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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Azelis: Strong margin performance in weak trading results in 3% EBITA beat. BE Semiconductor Industries: 1Q24 results; prolonged downcycle. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc: Messy but good. DWS: Record breaking. Flow Traders: Crypto Kings. Fugro: Here we go again. Kinepolis: Weak start to the year, but a bit better than feared. UCB: Changes in the group executive committee. Unilever: Heading in the right direction. Vonovia: Disposal of 4,500 apartments for €700m. Wolters Kl...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Olympic Games and Euro 2024: a limited economic impact but an o...

In the run-up to the 2024 Summer Olympic Games and Euro 2024 football tournament, we have identified six stocks to favour: JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield and easyJet. While these two major sporting events are not expected to have a significant impact on the host economies in the medium term, the microeconomic and sectoral impacts should be more marked. The tourism, transport, beverages and consumer goods sectors are expected to be the main winners. Som...

Jerôme Bodin
  • Jerôme Bodin

ODDO : Jeux Olympiques et Euro 2024 : un impact économique limité mais...

En amont des Jeux Olympiques d’été et de l’Euro de football 2024, nous identifions 6 valeurs à privilégier  : JCDecaux, Accor, Sodexo, adidas, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield et easyJet. Alors que ces deux évènements sportifs majeurs ne devraient pas avoir d’impact significatif sur les économies hôtes à moyen terme, les impacts microéconomiques et sectoriels devraient être plus marqués. Les secteurs du tourisme, des transports, des boissons et des biens de consommation devraient être l...

Robert Jan Vos ... (+2)
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Salome Charamalet

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners : TP raised to €60 (from €55); Neutral ...

>FY 2023 recap: strong price/mix but consumers trading down - CCEP reported its FY 2023 results with 8% yoy revenue growth and revenue per unit case 8.5% higher year-on-year. The company reported -0.5% volume growth (translation: softer consumer spending, especially in Coca-Cola drinks and RTD tea, coffee and juices). We note that Energy drinks outperformed CCEP’s overall volume performance with +14% volume growth. CCEP realised a strong operational efficiency perfor...

Robert Jan Vos ... (+2)
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Salome Charamalet

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners : FY 2023 results, +8% revenue growth, ...

>No volume growth, only price increase for FY 2023 - CCEP realised € 18,302m of sales for FY 2023 which implies 8% yoy growth (comparable FXN)Regarding the company’s categories, sparkling volumes are in line with FY 2022, including a slight increase from flavours, mixers and Energy and no volume growth from Coca-Cola. Stills volumes are down 5% yoy, including -7% for hydration and -3 for RTDs and juices. On revenue per UC, CCEP reported € 5.70 of revenue per UC,...

Robert Jan Vos ... (+2)
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Salome Charamalet

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners : FY 23 guidance set to be met, revenue...

>Q4 2023 strong price/mix, no/negative volumes - CCEP is set to report its FY 2023 results on 23 February 2024 at 8am CET. The company’s revenue guidance for FY 2023 stands at 8-9%. This outlook was reiterated by CCEP in Q3 2023, while the company had already realised 8.5% revenue growth in the first nine months of 2023. As such, keeping such expectations of total revenue growth implies revenue growth in the range of 7-15.3% in Q4 2023. This quarter, we expect Western...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASM: Going big in R&D - CAPEX. Kinepolis: Low box office revenue and attendance in US/Canada and France in November. Wereldhave: €74m acquisition of Dutch shopping centre.

Reg Watson ... (+2)
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners/Manila Coke/BUY

We have analysed CCEP's proposed acquisition of Coca-Cola Beverages Philippines Inc. (CCBPI) and conclude that the read-across to CCEP's Indonesian operations is limited due to historical and cultural differences between the two island nations. Furthermore, we note that CCEP is acquiring CCBPI at a time when the Philippine government has doubled its tax on sweetened beverages, which will create a challenging price and volume environment for the business. Nonetheless, the cash-funded acquisition ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Salome Charamalet

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/20/2023

The market wants to see the glass as half full, with lower inflation ending the central bank tightening cycle and leading to an easing of yields. This complacency could last until the next meetings of the Fed (13 December) and the ECB (14 December). For those wishing to play this short-term sequence, we recommend continuing to overweight US equities, overweighting Growth vs Value, as well as Quality, remaining Market Weight on Cyclicals and Defensives, and adjusting the sector allocat...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Salome Charamalet

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 20/11/2023

Saint-Gobain a fait le choix de se transformer pour ne pas mourir. Pour autant, le marché reste sceptique quant aux changements très substantiels survenus depuis l’ère Bazin. Le meilleur reste encore à venir. Rien de mieux qu’une année 2024 encore difficile pour convaincre de la solidité du nouveau modèle : les économies de coûts que nous estimons à 400 M€e devraient permettre de compenser une baisse de volume de ~3%. Nous restons convaincus que le rerating titre n’est qu’une question...

Robert Jan Vos ... (+2)
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Salome Charamalet

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners : Strong finish to the year expected; G...

>Q3 2023 recap: soft, with consumers trading down - CCEP reported a soft Q3 2023 trading update, with a 3% sales miss versus consensus. CCEP realised volumes of -5% and -4.5%, respectively, for the Away From Home and the Home channels. However, the company reported 9% revenue growth per unit case, driven by headline price increases, promotional optimisation, and favourable brand mix. The company reiterated its 8-9% FY 2023 sales guidance despite YTD 2023 FX-neutral re...

Robert Jan Vos ... (+2)
  • Robert Jan Vos
  • Salome Charamalet

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners : Weak set of Q3 2023 results, 3% miss ...

>Strong comparable and weak volumes in Q3 2023 - CCEP reported € 4,807m in Q3 2023 with 1.5% of yoy growth and a 3% miss on css (Vuma css: € 4,962m, AAOBe: € 4,985m). Revenues were weak in Northern Europe (-1%) and stronger in Germany (+9%) and Iberia (6%). All volumes are down in Q3 with sparkling reporting -3.5% and stills reporting -10%. For Europe, CCEP reported € 3,956m in Q3 2023 with 3.5% of yoy growth and a 2.6% miss on css (Vuma css: € 4,062m, AAOBe: € 4,087m...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Fifth Avenue. B&S Group: Preview - slowing top line growth. Brunel International: Preview of 3Q23 results due 3 November. Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Watery summer. Heijmans: All units perform in line with margin targets. Randstad: CMD feedback; some highlights. Staffing: Dutch period 10: October volume stable weak; revenue down on lower pricing. Wereldhave: Sound top line trend continues

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