reports
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: Expect Continued Recovery In Residential Market De...
With primary sales remaining strong and HIBOR declining further, Hong Kong’s residential market is expected to continue its recovery despite rising geopolitical risks. We also summarise the key operational data and trends of Hong Kong landlords from this results season. The recent market pullback has created better entry points. We upgrade SHKP/Hysan/Wharf REIC from HOLD to BUY, and upgrade NWD from SELL to HOLD, with target prices remaining unchanged. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tham Mun Hon
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, March 16, 2026
Greater China Economics | Money Supply Feb 26 money and credit data came in above expectations, helped by the Chinese New Year effect and better new bank credit and TSF at Rmb0.90t and Rmb2.38t respectively. This lifted M2 growth to 9.0% yoy, while M1 growth came in at 5.9% yoy. While the 2M26 data was above market expectations, the credit cycle is not in an upswing, as total credit growth edged lower to 6.0% yoy, and TSF growth stayed flat at 8.2% yoy. Sector Update | Healthcare The HSH...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
01997 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LTD SPONSORED ADR
GAM WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
3933 GAMUDA BHD
IJM THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
06088 IJM CORP BHD
2877 FIT HON TENG LIMITED
HCM CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
01801 HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
1833 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
300760 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
1093 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603259 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LTD
2269 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS A
00017 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
3692 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
MNSO HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
300765 BEIGENE LTD.
02192 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
DCRU CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
ARCI IJ MEDLIVE TECHNOLOGY CO LTD
ONC@US@ DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
BEONE MEDICINE INC
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Wharf Real Estate Investment Co (1997 HK): 2025: UNP And DPS Beat Expe...
UNP rose 5.2% yoy on a 25% decline in finance costs. Annual DPS increased 6.5% yoy to HK$1.32, beating expectations. Hong Kong IP improved sequentially in 2H25, with Harbour City contributing 80% of revenue. Management guides negative retail rental reversions, a gradual sales recovery, and rising office competition in 2026. Marco Polo AEI remains under review, while the floating-debt-ratio remains high. Raise 2026-28 UNP forecasts and lift target price by 3% to HK$28.80, but downgrade to HOLD on...
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Ken Lee
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Top Stories Economics | Trade China’s exports grew 21.8% yoy in Jan-Feb 26, way above Bloomberg consensus of 7.2% yoy. Imports were equally strong, up 19.8% yoy compared with an expected 7.0% yoy. Exports to the US fell 11.0% yoy, but were made up by strong exports growth to Hong Kong, ASEAN and the EU. While the manufacturing PMI new export orders sub-index improved in 4Q25, the strong data is a pleasant surprise, reflecting China’s success in trade diversification. Company Results | Foxconn ...
- Amerul Iqmal
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Kai Jie Tang
- Ken Lee
- Kong Ho Meng
- Lester Siew
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tham Mun Hon
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s exports grew 21.8% yoy in Jan-Feb 26, way above Bloomberg consensus of 7.2% yoy. Imports were equally strong, up 19.8% yoy compared with an expected 7.0% yoy. Exports to the US fell 11.0% yoy, but were made up by strong exports growth to Hong Kong, ASEAN and the EU. While the manufacturing PMI new export orders sub-index improved in 4Q25, the strong data is a pleasant surprise, reflecting China’s success in trade diversification. Company Results | Foxco...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: Raise 2026 Price Growth Forecast To 7%; Downgrade ...
Residential prices rebounded more strongly than expected in 4Q25 and ytd, supported by positive rental yield spread over mortgage rates and stabilising population trends in Hong Kong. However, the yield spread has narrowed and supply remains relatively high despite easing sequentially. We raise our 2026 price growth forecast to 7% and primary transaction estimate to 25,000 units. We downgrade SHKP to HOLD, keep Kerry Properties at BUY, and maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Landlords: Recovery Taking Shape.
Stronger local discretionary consumption supported positive growth in Hong Kong retail sales in 2H25, while the decline in visitors’ per capita spend moderated. Office rents remained under pressure but showed early signs of stabilisation. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong landlords. Link REIT remains our top pick despite a lower DPU forecast. We fine-tune Wharf REIC’s earnings and maintain BUY, while upgrading Hysan’s earnings and target price but downgrading it to HOLD on its limited upside.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Landlords: Recovery taking shape. MARKET WEIGHT
Highlights Stronger local discretionary consumption drove the growth in Hong Kong retail sales in 2H25. Per capita spend of visitors fell yoy at a slower pace. Offices saw continued pressure on rents with signs of stabilisation in 2H25. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong landlords. Our top pick is still Link REIT for its attractive valuation and we lower our DPU forecast for it. We lower our earnings estimates for Wharf REIC and maintain BUY. We lift our earnings forecasts and target pric...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: Striking A New Equilibrium
The IPO revival proves Hong Kong is re-emerging as a key hub for talent and capital amid geopolitical risks, benefitting the property market. Hong Kong’s repositioning is expected to shape the property industry’s new equilibrium over the next 2-3 years. As the market prepares for a new cycle, this report analyses the key factors driving industry fundamentals. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on Hong Kong developers and landlords.
