigations and what are the paths forward for the antitrust review of both PSKY and NFLX’s bid. In this note we address those questions.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: CYBR/PANW, WBD/NFLX, QXO, GLDD, TGNA/NXST, LSEG, TDC, KHC...

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD - $27.80) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX - $82.21)Activist Ancora ReleasesPresentation Regarding its Strong Opposition to the Currently Proposed Merger. Ancora Holdings Group, a nearly $11 billion firm with an ~$200 million economic interest in WBD, announced on February 11, 202

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Energy storage for AI datacenters: $12-40bn deployment opportunity in ...

Datacenters are increasingly co-locating battery storage to improve economics, grid resilience, and speed of deployment. We publish today our view on the energy storage opportunity in datacenters, summarized on a single slide. Please click the link for more details.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: CYBR/PANW, EWCZ, CCO, PLBY, UNF/CTAS, YEXT, SSP/SBGI, HZO...

European Wax Center, Inc. (EWCZ - $4.00)Announces $330 Million Take-Private All-Cash Acquisition; Offer Value $5.80/share; Expected Close Mid-2026. EWCZ announced on February 10, 2026, that it has entered into a definitive agreement to be taken private by General Atlantic, a leading global investor

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The market has it backwards: Meta is the only hyperscaler overspending...

Microsoft, Google, and Amazon sold off after announcing large capex increases, while Meta rose ~10%. Our analysis suggests the market has this backwards. Please see the link for our take, summarised on a single slide.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: LLY, BILL, NEXN, VAL/RIG, WBD/NFLX, TGNA/NXST, WMB, FDX, ...

BILL Holdings, Inc. (BILL - $48.94)News Reports Potential Acquisition Talks; Recall Company Targeted by Multiple Activists.According to Bloomberg, private equity firm Hellman & Friedman has been in talks to acquire BILL, a business payments & financial software platform, with the buyout gro

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SpaceX: Can the 10-ton 1MW space datacenter fly? A first-principle vie...

The development of space technology infrastructure is accelerating this year, to our delight. Expect from us more and more research on the topic. A good place to start was to assess the feasibility of the 10-ton, 1 MW space datacenter pitched by Elon Musk. For our first-principle perspective, summarized on a single slide, follow the link. Stay tuned for more on the economics of this datacenter, and its implications on the supply chain.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

Trump Says He’s Out of WBD Antitrust Decision-Making; So, Did the Sena...

On Tuesday, the Senate Judiciary Committee held a hearing on the proposed merger of NFLX and WBD. On Wednesday, President Trump said he will not be involved. So, did the Senate hearing change the odds of the deal moving forward? In this note, we discuss the likely impact of the hearing and Trump’s comments.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: GLEN/RIO, FRT, FLS, ZS, BDX/WAT, MPX/MCFT, WBD/NFLX, PATH...

Flowserve Corp. (FLS - $78.98)Announces $490 Million All-Cash Acquisition of Trillium Flow Technologies' Valves Division; Expected Close Mid-2026. FLS, a leading provider of flow control products and services for global infrastructure markets, announced on February 5, 2026, that it has signed a def

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