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David Vagman ... (+2)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA

D'Ieteren/A leap of faith for 2H25, concerns for 2026/BUY

We cut our 2025-28F EPS by 4-5% and target price by 5% to €223 on weaker TVH, PHE and Belron as well as lower multiples, in particular at TVH. We still expect 13% FCFev CAGR 2025-28F and 14% EPS CAGR, on 7% EBIT CAGR. The stock has underperformed 17% since 1H25 and is flat YTD, trading at >40% discount, 11x P/E 2026F, 7% FCFev yield. We remain believers in the long-term story, self-help potential (Belron price/mix, cash/commercial markets, mobile static recalibration, TVH turnaround) but admit t...

Felix Fischer ... (+5)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: TalkTalk, Adler Pelzer, Borr Drilling, Ontex, Canpack, Bombardier, Azelis, Picard, Air Baltic, Teva

 PRESS RELEASE

Ontex completes the divestment of its Turkish business

Ontex completes the divestment of its Turkish business Aalst, Belgium, November 3, 2025 – Ontex Group NV [EURONEXT: ONTEX], a leading international developer and producer of hygienic products and solutions, announces that it has completed the divestment of its Turkish business to Dilek Grup. The transaction includes Ontex’s business in Türkiye and related exports to certain surrounding countries, marketed through brands like Canbebe, Canped and Prosafe, as well as its plant in Istanbul. Under its new ownership, the former Ontex subsidiary will continue to develop, manufacture, commercial...

 PRESS RELEASE

Ontex rondt de verkoop van zijn Turkse activiteiten af

Ontex rondt de verkoop van zijn Turkse activiteiten af Aalst, België, 3 november 2025 – Ontex Group NV [EURONEXT: ONTEX], een toonaangevende ontwikkelaar en producent van persoonlijke verzorgingsproducten, maakt bekend dat het de verkoop van zijn Turkse activiteiten aan Dilek Grup heeft afgerond. De transactie omvat Ontex’s activiteiten in Turkije en de bijbehorende export naar bepaalde omliggende landen, op de markt gebracht via merken zoals Canbebe, Canped en Prosafe, evenals de fabriek in Istanbul.Onder de nieuwe eigenaar zal de voormalige Ontex-dochteronderneming van voornamelijk merkg...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 10/31/2025

INEOS Quattro: conference call comments|Casino is launching work to adapt its financial structure|Iliad and CK Hutchison are reportedly weighing a potential merger of their Italian operations (Reuters)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 31/10/2025

INEOS Quattro: conference call comments|Casino va discuter avec ses créanciers en vue de l'adaptation et du renforcement de sa structure financière|Iliad et CK Hutchison envisageraient une éventuelle fusion de leurs activités en Italie (Reuters)|

Felix Fischer ... (+6)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Intrum, Liberty Global, Iliad, International Personal Finance, Nissan Motor, Borr Drilling, Seche Environnement, Adler Pelzer, Ontex, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Paragon, Boparan, Ineos Quattro

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 10/30/2025

Avolta: Q3 sales and EBITDA came in a shade below expectations, but cash generation exceeded expectations. Faster growth rate in North America in October.|Constellium: Results ahead of expectations, good Q4 expected, and guidance upgraded once again|Eramet : Q3 25 revenue lower than expected|Finnair: Guidance range tightened downwards amid higher costs and weaker demand|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 30/10/2025

Avolta : un T3 un peu en-dessous des attentes sur le CA et l’Ebitda mais meilleure sur la génération de cash. Accélération de la croissance en octobre en Amérique du Nord.|Constellium: Results ahead of expectations, good Q4 expected, and guidance upgraded once again|Eramet : CA T3 25 plus faible que prévu|Finnair: Guidance range tightened downwards amid higher costs and weaker demand|

Robert Jan Vos ... (+2)
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Usama Tariq
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: The interim is back. Arcadis: Slow return to organic growth, FCF disappoints. Ayvens: Keeping its promise. dsm-firmenich: Waiting for Godot. D'Ieteren: Boyd prelim 3Q25, $1.3bn M&A deal, NYSE listing, $780m capital increase. Flow Traders: Down but not out. Ontex: FY25F guidance confirmed despite a modestly softer 3Q25. Recticel: Weak 3Q25 but comforting outlook. Shell plc: Solid story with cash continuing to come in strongly. TKH Group: Preview - subsea remains in foc...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA,...

: ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, RECT BB

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Ontex FIRST LOOK: 3Q: -4% LFL revenue, EBITDA -10%, FY guidance kept

Despite a weaker than expected top line (-4% LFL), 3Q adjusted EBITDA dropped less than we expected (-10% y/y) whilst being close to consensus. Ontex reiterated FY25 guidance of € 200-210m adjusted EBITDA whilst we and consensus are more cautious (respectively 6% below the low end of the range and 2% for consensus). Whilst we still believe in the growth prospects of the US business on the back of lower private label penetration and Ontex' challenger status, we cannot be blind for the intensified...

 PRESS RELEASE

Ontex reports sequential improvement across key financial indicators ...

Ontex reports sequential improvement across key financial indicators in Q3 Regulated information Revenue of €445 million, 3.8% lower LFL year on year due to softer market demand, and 3.7% up versus Q2 on volume growth driven by contract gains;Adj. EBITDA margin at 11.4%, 0.6pp lower year on year, and 3.0pp up versus Q2 on revenue recovery and cost optimization;Full year outlook maintained. CEO quote Gustavo Calvo Paz, Ontex’s CEO, said: “The significant sequential improvement in profitability in the third quarter as a result of new contracts and strong execution of our transformatio...

 PRESS RELEASE

Ontex rapporteert sequentiële verbetering van belangrijkste financiële...

Ontex rapporteert sequentiële verbetering van belangrijkste financiële indicatoren in 3de kwartaal Gereglementeerde informatie Omzet van 445 miljoen €, 3,8% lager jaar op jaar en op vergelijkbare basis door zwakkere marktvraag, en 3,7% hoger dan in het 2de kwartaal door volumegroei gebaseerd op nieuwe contracten;Aangepaste EBITDA-marge van 11,4%, 0,6pp lager jaar op jaar, en 3,0pp hoger dan in 2de kwartaal, dankzij omzetherstel en kostenoptimalisatie;Vooruitzichten voor de jaarresultaten gehandhaafd. Citaat van de CEO Gustavo Calvo Paz, CEO van Ontex, zei: "De aanzienlijke sequentiële ...

Felix Fischer ... (+7)
  • Felix Fischer
  • Haidje Rustau
  • Jayanth Kandalam
  • Peter Low
  • Si Yong Ng
  • Tanvi Arora
  • Trung Nguyen

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Europe

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Liberty Global, Banijay, evoke, CEMEX, Ardagh, Nomad Foods (Iglo), Versuni, Boparan, Ontex, Intrum, International Personal Finance, Ineos, Nissan Motor

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - kitchen sinking again? CM.com: New CFO appointed. Cofinimmo: Good results a touch better than forecasts, guidance reconfirmed, DEME Group: Wins strategic position in Brazil. D'Ieteren: State Farm TPA contract details emerge. Signify: 3Q25 results – guidance cut. Xior Student Housing: 5.4% LFL growth and full occupancy – operational trends solid.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: 3Q in line, FY margin now low end of guidance. Acomo: Going from strength to strength. Ahold Delhaize: New $860m distribution centre for Food Lion. Azelis: Weak 3Q25 as broadly expected, CFO to step down. Barco: Press release ahead of CMD. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q25 Results – Delivered on order intake. Econocom: 3Q25 organic growth down to c.3.4%, full year growth guidance confirmed. Heineken: EverGreen 2030. Kinepolis: Weak 3Q25 as expected, with Netherlands at ...

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