In our note this morning, we flagged that on the call management was likely to stick to boilerplate language about continuing to work to stand up a successful fourth wireless network, and wouldn’t have much to say about the FCC negotiations. That was pretty much the case. However, we did learn interesting details on how the company is thinking about the D2D opportunity, and gained insights on recent activity in the wireless market. We cover thoughts on both in this brief note.
Financial results were generally a bit worse than expected, though part of the weakness stemmed from the cost of producing much better adds in wireless. Free cash flow missed consensus by a mile, but we suspect investors engaged on EchoStar were braced for estimates closer to ours.
Figure 1. 2Q25 ResultsSource: Company reports, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensusGuidance notes: 2Q total revenue guidance of $159B to $164B; 2Q operating income guidance of $13.0B to $17.5B.In 2Q, total revenues grew +13.3% Y/Y, ~3% ahead of expectations, driven by outperformance across all segm
In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. AWS revenue growth beats consensus but the real question is 2H acceleration 2. Increased 2025 capex guidance no surprise but no early hints for 2026 3. Custom silicon, price, and incumbent workloads define the long-term AWS AI strategy 4. Tariff uncertainty weighs on retail outlook, but underlying fundamentals remain strong
In its 8-K yesterday, EchoStar used vague language that could suggest it is open to selling some of its spectrum while continuing to try to build a business with the rest. When the company reports results tomorrow, investors will be singularly focused on any more concrete clues as to the company's intentions with its spectrum portfolio.
As our New Street Colleagues discussed in a note yesterday afternoon, Bloomberg is reporting that the Chairman of the FCC has made a "best and final" offer to EchoStar that would force the company to sell its AWS-4 spectrum. Our colleagues focused on the economics of such a sale. In this note, we discuss the policy issues that we think are shaping those discussions and why we are skeptical that there is a “best and final” offer on the table.
Earlier this week, we flagged that the next piece of news from EchoStar would be about whether DBS was making interest payments that were originally due on July 1st. This morning, the company filed an 8-K stating that it has made the payments, thereby avoiding an "event of default".
On Friday FCC Chairman Brendan Carr was interviewed on CNBC about the Paramount merger. However, near the end of the discussion (around the 7:35 mark), he mentioned that he is having "ongoing discussions" with Charlie Ergen about putting EchoStar's spectrum to its "highest and best use." This answers the most common question we have been getting from clients over the last few weeks on the company, which is whether progress toward a settlement between the FCC and EchoStar is being made. Moreover,...
A director at Amazon Com Inc sold 4,154,098 shares at 229.719USD and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
We have rolled up all our bottom-up AI analyses into ROIC estimates for GOOGL, AMZN and META through 2030. Key Conclusions: There are three distinct ROI profiles. • AMZN is the only one with positive ROIC today. • GOOGL has the highest ROIC in 2030. • META lags throughout the decade.
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