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Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Amazon (Buy/Top Pick, target declines to $285) Higher capex = higher A...

Our target declines to $285 from $350 on mixed estimate changes (dominated by lower near-term FCF) as well as slightly lower target multiples to better account for elevated investment risk.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: BARK, SDR, META, PFSI, APC/ARKO, 6201, BALY/GLPI, GRAB, P...

Schroders plc (SDR - £587.50)Announces £9.9 Billion All-Cash Acquisition; Offer Value £612 (£590 Cash + £22 Permitted Dividends); Expected Close 4Q'2026. Nuveen, the investment management arm of Teachers Insurance & Annuity Association of America (TIAA), agreed on February 12, 2026, to acquire

Dan Salmon
  • Dan Salmon

Shopify (SHOP, Neutral, $155 target) Strong results/guidance can’t buc...

In this first take following this morning’s results we focus on: 1. SHOP’s AI narrative is strong, but SaaS sector anxiety overwhelms 2. Economics of agentic commerce are similar to online stores 3. New cohorts led GMV expansion as Europe remains a source of growth 4. Share buyback authorization likely for extreme conditions….like now? 5. Opex guidance in line but FCF margin slightly lower in 1Q25 owing to taxes

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: CYBR/PANW, WBD/NFLX, QXO, GLDD, TGNA/NXST, LSEG, TDC, KHC...

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD - $27.80) and Netflix Inc. (NFLX - $82.21)Activist Ancora ReleasesPresentation Regarding its Strong Opposition to the Currently Proposed Merger. Ancora Holdings Group, a nearly $11 billion firm with an ~$200 million economic interest in WBD, announced on February 11, 202

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Energy storage for AI datacenters: $12-40bn deployment opportunity in ...

Datacenters are increasingly co-locating battery storage to improve economics, grid resilience, and speed of deployment. We publish today our view on the energy storage opportunity in datacenters, summarized on a single slide. Please click the link for more details.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

What Policies Matter to Telco’s Success: Supply Side or Demand Side? ...

T CEO John Stankey recently said that “I’ve never seen federal policy this supportive of market-based investment in advanced networks.” That statement raises multiple interesting investor related questions about what does, and does not, support investment in advanced networks, including the relative importance of those policies that drive supply and those that drive demand, and how government is treating advanced networks versus networks that have lower cost structures but also involve lower pe...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The market has it backwards: Meta is the only hyperscaler overspending...

Microsoft, Google, and Amazon sold off after announcing large capex increases, while Meta rose ~10%. Our analysis suggests the market has this backwards. Please see the link for our take, summarised on a single slide.

Michael Piccolo
  • Michael Piccolo

Daily Recap: LLY, BILL, NEXN, VAL/RIG, WBD/NFLX, TGNA/NXST, WMB, FDX, ...

BILL Holdings, Inc. (BILL - $48.94)News Reports Potential Acquisition Talks; Recall Company Targeted by Multiple Activists.According to Bloomberg, private equity firm Hellman & Friedman has been in talks to acquire BILL, a business payments & financial software platform, with the buyout gro

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