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Andrew Agita Buntoro
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Jonathan Koh
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Malaysia Research Team
- Sunny Chen
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 24, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
KKP KIATNAKIN BANK
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TOP THAI OIL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
GFPT GFPT
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
T TELEKOM MALAYSIA BHD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
02232 CRYSTAL INTERNATIONAL GROUP
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
300244 DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: Striking a new equilibrium. MARKET WEIGHT
Highlights Repositioning of Hong Kong driving new sector equilibrium in next 2-3 years. Catalysts: More rate cuts than expected, policy support and tourism recovery. Risks: Fewer rate cuts, massive collateral liquidation by banks, more defaults. Analysis Repositioning of Hong Kong driving new property market equilibrium. With geopolitical tensions being the new norm, Hong Kong is remerging as a key hub for capital and talent, as evidenced by the IPO market’s revival which has benefitted...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property: Update Of Key Data And Trends During 202...
Golden Week new-home sales varied, with sales in Tier 1 cities growing 18.1% yoy on average, while sales in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities declined. In Hong Kong, second-hand transactions from 2024-25 projects, like SHKP's Cullinan Sky, achieved better capital gains, boosting investor sentiment. Tourism data was mixed: mainland tourist growth slowed, other regions’ visitors surged, and northbound travel stayed strong. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China and Hong Kong property/landlord sectors.
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Property: 2025 Policy Address: Positive On Residential Marke...
The 2025 Policy Address expands the new CIES to include HK$30m-50m worth of residential properties, moderates land supply targets and suspends the Kau Yi Chau project. The North Metropolis needs to accelerate development with innovative measures. Population growth and tourism remain the key policy focus, though local spending lacks direct support. Our pecking order of positive impact on each segment: residential>retail>office. SHKP and Hysan are our top picks, while NWD is downgraded to SELL due...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Wharf Real Estate Investment Co. Page 12 (1997 HK): 1H25: Core UNP and...
Wharf REIC's 1H25 core UNP and DPS rose 3% yoy, despite lower retail rental income, thanks to a 27% yoy decline in finance cost. Its consistently lower net gearing and net debt are highlights. Management remains cautious on the retail and office recovery but aims to continue deleveraging. The company is planning an AEI/redevelopment for Marco Polo Hotel. We raise target price to HK$28.50 to factor in the lower HIBOR. Maintain BUY.
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Chong Lee Len
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Jonathan Koh
- Ken Lee
- Lester Siew
- Paula Ruth
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 8, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Trade: July’s data beats expectations, further near-term strength likely. Sector Automobile: Weekly: YOY PV sales growth remains negative for three straight weeks. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Initiate Coverage Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co (002050 CH/BUY/Rmb27.37/Target: Rmb36.50): Innovative Thermal management leader driving sustainable growth. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb36.50 for A-share, HK$40.00 fo...
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
KTB KRUNG THAI BANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BCH BANGKOK CHAIN HOSPITAL PCL
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
G13 GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
002050 CH ZHEJIANG SANHUA INTELLIGENT CONTROLS CO LTD (002050 CH)
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Greater China Research Team
- Jieqi Liu
- Ken Lee
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
Greater China Daily: Friday, August 8, 2025
Economics Trade July exports grew 7.2% yoy (+1.4ppts), with continued strength in exports to the ASEAN and EU markets. Import growth improved to 4.1% yoy (+3ppt), likely due to a lower base, and support from strong imports of integrated circuits and agricultural products. However, imports of some key commodities saw sharp declines. The Sino-US agreement on another 90-day trade truce may continue to support near-term trade activities. Sector Automobile China’s PV insurance registrations reboun...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
Hong Kong Landlords: Improved liquidity supporting local spending and ...
Despite a drop in retail sales and a peaking vacancy rate, we saw some positive signals, eg a qoq improvement in per capita spending and resilient restaurant receipts. A lower market rate will reduce landlords’ finance costs, with Wharf REIC set to benefit the most. Upgrade to MARKET WEIGHT and expect a marginal improvement in retail sales in the coming summer. Raise target prices by 8-11% for the stocks under our coverage for a lower risk-free rate. Top pick: Wharf REIC.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property, Hong Kong Landlord Strategy: Manageable pr...
In May 25, data from 28 cities and the top 100 developers’ sales point to a mom increase but yoy fall in new home sales. Secondary transactions in 12 cities continued to see a yoy hike. Homebuyers’ sentiments remain weak and divergent among cities, but better supply-demand dynamics lower the urge to introduce strong policies. For Hong Kong, the gentle yoy decline in retail sales and stronger tourist numbers growth are positive developments. Maintain sector ratings. Top picks: CR Land, SHKP and L...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Singapore Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 03, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property & Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Manageable pressure in mainland property market; improved tourism and retail sales momentum in Hong Kong. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances in May Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Results CIMB Group (CIMB MK/HOLD/RM6.93/Target: RM7.70) 1Q25: Earnings in line, underpinned by lower provisions. Mai...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
STM SEATRIUM LTD
DKFT IJ CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlords Strategy: Tariffs c...
The tariffs announced by Trump increased uncertainties over the Fed’s rate cuts, weighing on the recovery of the Hong Kong residential market and tourism. The mainland property market will be less affected, backed by China’s relatively independent monetary policy. For 2025, leading SOE developers’ earnings stabilisation will be a key highlight. Maintain sector weights with this pecking order: China property>Hong Kong developers>Hong Kong landlords. Top picks: CR Land and SHKP.
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
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