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Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Memory: Spot prices move higherView: While TrendForce focuses primarily on DDR4 shortages in its midweek update (and a suspension of quotes), we believe DDR5 availability has tightened further to the point where it's difficult for spot market participants to get pricing for those parts as well. And

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Semicon West: 2026 outlook? Does AI drive growth? DRAM architectures? ...

Last week we attended the 2025 edition of the Semicon West conference, the key event for investors focused on the semiconductor equipment market. Over two days we hosted more than a dozen meetings with companies across the semiconductor value chain. Here are our key takeaways.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Downgrading Micron: Cyclical patterns should prevail, even along secul...

Memory fundamentals are strong, with HBM demand rising alongside a recovery in conventional memory, while supply stays tight. We expect a series of earnings beats over the coming quarters. However, Micron trades at peak multiples, and we expect those beats to be offset by continued multiple compression, consistent with past cycles—likely resulting in muted stock performance. We therefore downgrade Micron to Neutral, with a $190 target. For now, we prefer TSMC. It offers AI exposure comparable ...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, Memory: Samsung expects CQ3 profit to grow 158% to ~12 Tr Won ($8.5B)View: Samsung yesterday announced its 3Q operating profit is expected to grow ~32% Y/Y to 12.1 trillion won ($8.5B), marking its highest levels since 2Q22 and far exceeding consensus of ~10 trillion won. Although detailed

William Nestuk
  • William Nestuk

PSA Capital Goods / Technology: AI Lifts Automation

PSA’s automation and robotics analyst William Nestuk reviews the performance of automation stocks this year and explains why this month, AI has lit a touchpaper to strong performance by names in the sector.

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Insight Focus on Product Advancements or Fundamentals?

Higher Memory CostsNTAP historically has been somewhat less adept than its peers during periods when memory costs fluctuate.We would not expect any impact on current quarter dynamics or even potentially FQ3 economics given our belief that NTAP pulled some storage purchases forward into CQ2.However,

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

Samsung, NVDA: Jensen Huang reportedly confirms Samsung’s HBM3e qualView: Per News1 Korea, Jensen has personally informed Samsung that its HBM3e has passed NVIDIA’s quality qualification tests and that NVDA intends to place orders. The two companies, in turn, are now reportedly fine-tuning details

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of QUALCOMM Incorporated and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 3 October 2025 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of the ratings in the conte...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Does the Semicap rally have legs? Downgrading ASML to Neutral

The outlook for AI spending has strengthened in recent months, driving a rally in Semicap stocks. Our forecast embeds AI capex tripling by 2030, requiring ~$130bn of cumulative WFE spending, but driven by the first-order derivative of AI deployments, i.e. peak acceleration this year and peak spending next year; a trajectory in expectations already and resulting in a weak outlook beyond 2026. With near-term uncertainty, limited upside to 2026 forecasts, and valuations 2–12 turns above historic ...

Antoine Legault ... (+2)
  • Antoine Legault
  • Matthew Bryson

Daily Views on Tech Headlines

As such, 1) we see a continued opportunity for NVDA (and other US vendors) to again sell parts into China (even assuming capabilities remain limited vs. Western product) and 2) we believe that US vendors should have a significant advantage competing in other geographies (vs. Chinese offerings) assu

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