 
                                                                                It has been a busy week with Nvidia’s comments in Washington and three hyperscalers reporting last night. Building on these updates, we have already formed a very insightful perspective on how AI infrastructure deployments are shaping up for next year. Please follow the link for our insight summarized on a single slide.
 
                                                                                Shipments in Q4 are expected to dip 10% Q/Q given reduced inventories to pull from and Samsung's ongoing conversion of older lines (which is weighing on output).Capex: The company is considering a significant increase in capex in 2026. DRAM - Management noted spend should skew towards DRAM. For DRA
 
                                                                                Figure 1. 3Q25 ResultsSource: Company reports, Wedbush estimates, FactSet consensusAlphabet delivered strong 3Q results across all segments. Alphabet reported 3Q revenue of $102.3B (+15.9% Y/Y), with growth above Street estimates by ~270bps. Google Services revenue of $87.0B (+13.8% Y/Y) was above
 
                                                                                What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we focus on: 1. Search and Cloud growth underscore GOOGL’s AI edge 2. Search revenue/paid click acceleration shows successful evolution of core business 3. Raised 2025 capex guidance and a “significant increase
 
                                                                                DRAM demand growth: Forecast to rise from high-teens % in 2025 to 20%+ in 2026. Hynix is emphasizing its transition to 1C to support conventional DRAM demand (expected to represent >50% of Korean capacity by end of 2026) and its ramp of M15X to increase HBM output in 2026.NAND demand/supply grow
 
                                                                                Lux will use MI350 silicon, a result that should create a modest boost for AMD's server compute/GPU revenues in the early 2026 time frame. Discovery will be built around the MI430, a variant of AMD's MI400 processors tuned for HPC. The biggest surprise here (in our view) is Discovery's delivery isn
 
                                                                                Yesterday, GOOGL formally announced an expanded compute and cloud services deal with Anthropic that provides access to “up to 1 million” TPUs and is worth “tens of billions” of dollars. This follows a Bloomberg report earlier this week citing potential for “high tens of billions” of revenue to GCP. We estimate that GOOGL will have 2.7M TPUs in service by the end of 2025 so the utilization of “up to 1 million” represents a significant source of demand for GOOGL’s custom chips.
 
    
 
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