We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 243 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:
MSFT, Data center: Microsoft to rent site Open AI and Oracle discardedView: Bloomberg is reporting that Microsoft has agreed to terms to rent a 700 MW facility in Abilene. The site had been initially set for development to support Oracle and OpenAI requirements, but the latter seemingly walked away
Today, we are publishing the Hyperscale & Cloud section of our 30th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. AI is increasing capital intensity and productivity. Public cloud growth is approaching 35% YoY, constrained by capacity addition. Similar comments at every step of the supply chain: compute, m...
Today, we are publishing the PCs section of our 29th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. 2026 is shaping up as a tough year for PCs: rising memory prices are killing demand, with shipments down low-teens. OEM revenues will prove more resilient as mix shifts toward high-end and ASPs increase. Conse...
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