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Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong top-line growth and margins further hurt in 2H2...

China’s internet companies reported intact 2Q25 top-line with mixed earnings results. The key focuses are on the latest quick commerce war and AI cloud and agent development. In 2Q25, we saw meaningful AI monetisation visibility contributing to incremental top-line growth, and expect this momentum to continue into 2H25. On the profitability front, margins will remain under pressure from heightened investments to fend off the intensifying competition in on-demand delivery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 2Q25: Revenue beat; viable cross-selling from FD but...

JD’s 2Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 22% yoy to Rmb356.7b, 6% above our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 90% yoy to Rmb1.1b, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.3%. Non-GAAP net profit was down 49% yoy to Rmb7.4b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$42.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+11)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi

Greater China Daily: Friday, August 15, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China’s PEV yoy sales growth turned negative (at -0.5%) during the week. BYD and Li Auto posted a yoy sales decline. We expect EV sales to recover from September with the launch of new models and interest subsidies for auto loans. Lithium carbonate prices rebounded to >Rmb80,000/tonne due to better supply discipline. We upgrade Ganfeng Lithium from HOLD to BUY thanks to lithium price recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, August 15, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Yoy growth of China’s PEV sales turns negative; lithium price recovers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$18.95/Target: HK$42.00) 2Q25: Core earnings surge 93% yoy, in line; raise target price to HK$42.00. Maintain BUY. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$15.67/Target: HK$17.84) ...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+4)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Friday, July 11, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales down 30% wow as promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$123.60/Target: HK$158.00): 2Q25 preview: Intact top-line growth; expecting margin erosion on FD investment. TRADERS’ CORNER Longfor Group Holdings Limited (960 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$10.24-10.38 China Tobacco International (HK) Company Limited (6055 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$32.70-32.90

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+14)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, July 11, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales down 30% wow as promotions end. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Update JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$123.60/Target: HK$158.00): 2Q25 preview: Intact top-line growth; expecting margin erosion on FD investment. INDONESIA Update Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,720/Target: Rp6,000): We expect 2Q25 results to remain strong; double-digit guidance remains intact. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: Inventory continues t...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 2Q25 Preview: Intact Top-line Growth; Expecting Marg...

JD’s 2Q25 top-line guidance remains unchanged at double-digit growth, in line with 1Q25 revenue growth of 15.8% yoy, slightly better than our expectations. JD expects an FD loss of Rmb10b in 2Q25 and investment to further ramp up in 3Q25 due to the peak season and intense competition. Given the solid growth in the core commerce business, the company remains confident about achieving double-digit top-line growth in 2025. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$158.00 (US$40.00).

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued ...

The national subsidies programme continued to reinforce the consumption trend of “value-based substitution” during the 618 festival. While the share of online vs offline spending remained stable, emerging channels are creating new growth opportunities. We believe the consumption momentum will be shaped by: a) impact from the temporary suspension of the national subsidies programme in five provinces, and b) changes in the food delivery competitive landscape. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+12)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, June 19, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Entering a new phase of accelerated growth. Upgrade to OVERWEIGHT. Internet 618 Festival – Evolving consumer trends and continued focus on value for money. Small/Mid Cap Highlights JBM Healthcare (2161 HK/BUY/HK$2.85/Target: HK$3.31) Takeaways from luncheon. INDONESIA Update Kalbe Farma (KL...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: JD’s new initiative in on-demand delivery is reshaping...

Market concerns persist over the viability of JD’s entry into the food delivery space and the implications of the increasingly competitive landscape. In response to the heightened rivalry, food delivery companies have ramped up their investment, weighing on near-term profitability. By leveraging high-frequency food delivery scenarios to channel traffic toward e-commerce categories, JD and Alibaba have effectively enhanced conversion efficiency during the 618 campaign. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 1Q25: Strong earnings beat; intact 2025 outlook; vag...

JD’s 1Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 16% yoy to Rmb301b, 3-4% above our and consensus estimates, in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit rose 31% yoy to Rmb11.7b, translating to a non-GAAP operating profit margin of 3.9%. Non-GAAP net profit grew 43% yoy to Rmb12.8b. Adjusted net margin jumped 1ppt yoy to 4%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$185.00 (US$49.00).

