WOOD Daily: ESLT IT; HUG PW; TEN PW; PCF PW; VGO PW; CDR PW; PGE PW; G...

HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: HOLD, on valuation grounds (downgraded to HOLD) • Polish mobile game development: missing the growth, counting cash (Huuuge Games stays BUY, Ten Square Games stays HOLD) • PCF Group: 3Q24 EBIT in positive territory, above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 – miss on the adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q24 EBITDA 8% below our forecast, 5% above the consensus NEUTRAL • PGE: 3Q24 results fully in line with the prelim...

Morning Bulletin - 26 November 2024

WOOD Daily: KLKIM TI; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly – Year Ahead, Part 2; ...

HEADLINES: • Kalekim: compelling growth story yet to be priced in (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one – the Year Ahead issue, part 2 • Athens Exchange Group: solid delivery in 3Q24, small beat vs. our expectations POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • GTC: 3Q24 – recurring broadly in line, risk-on after German acquisition NEUTRAL • Romania macro: implications of the presidential elect...

Morning Bulletin - 25 November 2024

The Bulgarian equity market closed the week lower, erasing all gains registered during the week. The negative price actions with heavy members like Sopharma (SFA, BGN 5.60, -2.78%), Doverie (DUH, BGN 8.00, -2.68%) and Shelly (SLYG, EUR 34.00, -1.16%) defined the daily performance and the major indexes booked losses. The moving average of SOFIX (846.41) continued to narrow the range as the benchmark index closed 0.66% lower, followed by the broad indexes BGBX40 (166.48, -0.39%). The daily turnove...

WOOD Daily: KMGZ KZ; PL Macro; RO Macro; ALARABIA AB; PCF PW

HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Poland macro: presidential candidates announced; negative early sentiment signals for November • Romania macro: first round of presidential elections confirms rise of the far right • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: awarded contract to advertise on intercity roads in Saudi Arabia POSITIVE • PCF Group: 3Q24E EBITDA returns to positive territory, on revenue recovery (due out tomorrow)

Weekly bulletin - 11 November - 15 November 2024

This past week, Bulgarian stock market gave back some of the modest gains from the previous ones. The local Benchmark SOFIX lost 0.7% to settle at 853.51, as all the other major indexes closed down, ranging from 0.8% to 0.3%. For a second consecutive week the manufacturer of fertilizers and nitrogen compounds Neochim (NEOH, BGN 29.00, +11.5%) led the list of gainers in our list of selected securities, followed by Telematic Interactive (TIB, BGN 22.40, +3.7%) and Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BG...

Morning Bulletin - 14 November 2024

The enthusiasm on the Bulgarian market weakened on Wednesday and SOFIX (852.98, -0.48%) landed in red. Almost half of the index turnover came from Eurohold Bulgaria (EUBG, BGN 1.45, -2.03%), while the otherwise lack of investor’s interest activity left the turnover unimpressive. The daily gainers within SOFIX were Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.05, +2.94%) and Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.70, +1.45%). First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.82, -2.55%), Eurohold Bulgaria and Bulgarian Stock Exchange (BSE,...

WOOD Daily: EXAE GA; EME Macro/Strategy – Central Asia and the Caucasu...

HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: set sail to dividend wonderland (BUY - transfer of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Central Asia and the Caucasus – USD 1,000bn GDP by 2030! • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one – the Year-Ahead issue • Graphisoft Park: 3Q24 – on course for another good year POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: rather neutral set of 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q24 – 22% higher CASKX alleviated by 4% higher RASK and 12% lower fuel CASK (in line with the consensus) • Bank of...

Athens Exchange Group: set sail to dividend wonderland (BUY - transfer...

In this report, we transfer coverage of Athens Exchange Group (EXAE), with a BUY rating and an increased price target (PT) of EUR 6.5/share (50.0% upside), from EUR 4.8/share previously. We are constructive on the Greek equity market and expect EXAE to be able to capitalise on the market’s performance in the years to come. We believe that its operating performance should continue to improve and sponsor an attractive EPS growth profile, at a c.11% CAGR over the next 10 years, resulting in improve...

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; CCC PW; DNP PW; INPST NA; MOL HB; WIZZ LN; EUROB G...

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: solid 3Q24 results, in line with our forecasts; future share price performance depends on growth guidance and/or capital distribution NEUTRAL • CCC: historically-best quarterly EBITDA 9% above our expectations, due to opex control POSITIVE • Dino Polska: 4-8% EBITDA beats in 3Q24, EBITDA back on the rise POSITIVE • InPost: 3Q24 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • MOL: 3Q24 results – EBITDA in line with our and the consensus estimates NEUTRAL • Wizz...

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only the Czech Republic in the bla...

EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...

Weekly bulletin - 21 October - 28 October 2024

The lack of investors’ enthusiasm and the negative trend on the Bulgarian stock market became more visible during the past week and all major indexes finished with losses. The local benchmark SOFIX decreased by 0.8% to settle at 847.18, while the broad ones – BGBX40 (167.02, -1.6%) and BGTR30 (853.24, -1.8%) performed worse. Speedy (SPDY, BGN 224.00, +3.7%) led the list of gainers within our list of selected companies, followed by the SOFIX members Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.08, +1.9%) and ...

Morning Bulletin - 25 October 2024

The Bulgarian equity market closed lower on Tuesday after the previous rebound session and all main indexes booked losses. BGTR30 (857.03, -0.37%) decreased the most as the negative bias came from less traded names like Galata Investment (GTH, BGN 2.34, -3.31%) and Balkan and Sea Properties REIT (BSP, BGN 22.40, -2.61%) along with negative price actions in Central Cooperative Bank (CCB, BGN 1.60, -2.44%), which defined the direction for SOFIX (846.19, -0.25%). Volume within the benchmark slipped...

Morning Bulletin - 24 October 2024

The trading activity on the Bulgarian equity market was poor on Wednesday, though the main indexes settled on positive territory under the support of low-volume traded Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 3.94, +2.60%) and Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.08, +2.86%). BGTR30 (860.25, -0.24%) alone settled with losses under the weight of Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.68, -5.56%) and Texim Bank (TXIM, BGN 3.24, -10.00%) as the bid order books weakened compared to previous sessions. The daily turnover closed to ...

WOOD Daily: MONET CP; ALR PW; OPL PW; KTY PW; CEZ CP; WPS LN; GE Macro...

HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: solid, good, 3Q24 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q24 in line, but we may be at the peak NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, 2% above consensus on one-offs; EBITDAaL excluding one-offs in line; 2024E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: full 3Q24 results below preliminaries NEGATIVE • CEZ: Babis promoting a buyout of the CEZ minorities POSITIVE • Eurowag: solid 3Q24 trading update POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG keeps ...

WOOD Daily: FTSHP CP; PL Macro; SAR GA; HU Macro; PKO PW; WPL PW; MYTI...

HEADLINES: • Footshop (FTSHP CP): a sneakerhead’s dream – soft coverage (NOT RATED) • Poland macro: weaker consumption boosts prospects for early rate cuts • Sarantis: 3Q trading update in line, FY24E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB signals a longer pause • PKO BP: CEO Midera gives the gist of key strategic directions in Puls Biznesu interview NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: Wakacje.pl and Itaka extend cooperation NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 9M24 trading update preview (due ou...