>Disposal of Spain, ahead of the upcoming divestment of Italy - We have downgraded our forecasts to reflect the disposal of Spain (but our forecasts do not include the divestment of Italy pending the regulatory agreement): we have reduced our sales estimates by 15% from FY 2025 (to € 40bn), by 5% for EBITDAal (to € 12.2bn) and by 12% for FCFaL (to € 2.6bn). The EPS impact is, however, not significant, as the Spanish unit is not profitable.Pro-forma FY 202...
>Cession de l’Espagne, avant celle à venir de l’Italie - Nous révisons à la baisse nos prévisions pour intégrer la cession de l’Espagne (nos prévisions n’intègrent toutefois pas encore la cession de l’Italie dans l’attente de l’accord réglementaire) : nous abaissons de 15% nos estimations de CA à partir de FY 2025 (à 40 Md€), de 5% en EBITDAal (à 12,2 Md€) et de 12% en FCFaL (à 2,6 Md€). L’impact BPA est toutefois non significatif, l’activité espagnole n’étant pas pro...
Nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (conviction Midcap Europe) avec un objectif de cours et des prévisions de résultats relevés. L’optimisme est de rigueur sur les perspectives d’activité, les marges offrent encore un potentiel d’amélioration, le bilan est sous-leveragé, les multiples de valorisation restent attractifs et le fondateur achète des actions. - ...
We reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (European midcap top pick). We have revised up our target price and earnings forecasts. Bright prospects ahead for revenues, still room for margin improvement, the balance sheet is underleveraged, valuation multiples remain attractive and the founder is buying shares. - ...
>Our scenario for the restructuring of Altice France - Faced with a debt wall in 2027-2029 (€ 22bn) and already negative FCF, Altice France has opted to force the hand of its creditors by attempting to impose the restructuring of its debt. We see three scenarios: 1/ A general agreement: assuming the reinitialisation of leverage in 2024 at 3.7x and the use of the ~€ 5.4bn proceeds from divestments (Altice Media, La Poste Mobile, XP Fibre, data centres), we calcul...
>Notre scenario de restructuration d’Altice France - Face à son mur de dette sur 2027-2029 (22 Md€) et ses FCF déjà négatifs, Altice France a choisi de forcer la main de ses créanciers en tentant d’imposer une restructuration de sa dette. Notre équipe crédit, dans une note publiée ce matin, perçoit trois scenarios : 1/ Un accord général : en supposant une réinitialisation du levier 2024 à 3,7x et l’utilisation de ~5,4 Md€ de produits de cession (Altice Medi...
A director at Vodafone Group bought 823,500 shares at 69p and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...
After very strong results during 2021 and 2022 on the back of industry tailwinds due to supply chain disruptions, IMCD maintained a relatively steady operating performance over 2023 despite a clear normalisation of end-market demand within Industries. Notwithstanding these industry pressures, IMCD was able to offset the negative organic growth over 2023 (-6.4%) with its acquisitory power, stabilising growth for the year (excl. FX impact). We believe that IMCD is ready to resume its up...
>IONOS (Outperform): 2024 EBITDA 4% above expectations - IONOS reported Q4 2023 sales up 7.5% y-o-y to € 365m (cons. € 364m), driven by webhosting (+9%) and cloud (+14%). Q4 EBITDA was up 20% y-o-y to € 84m (cons. € 84m), thanks to revenue growth and stable costs. IONOS added 60,000 new clients in Q4, a solid quarter. 2024 guidance confirmed: target growth of 11% in revenues to € 1,423m (of which 11% in webhosting and 14-16% in cloud) and 15% in EBITDA to € 450m (cons...
>IONOS (Outperform): 2024 EBITDA 4% above expectations - IONOS reported Q4 2023 sales up 7.5% y-o-y to € 365m (cons. € 364m), driven by webhosting (+9%) and cloud (+14%). Q4 EBITDA was up 20% y-o-y to € 84m (cons. € 84m), thanks to revenue growth and stable costs. IONOS added 60,000 new clients in Q4, a solid quarter. 2024 guidance confirmed: target growth of 11% in revenues to € 1,423m (of which 11% in webhosting and 14-16% in cloud) and 15% in EBITDA to € 450m (cons...
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