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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TITC GA; 11B PW; PGE PW; TPE PW; VGO PW; OPAP GA; KAP LI

HEADLINES: • Titan Cement: cementing its leadership (BUY - transfer of coverage) • 11 bit studios: 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA above our expectations, headlines hit by substantial write-offs POSITIVE • PGE: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Tauron: full 4Q24 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: 1Q25 sales up 39% yoy, to PLN 22.1m POSITIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market up by a strong 15% yoy in 2M25 POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: signs supply agreement with CE...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Weekly bulletin - 7 April - 11 April 2025

The global equity markets recouped some of the recent losses, following the mix of positive and negative headlines, but uncertainty and volatility remained worldwide. The Bulgarian stock market did not manage to find support and indexes finished the week mainly on the red side. The local benchmark SOFIX added 0.4% to settle at 882.88, while the broader BGBX40 (169.02, -0.4%) and BGTR30 (863.70, -2.1%) moved in opposite direction. SOFIX member Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.08, +5.9%) and indust...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 10 April 2025

After the turmoil on the world markets, the Bulgarian stock exchange also registered huge fluctuations and uncertainty which set SOFIX at 873.59 (-0.58%). The US market became a casino with enormous daily fluctuations thus influencing all investors worldwide. Despite moderate financial performance Smart Organic (SO, BGN 26.80, -2.19%), Shelly (SLYG, EUR 32.80, -2.09%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.78, -2.58%) weighed on the main index and fully offset the positive move of Sirma Group Hol...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 9 April 2025

The Bulgarian equity market rebounded on Tuesday by eliminating the previous session decline and all major indexes registered gains in range between 0.39% and 1.79% with BGBX40 (168.21) on top. The positive bias came from moderate-volume trades led by Sirma (SGH, BGN 1.06, +6.00%), Smart Organic (SO, BGN 27.40, +5.38%), Wiser Technologies (WISR, BGN 4.72, +5.36%) and Sofia Commerce (SCOM, BGN 6.80, +7.94%) in widen Bid/Ask spreads. The trading activity was focused on the offer side, though the t...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 3 April 2025

Opposite and very rapid moves of index members set SOFIX (902.65, -0.06%) almost unchanged on Wednesday. Doverie United Holding (DUH, BGN 8.10, +1.25%) jumped to BGN 8.36 in the early trading session but profit taking pull back the holding at the end of the day. Speculative trades lifted Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.11, +1.83%) with insignificant daily turnover while Eurohold (EUBG, BGN 1.90, -0.52%) registered block trade with 114K shares. Chimimport (CHIM, BGN 0.735, -2.00%) and First Inves...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Shelly Group SE: Growth with Smart Locks exceeds expectation...

EQS-News: Shelly Group SE / Key word(s): Product Launch Shelly Group SE: Growth with Smart Locks exceeds expectations 02.04.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Shelly Group SE: Growth with Smart Locks exceeds expectations Sofia / Munich, 2 April 2025 – Shelly Group SE (Ticker:  / ISIN: ), one of the world's fastest-growing IoT brands with solutions for smart home and building automation based in Sofia, Bulgaria, is expanding strongly with the sale of intelligent door locks, so-called Smart Locks. Following the acqui...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: Shelly Group SE: Wachstum mit Smart Locks übertrifft Erwartu...

EQS-News: Shelly Group SE / Schlagwort(e): Produkteinführung Shelly Group SE: Wachstum mit Smart Locks übertrifft Erwartungen 02.04.2025 / 09:00 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. Shelly Group SE: Wachstum mit Smart Locks übertrifft Erwartungen Sofia / München, 2. April 2025 – Die Shelly Group SE (Ticker:  / ISIN: ), eine der weltweit am schnellsten wachsenden IoT-Marken mit Lösungen für die intelligente Haus- und Gebäudeautomatisierung mit Sitz in Sofia, Bulgarien, expandiert stark mit dem Verkauf von intelligenten Türsc...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MAVI TI; TL Banks; GPW PW; BFT PW; MOL HB; EU Macro; DNP P...

HEADLINES: • Mavi: a mispriced story with solid fundamentals (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • Turkish banks: weather vs. climate (reinitiating on Akbank, Garanti, Isbank and Yapi Kredi with HOLDs) • Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY) • Benefit Systems: March sports cards addition surprises positively, mostly in Poland POSITIVE • MOL: announces dividend proposal of HUF 275/share NEUTRAL • EU macro: cohesion funds can be deployed for defence, housing and energy investments • Dino...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again

EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Warsaw Stock Exchange: just move on up (stays BUY)

We maintain our BUY on Warsaw Stock Exchange (GPW), with a slightly higher price target (PT) of PLN 56.5/share (from PLN 55.4), implying 24.6% upside from the current share price. Despite the significant ytd rally, we believe that Polish equities are still attractively valued and offer exposure to one of the fastest-growing economies in Europe, creating a compelling argument for a strong stock market performance in the years ahead. Equity turnover is set to be quite strong this year, which could...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (1 April 2025)

HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: bottom-line miss in 4Q24, on higher costs, but proposed DPS in line with expectations NEUTRAL • AROBS Transilvania Software: publishes its 2025 budget POSITIVE • MedLife: publishes its 2025 budget NEGATIVE • CCC: new financing agreement, extending factoring line POSITIVE • DataWalk: sale to Coöperatieve Rabobank; total contract value reaches PLN 66.1m POSITIVE • Orlen: 2024 consolidated results to be affected by one-offs NEUTRAL • Poland macro: preliminary Mar...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (26 March 2025)

HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong delivery in 4Q24, due mainly to the lower costs booked POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q24 EBIT 7% above our forecast; The Witcher 4 to be released after 2026E NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: 4Q24 results – below expectations NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways – focus on flagship games’ monetisation improvement in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Eurowag: takeaways from the 2H24 earnings call NEUTRAL...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; SIPCHEM AB; TL Macro; KAP LI; JMT PL; ALR PW; PC...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: first politician to suggest additional military tax for the banks NEGATIVE • Sipchem: preliminary 4Q24 results, net profit down, on maintenance NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBRT tightens policy with surprise corridor hike • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results – well above the market’s estimates POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call NEGATIVE • Alior Bank: CEO Żabski’s interview with Puls Biznesu, ahead of strategic update (due on 25 March) • Sipchem: to mothb...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

WOOD Flash – Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results – well above the market’s estim...

Kazatomprom published its fourth quarter results yesterday (19 March), and they were well above the market’s estimates. The EBITDA was close to flat yoy, at KZT 491bn, but more than double the previous quarter. For the full year, the EBITDA reached KZT 1,069bn. a company record. Based on the results, we estimate a dividend per share of KZT 1,350 (USD 2.9), although a decision has yet to be published. Management is planning to tweak the formula used to calculate the dividends, which we do not exp...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DSPW CP; ESLT IT; CBF PW; KAP LI; VRC PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: steaming ahead (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Elbit Systems: 4Q24 – strong results, record FCF generation POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: 4Q24 results review – 27% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with our estimates and the consensus POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2025-28E strategy announcement – at least PLN 1.2bn FCF in 2028E POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: recommends DPS of PLN 12.6 and des...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DIA PW; EME Macro/Strategy Ukraine Primer; EME Macro/Strat...

HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: take a test (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine – a macro primer • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine’s peace deal – WOOD’s equity playbook • EMEA airlines: some notes on the potential Ukraine reopening • Aegean Airlines: 4Q24 – material beat vs. our estimates, on higher revenue and lower employee costs POSITIVE • Dom Development: 4Q24 – strongest year on record POSITIVE • Vercom: 4Q24 results review – 29% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with the consensus ...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Weekly bulletin - 10 March - 14 March 2025

The Bulgarian stock market remained volatile over the past week, as the benchmark SOFIX dropped 0.8% and all other major indexes closed down, ranging from -0.5% to -1.4%. The trading activity was weak, as block deals with some unpopular names boosted the volumes (+105.1% YTD) and the turnover (+51.6% YTD) higher than average numbers. The worst performer in our list of selected securities was Telelink Business Services Group (TBS, BGN 9.65, -12.3%), followed by SOFIX members Agria Group (AGH, BGN...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 17 March 2025

The trading activity was narrowly ranged on Friday, which provided mixed outcomes for the main indexes. SOFIX (896.14, -0.04%) and BGREIT (214.69, -0.27%) dove even more in this trading session as Bulgarian Real Estate Fund (BREF, BGN 4.14, -0.96%) and Advance Terrafund (ATER, BGN 3.21, -0.31%) weighed on the index’s performance. Some light-volume price actions with Synergon (SNRG, BGN 0.995, +13.07%), Zarneni Hrani (ZHBG, BGN 0.13, +4.84%) and M+S Hydraulic (MSH, BGN 9.55, +4.37%) provided supp...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PCO PW; AIRA LI; CEZ CP; ALE PW; SHO PW; PL Banks; MBR PW;...

HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: structurally challenged (downgraded to HOLD) • Air Astana Group: 4Q24 – good, at first glance; dividend surprises positively • CEZ: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEGATIVE • Allegro: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call POSITIVE • Shoper: takeaways from the post-4Q24 prelims management call NEUTRAL • Polish banks: receive maximum dividend payout ratio letters from the PFSA – no surprises NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: unfavourable ruling results in closure of Wałbrzych branch (2...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; KLKIM TI; PCO PW; TL Macro; PCF PW; GPP PW; ETE GA...

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: 4Q24 results in line with expectations; guiding cautiously for 2025E operating performance, and HUF 964 DPS in play NEUTRAL • Kalekim: strong 4Q24 IAS 29 results POSITIVE • Pepco Group: key takeaways from the Capital Markets Day NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT cuts again by 250bps • PCF Group: decides to phase out VR games publishing business NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: acquires 65.5% stake in Kadromierz for PLN 20m NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: dismisses speculation over an...

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