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Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/04/2024 Date Performance dep...

Nous réitérons notre recommandation Surperformance (conviction Midcap Europe) avec un objectif de cours et des prévisions de résultats relevés. L’optimisme est de rigueur sur les perspectives d’activité, les marges offrent encore un potentiel d’amélioration, le bilan est sous-leveragé, les multiples de valorisation restent attractifs et le fondateur achète des actions. - ...

Bruno Cavalier ... (+3)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emira Sagaama
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 04/09/2024 Date Performance sin...

We reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (European midcap top pick). We have revised up our target price and earnings forecasts. Bright prospects ahead for revenues, still room for margin improvement, the balance sheet is underleveraged, valuation multiples remain attractive and the founder is buying shares. - ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Still in search of a new CFO. Staffing: French staffing - February materially better, March outlook a touch better. Staffing: US temp volume trend stabilizing, job market data quite strong

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Exit for new CFO

>Alfen Boards and Boudewijn Tans decide to withdraw nomination as CFO - On the evening before the AGM, Alfen has issued a press releases indicating that “After careful and constructive consideration, the Alfen Supervisory and Management Boards and Boudewijn Tans have mutually decided to withdraw his nomination as Chief Financial Officer from the Annual General Meeting agenda on 9 April 2024.”Fit was not as expected. Boudewijn Tans started with a handover period i...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+3)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Vranken
Paul de Froment ... (+3)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
  • Thomas Mordelle

Alfen: Substation moisture issues

Last week, Alfen announced it is currently working closely with Liander, one of the three leading Dutch DSOs, to manage low but abnormal levels of moisture discovered in several recently delivered medium voltage substation transformers. Whereas there are no safety risks, and maintenance can be perf

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Moisture issues in Smart Grid division. