reports
- Russell Waller
Swisscom (Neutral, TP: CHF610, +22%) Q1 24:Mixed numbers, weaker SR ...
Swisscom has reported a slightly mixed set of numbers. Swiss SR trends have deteriorated faster than expected; EBITDA is more in-line, but OpFCF and FCF are both light. We worry that Swiss SR trends will come under further pressure in the run-up to the Sunrise IPO, and as Salt starts to offer a fixed product to more of the country.
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Infineon: Near-term downside priced in. Attractively valued for the lo...
As a follow-up to the work we published two weeks ago, which called for a downcycle in the auto semiconductor market, we review our expectations for Infineon. In summary, we expect Infineon to outperform the broader market, driven by a favorable exposure to xEVs and microcontroller share gains. We still see downside to expectations over the next 12 months, but from a stock perspective, we find the company attractively valued ahead of another leg of strong secular growth beyond this year.
- James Ratzer
- James Ratzer
- Pierre FerraguÊ
Auto semis: The secular and the cyclical – Time to buy?
Auto semiconductor revenue growth has accelerated in the last 5 years. Part of this acceleration is secular and sustainable, attributable to EVs, ADAS, and general car digitalization. However, part of it is not sustainable and will call for a correction. We estimate that $10bn (6 weeks) of inventory slowly built up over the years and therefore see downside to consensus expectations this year. However, from a stock perspective, we see limited downside, and already attractive valuations and believ...
- Baptiste Lebacq
FP TOTAL SE
AMS AMS AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
GNFT GENFIT SA
SIGHT GENSIGHT BIOLOGICS SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
XIL XILAM ANIMATION SA
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WOLF SOCIETE LDC SOCIETE ANONYME
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
INPST INPOST S.A.
HDF HYDROGENE DE FRANCE
SHEL SHELL PLC
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
- Baptiste Lebacq
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/05/2024
Several themes are set to drive the 2024 proxy season, among them the change of voting policy of ISS and a tipping point for climate resolutions. It will also be the last one before the first CSRD reports. Its long-term impact on Boards could also be underestimated. A wave of appointments of specialized sustainability profiles would upset their balance. We identify the AGMs likely to be play the most decisive role for the companies in the medium term: Alstom, Teleperformance, Worldlin...
FP TOTAL SE
AMS AMS AG
AI AIR LIQUIDE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Emmanuel Matot
FP TOTAL SE
AMS AMS AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
GNFT GENFIT SA
SIGHT GENSIGHT BIOLOGICS SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
XIL XILAM ANIMATION SA
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WOLF SOCIETE LDC SOCIETE ANONYME
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
INPST INPOST S.A.
HDF HYDROGENE DE FRANCE
SHEL SHELL PLC
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
- Baptiste Lebacq
- Emmanuel Matot
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/04/2024
Plusieurs éléments animeront les assemblées générales 2024 : changement de politique de vote d’ISS, résolutions climat à un tournant… alors que cette saison est la dernière avant les premiers rapports CSRD. Celle-ci pourrait d’ailleurs avoir un impact long terme sous-estimé sur les conseils. Une vague de nominations de profils spécialisés en durabilité bouleverserait leurs équilibres. Nous identifions les AG les plus déterminantes pour la gouvernance des sociétés à moyen terme : Alsto...
FP TOTAL SE
AMS AMS AG
AI AIR LIQUIDE SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ENI ENI S.P.A.
SAF SAFRAN S.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
UMG UNIVERSAL MUSIC GROUP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : It really is memory that is saving the semiconductors market
>Global sales for February 2024 up +16.4% y-o-y vs +15.5% in January - Worldwide semiconductor sales in February 2024 were published by the WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), with the usual one-month lag. On a three-month moving average, sales came to $ 43.6bn, slightly ahead of our forecast of $ 43.2bn. This represents a sequential decline of 3% (usual seasonal effect in February), but a fresh improvement in full-year growth to +16.4%, after +15.5% in Janu...
AMS AMS AG
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ODDO : C’est vraiment la mémoire qui sauve le marché des semiconducteu...
>Ventes mondiales de février 2024 à +16.4% yoy vs +15.5% en janvier - Les ventes mondiales de semiconducteurs de février 2024 viennent d’être publiés par le WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), avec comme toujours, un mois de décalage. En données lissées (moyenne 3 mois), elles ressortent à 43.6 Md$, légèrement au-dessus de notre prévision de 43.2 Md$. Il s’agit d’une baisse en séquentiel de 3% (saisonnalité normale de février), mais d’une nouvelle améliorati...
AMS AMS AG
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
PFV PFEIFFER VACUUM TECHNOLOGY AG
ATS AT & S AUSTRIA TECHNOLOGIE & SYSTEMTECHNIK AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
VACN VAT GROUP AG
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ALKAL KALRAY SA
JEN JENOPTIK AG
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
- Pierre FerraguÊ
- Jonathan Chaplin
Fiber to the Future – Broadband Trends; Infrastructure Wars; New ILEC ...
We just wrapped up the second day of the BCG and NSR Fiber to the Future Conference. The second day featured discussions with over 30 companies including Altice USA, AT&T, BT Group, Charter, Dycom, Deutsche Telekom, Frontier, Goldman Sachs, Liberty Global, Lumen, Recon Analytics, Shentel, TDS Telecom, Tillman Global, Tucows, and Verizon.
- Ben Rickett
- Anthony Dick
- Marc Lavaud
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Maxime Kogge
- Michael Foundoukidis
ODDO : Véhicules électriques : d’un excès à l’autre ?
Le momentum autour de l’électrification, moins favorable dernièrement, a conduit à un changement profond de perception, passant d’un optimisme sans doute excessif à un pessimisme qui le semble tout autant. En effet, si nous avons revu en baisse nos hypothèses, nous visons néanmoins toujours une croissance dans les années à venir (y compris cette année), bien supérieure à celle du marché automobile dans son ensemble. Face à ces changements, tous les acteurs au sein de la chaîne de...
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
VTSC VITESCO TECHNOLOGIES GRP AG
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
- Anthony Dick
- Marc Lavaud
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Maxime Kogge
- Michael Foundoukidis
ODDO : Electric vehicles: from one extreme to another?
With momentum around electrification less favourable of late, we have seen a major shift in perception, from doubtless overly rose-tinted optimism to what looks to be similarly excessive pessimism. While we have reduced our BEV assumptions, we nonetheless still anticipate growth in the next few years (including this year), well ahead of that of the automotive market as a whole. In the face of these changes, the players in the value chain (mines, semiconductors, auto) are differen...
INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
EO FAURECIA SA
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
ELG ELMOS SEMICONDUCTOR SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
SHA SCHAEFFLER AG
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
AIXA AIXTRON SE
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MELE MELEXIS NV
LIVS AUTOLIV INC. SDR
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
VTSC VITESCO TECHNOLOGIES GRP AG
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
- James Ratzer
- Russell Waller
Swisscom (Neutral, TP: CHF620, +20%) Swisscom and Vodafone agree bind...
Swisscom and Vodafone have announced a binding agreement for Vodafone Italy: an €8bn EV for 100% of the company, on a debt-free basis. We update our thoughts on the deal in this piece from a Swisscom perspective, and will be following up with a piece looking at the deal from a Vodafone perspective later today.
- Jan Frederik Slijkerman
- Jeroen van den Broek
- Jesse Norcross
- Nadège Tillier
- Timothy Rahill
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