AMZN announced that it is acquiring Apple satellite partner GSAT and that it has also reached an agreement for Amazon Leo to power satellite services for the iPhone and Apple Watch. In this note, we discuss issues related to the government's review of the potential transaction.
The question for capital equipment in general rather, in our view, is how elevated might demand get to in the out years, which will in part demand on the sustainability (and perceived sustainability) of AI data center requirements through 2027 and into the latter parts of this decade, as well as mo
INDUSTRY RESEARCH:The State of Play in Biotech M&A. M&A activity remains a key barometer of health across the biotechnology sector and a central driver of strategic capital allocation within life sciences. While 2024 was characterized by smaller, bolt-on transactions and a shift toward earl
It makes limited sense to us that NVDA would purchase an established PC company given the competition (which would invariably result) with its current customers in the PC and server space, not to mention the negative implications for GMs, as well as the questionable value add (with the bulk of PC s
Last week we: 1. Updated our Anthropic P&L, compute spend estimates and the AI lab’s contributions to AWS and GCP revenues. 2. Lowered our AWS AI revenue after CEO Jassy announced a $15B+ revenue run-rate in the annual letter to shareholders. In this report we make two more adjustments: 1. We have added this morning’s CRWV + Anthropic partnership to our P&L/compute estimates, leading to share adjustments for AWS and GCP. 2. Added an estimate of spend through direct chip sales for both GCP and AW...
In the annual AMZN Letter to Shareholders, CEO Andy Jassy gave multiple new datapoints, including “AWS’s AI revenue run rate is over $15 billion in Q1 2026.” This compares to our prior AWS AI revenue estimate of $18.7B for 2025.
Our conversations to date suggest (at least in the near-term) that the March news that certain SMCI employees had conspired to ship significant dollars of servers to China is not having a significant impact on operations. At the same time, we still see a probability that customers, suppliers, and/o
Using OpenAI internal projections as reported by The Information, we have updated our P&L through 2030. It includes ambitious revenue targets, but also massive compute spend – including training, inference and “monetizable” backup -- that keeps positive FCF at bay until 2030.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.