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+16)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, May 14, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00): 1Q25: Strong earnings beat; intact 2025 outlook; vague visibility on food delivery. JD Logistics, Inc (2618 HK/BUY/HK$12.24/Target: HK$22.00): 2024: Results broadly in line; revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. Maintain BUY. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$54.50/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Solid earnings beat; encouraging margin outlook in 2025. INDONESIA Update Trimegah Bangun Persada (NCKL IJ/BUY/Rp670/Tar...

Greater China Research Team ... (+4)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, May 14, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results JD.com (9618 HK/BUY/HK$137.00/Target: HK$185.00) JD’s 1Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 16% yoy to Rmb301b, 3-4% above our and consensus estimates, in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit rose 31% yoy to Rmb11.7b, translating to a non-GAAP operating profit margin of 3.9%. Non-GAAP net profit grew 43% yoy to Rmb12.8b. Adjusted net margin jumped 1ppt yoy to 4%. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$1...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+15)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 11

GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation Deflationary pressures remain. Sector Automobile Weekly: Direct impacts from US tariffs contained; indirect spillovers uncertain. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: BYD, Geely and Desay SV. Update Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$81.55/Target: HK$108.80) 1Q25 sales me...

AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
SCC SIAM CEMENT PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
SOP SARAWAK OIL PALMS BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
KIML KIM LOONG RESOURCES BHD
MINT MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
FHT FRASERS HOSPITALITY TRUST
IOI IOI CORP BHD
KLK KUALA LUMPUR KEPONG BHD
SASSR SASSEUR REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
GENP GENTING PLANTATIONS BHD
DBB DUOPHARMA BIOTECH BHD
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
UHU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
HMN ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
CLCT CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
BRIS BANK BRISYARIAH TBK
MXNU ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DCRU DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 1Q25 preview: Benefitting from trade-in programme; l...

JD’s 1Q25 top-line growth and earnings guidance remained unchanged at doubledigit growth, slightly better than our expectations. JD also saw strong user growth and GMV growth in 1Q25 as it is well positioned to capture the continuation of the trade-in programme. JD highlighted its minimal revenue exposure to the US, implying limited impact from the US tariffs. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$220.00 (US$60.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, April 11, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics Inflation March CPI fell 0.1% yoy, up from February’s 0.7% yoy dip as the latter was affected by the Chinese New Year effect. Core CPI did edge higher to 0.5% yoy compared with the average pace of 0.3% yoy over the past three months, driven by higher services inflation. PPI deflation worsened to -2.5% yoy (-0.3ppt), with declines seen in mining and quarrying as well as other raw materials. We opine that the overall pricing power of manufacturers remains weak. Sector ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon...

Chinese internet companies’ share prices have dropped 10-30% mtd following the implementation of incremental tariffs from the US. Chinese internet companies have limited business exposure to the US except for PDD’s Temu. However, the 34% tariffs announced by China on all US imports could have potential implications for China mega-caps’ AI capex in relation to US chip imports. We prefer domestic-focused plays which stand to benefit from domestic policy stimuli, with Southbound inflow to be a key ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+9)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, April 09, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Internet Navigating headwinds and uncovering opportunities upon tariff pressures. INDONESIA Update Erajaya Swasembada (ERAA IJ/BUY/Rp348/Target: Rp480) Iphone 16 series to be available in 2Q25. Maintain BUY. MALAYSIA Update Matrix Concepts Holdings (MCH MK/BUY/RM1.27/Target: RM1.66) We view the RPT deal as fair and strategic as the acquisition allows Matrix to see faster ro...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 4Q24: Strong earnings beat; resilient top-line bolst...

JD’s 4Q24 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 13% yoy to Rmb347b, 4% above our and consensus estimates, outperforming the previously lifted guidance of 9% yoy. Non-GAAP operating profit rose 34% yoy to Rmb10.5b, translating to a non-GAAP operating profit margin of 3%. Non-GAAP net profit grew 34% yoy to Rmb11.3b. Adjusted net margin jumped 1ppt yoy to 3%. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$220.00 (US$60.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+6)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi

Greater China Daily: Friday, March 7, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile China auto sales rebounded in the ninth week of 2025, with a 53.8% PEV market share. BYD plans to issue 118m H-shares to raise around US$5.6b, aiming at funding the construction of overseas plants. Geely’s AI Technology Launch event introduced the "Qianli Haohan" intelligent driving system featuring a five-tier framework. With regard to US tariffs on Mexico and China, direct impacts on Chinese automakers are limited. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Geely, Fuy...

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