Our analysis of Stargate ambitions and the economics OpenAI aims for over time reveal a stark dilemma, which explains a lot the move, and puts into question the ability of the joint venture to sustainably deploy that much datacenter capacity and, more broadly, the ability of the industry to absorb the datacenter capacity deployed for the training of frontier models.
The Stargate announcement – The $500bn datacenter, was the opportunity for us to bring together a number of analyses we have carried out in recent weeks, to understand how the economics of AI Infrastructure will shape up over time. We bring together, in the piece we publish today, an initial perspective, which might be groundbreaking. This work will help us understand how the AI landscape will shape up in the next 2-3 years, expect more from us on that topic in coming weeks and months.
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