Figure 1. 4Q25 ResultsSource: Company reports, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensusGuidance notes: 4Q total revenue guidance of $206B to $213B; 4Q operating income guidance of $21B to $26B.Amazon reported healthy 4Q results. Total revenue grew +13.6% Y/Y to $213.4B, ~90bps ahead of St. estimates ca
In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Capex guide overshadows AWS acceleration 2. 1Q26 revenue guide brackets consensus, operating income guide comes in below 3. 2026 Capex guidance well ahead of expectations with high conviction in ROIC 4. AWS revenue growth beats and we expect acceleration to continue 5. International retail growth strong as Whole Foods expands 6. Rufus, “horizontal” agents and the future of Amazon advertising
Our replatforming framework is about measuring how increasing capital intensity drives revenue growth and efficiency improvement. Meta and Microsoft reported yesterday, and we track their replatforming performance by assessing how the growth gap between cash costs and revenue creates headroom for higher depreciation, in a single slide.
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD - $27.98) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX - $84.64)News Reports Paramount Is Not Prepared to Bid Higher. According to Variety, David Ellison's Paramount Skydance (PSKY) has pursued a hostile $30-per-share all-cash takeover bid for WBD (total enterprise value of $108.4 billi
After a string of multi-GW contracts and capex announcements, the attractiveness of cloud AI returns remains a hot question amongst investors. In this report, we build a simple framework to answer that question. We estimate Cloud AI returns from CSP disclosures and what we know about large real-world contracts, and benchmark them against what we know about the economics of traditional cloud.
Earlier this week, the Information reported (and a company spokesperson confirmed) that on January 26th, SHOP will begin making merchants’ products widely available for purchase through checkout features in OpenAI’s ChatGPT, GOOGL’s AI Mode and Gemini, and MSFT Copilot. SHOP merchants will begin being surfaced on Gemini, AI Mode and Copilot by default, whereas they will be required to opt into selling on ChatGPT, and OpenAI will receive a 4% take rate on any ChatGPT sales. In this brief note, w...
The report deals with the statistical and graph (non-technical) analysis of AMAZON.COM stock. It includes analysis of stock returns, analysis of volume patterns and the stock’s beta coefficient. Moreover, the report provides information about AMAZON.COM stock’s listing and participation in indices, and the stock’s shareholder structure. Amazon.com, Inc. provides a range of products and services to customers. The products offered through its stores include merchandise and content it has purc...
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