EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets have repriced • Text: 2Q25-26 (calendar 3Q25) results – EBITDA down 29% yoy, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: strong 3Q25 beat on EBITDA and net profit, following the strong gross margin and cost discipline POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q25 results review – 3Q25 EBITDA up 92% yoy, 11-15% above our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • PGE: stable to declining recurring EBITDA outlook for 2026E NEUTRAL • H...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
We maintain our BUY on Titan, with an updated 12M price target (PT) of EUR 57.3, which offers 27% upside. Following the Capital Markets Day (CMD), we have increased our growth capex assumptions (in line with the company’s updated target of c.EUR 1.5bn by 2029E) and, in turn, our EBITDA margin expansion assumptions, as well as the organic revenue growth, on the back of better-than-expected performances from Greece and Egypt during 9M25. On top of this, its peers’ 2026E EV/EBITDA multiple has expa...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: eyes 19% ROE and is more open to higher dividend payouts in its strategy update POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 3Q25 delivery with a 7% beat to consensus POSITIVE • Murapol: 3Q25E close to our forecasts with weaker revenue, but stronger gross margin NEUTRAL • Orlen: swaps some Norwegian assets with DNO NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext reportedly reaches the acquisition threshold NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy; conse...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 3Q25 – results boosted by land plot sale POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q25 – EBIT 13% ahead of our estimate, driven by 1% better CASK POSITIVE • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 2Q FY26 results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Ignitis Group: 3Q25 adjusted EBITDA 3% lower yoy on weak Green Generation and Reserve Capacities NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 3Q25 results highlights • Titan: takeaways from the Investor Day; ambit...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line beat in 3Q25, on higher trading income and lower costs POSITIVE • Jahez: 3Q25 financial results review NEGATIVE • Pegasus Airlines: 3Q25 – RASK pressure exceeds our estimate NEGATIVE • CCC: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA miss of 5%; FY25E EBITDA guidance cut to PLN 1.7-1.8bn, from PLN 2.4bn NEGATIVE • Alpha Bank: 3Q25 highlights – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • Dino: key takeaways from the 3Q25 call NEGATIVE • InPost: key takeaways from the 3Q25 call NEGATIVE • MOL: ...
Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 3Q25 results review – 55% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 3Q25 results review – 10% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 28% yoy, to PLN 18.4m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Richter: weak 3Q25 across all segments NEGATIVE • CTP: 3Q25 – in line, FY targets reiterated NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 3Q25 results in line operationally NEUTRAL • Sok ...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: 3Q25 results – improved margins, strong NI beat and record backlog additions POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 3Q25 results – recovery in operating performance begins POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q25 results – in line, except for a small NI beat • Medicover: soft 3Q25 top line, but adjusted EBITDA beats on admin costs NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 3Q25 EBITDA 9% above our expectations, supported by strong Supply, Generation and Distribution NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 3Q25 conference...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: 3Q25 trading update – strong execution, guidance upgraded POSITIVE • Otokar: 3Q25 results – weak EBITDA, low quality bottom-line beat NEGATIVE • Tofas: 3Q25 results miss expectations NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: controlling shareholder ALMEX announces intention to dispose of stake NEGATIVE • CIS+ macro: on the ground in Central Asia – reform stories enter the next phase • Brisa: guiding lower for FY25E revenues growth, but higher for EBITDA margin NEUTRAL • CEZ: natio...
EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 3Q25 – operating recovery overshadowed by loss on bottom line, full-year guidance lowered NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (20-26 October) • DIGI Communications: chooses banks to list its Spanish unit POSITIVE • Titan: Fitch improves outlook to Positive, citing strong financial profile POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: consortium with Chevron wins tender for four new Greek offshore E&P blocks, as expected NEUTRAL • Diagnostyka: CFO steps down NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: ann...
HEADLINES: • Hidroelectrica: water should yield more (SELL - transfer of coverage) • MONETA Money Bank: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 2% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Kety: full 3Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Sarantis: 3Q trading update slightly below expectations; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • MOL: to become a holding company NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: CEO favours Poland ...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: announces all-share merger with parent Allwyn International NEUTRAL • Eurobank: acquires Fairfax's 80% stake in Eurolife's life insurance business NEUTRAL • CTP: issues EUR 600m 6.5Y green bonds at a 3.625% coupon POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: ASK up 17% in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Cimsa: grey cement grinding plant in Houston has been commissioned POSITIVE • 11 bit: management board member sold shares worth PLN 0.3m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 October) • Titan: ...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: solid 3Q25 trading update, but still at a standstill in Spain NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q25 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 3Q25 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 394m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • Murapol: 734 apartments sold and 413 units handed over in 3Q25; 66% of our annual sales forecast met after 1-3Q25 NEGATIVE • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, on steady inflation • Romania macro: MPC on a prolonged pause • Theon International: si...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: growth acceleration priced in already (downgraded to HOLD) • GTC: moves to amend terms of the two outstanding Forint bonds • OTE/DIGI Communications: Telekom Romania sold to DIGI and Vodafone for EUR 70m POSITIVE • EMEA Airlines: flights cancelled in Europe over weekend due to cyberattack on airport software • Wizz Air: strike on 26 September may disrupt operations in Italy NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Titan: Fidelity Investments cuts ownership...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
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