HAL has hit our price target for the second time since our Buy rating in Apr'25, marking a +30% rally. Following the Sept'25 company note, we have revised our model to reflect: the improved sentiment in the offshore energy sector supporting a higher valuation for core holding Boskalis, and (ii) selective adjustments to peer multiples for other private assets. This drives our target NAV per share to €225 (from €218 in Sept'25). We maintain a relatively wide 25% target discount (down from 30% in...
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3Q25 revenue dropped by 10.9%, which was below our forecast of about -1%. Both Europe and US saw revenue decline by double digits, although the drop in the US was only mid single digits when excluding FX effects. 3Q25 adjusted EBITDA was not disclosed but was said to be down y/y, which is not surprising given the weak top line momentum. We have lowered our FY25 and FY26 adjusted EBITDA forecasts by respectively 10% and 8%. Despite the disappointing top line momentum, valuation continues to look ...
HAL Trust, a prestige investment firm, has delivered over 100x returns to shareholders since 1977 with a small, talented team. Its portfolio stands out with maritime assets like Boskalis (33% of NAV), Vopak (14.3%), SBM Offshore (5%), and well-known names like Coolblue and Siltronic. Despite this, HAL's share price is down 20% from its peak in 2016 and the stock is trading at a 24% discount to book value. Apart from sluggish portfolio performance, we see four reasons for fading investor interes...
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