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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Downgrading Micron: Cyclical patterns should prevail, even along secul...

Memory fundamentals are strong, with HBM demand rising alongside a recovery in conventional memory, while supply stays tight. We expect a series of earnings beats over the coming quarters. However, Micron trades at peak multiples, and we expect those beats to be offset by continued multiple compression, consistent with past cycles—likely resulting in muted stock performance. We therefore downgrade Micron to Neutral, with a $190 target. For now, we prefer TSMC. It offers AI exposure comparable ...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, Memory: Samsung expects CQ3 profit to grow 158% to ~12 Tr Won ($8.5B)View: Samsung yesterday announced its 3Q operating profit is expected to grow ~32% Y/Y to 12.1 trillion won ($8.5B), marking its highest levels since 2Q22 and far exceeding consensus of ~10 trillion won. Although detailed

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Insight Focus on Product Advancements or Fundamentals?

Higher Memory CostsNTAP historically has been somewhat less adept than its peers during periods when memory costs fluctuate.We would not expect any impact on current quarter dynamics or even potentially FQ3 economics given our belief that NTAP pulled some storage purchases forward into CQ2.However,

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, NVDA: Jensen Huang reportedly confirms Samsung’s HBM3e qualView: Per News1 Korea, Jensen has personally informed Samsung that its HBM3e has passed NVIDIA’s quality qualification tests and that NVDA intends to place orders. The two companies, in turn, are now reportedly fine-tuning details

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral

The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

As such, 1) we see a continued opportunity for NVDA (and other US vendors) to again sell parts into China (even assuming capabilities remain limited vs. Western product) and 2) we believe that US vendors should have a significant advantage competing in other geographies (vs. Chinese offerings) assu

Alicia Reese ... (+3)
  • Alicia Reese
  • Kade Barr
  • Matthew McCartney

TODAY | WEDBUSH INVITE | Advisor Call: Navigating the Mobile Ad Landsc...

• A look at ad targeting algorithms: AppLovin’s AXON vs. Unity’s Vector• Consolidation in the mobile advertising ecosystem• AppLovin’s expansion into eCommerce and CTV advertising• The efficacy of AppLovin and Unity’s ad platforms in generalEric Benjamin Seufert is a media strategist, quantitative

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

WDC, HDDs: Irving Tan says company will invest $1B in Japan over the next 5 yearsView: WDC said it would invest $1B in Japan over the next five years to help the company drive the next generation of HDD innovation.We believe WDC has a meaningful R&D presence in Japan dating back to its acquisit

Anish Jog ... (+6)
  • Anish Jog
  • Daniel Ives
  • Matthew Weiss
  • Sam Brandeis
  • Scott Devitt
  • Steven Wahrhaftig

M&A Set to Accelerate In Tech As AI Revolution Takes Hold; Top Tech Ta...

Figure 1: What Will the M&A Landscape Look Like Over the Next Decade?Source: Wedbush Securities, Inc.Funding Remains Strong Across Private AI Markets. With the AI Revolution hitting its next gear of growth, more AI companies across the public and private markets are starting to gain significant

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Having said this, the report also notes that while glass substrates are meant to replace silicon interposers, there is not yet a pressing “must-use” need. Net, we continue to believe glass substrates will eventually become the norm (with initial penetration starting at the high end of the market),

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