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Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Updated AI ROICs: AMZN higher, GOOGL lower, META mixed

Our updated AI ROIC estimates reflect the latest AI Capex and Cloud AI revenue updates. The original AI ROIC analysis is HERE. In the report, we review changes for each company and the primary drivers of AI returns.

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt
Chase Tohanczyn ... (+3)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Counting Clicks: August '25 Traffic Trends

Report Overview: Our analysis includes total web visits (desktop and mobile) to U.S. and international web domains, mobile app monthly active users (MAUs), daily active users (DAUs), and total time spent (where applicable). Throughout the report, we display Y/Y changes across each of these key metr

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

GOOGL/AMZN: 2Q25 AI Revenues – Remain Above Street for AWS/GCP

We have updated our bottom-up estimates for Amazon Web Services (AWS) and Google Cloud Platform’s (GCP) revenues from AI products and services. We remain above consensus for 2H25 and 1H26 for both GCP and AWS total revenue growth.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Alphabet (GOOGL, Buy, $275 target) Amazon (AMZN, Buy, $270 target) Si...

The past several weeks have seen a flurry of news related to OpenAI’s compute needs, including its massive deal with ORCL, its new arrangement with NVDA, and several sets of leaked financials published by The Information, including a new forecast for backup capacity. This has put more focus on potential revenue from Anthropic and other AI customers at AWS and GCP.

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

The Trade Desk (TTD, Neutral, $50 target) 10x voting shares extended,...

Last week, TTD held a special meeting of shareholders to vote on the proposed 10-year extension of the Class B/10x vote shares. As expected, the vote passed, as CEO Green controls over 48% of the total votes, and controlled well over 50% of the represented votes accumulated before the meeting.

Chase Tohanczyn ... (+4)
  • Chase Tohanczyn
  • Daniel Ives
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Scott Devitt

Amazon Partners With Winn-Dixie For Grocery Offering in Two Florida Ma...

Figure 1. Amazon Grocery TabSource: Amazon.com website. Accessed 9/18/2025Figure 2. Winn-Dixie Storefront on Amazon.comSource: Amazon.com website. Accessed 9/18/2025

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

AMZN(Buy, $270 target) /TTD (Neutral, $60 target) : Amazon DSP adds SI...

Yesterday, AdWeek reported that Amazon DSP has struck its largest partnership with a streaming audio service to date, specifically SIRI, whose properties include Pandora and SoundCloud. TTD is among SIRI’s existing DSP partners, and we walk through the implications for both Amazon DSP and TTD in the note, including the potential for SPOT to add Amazon DSP as a partner as well.

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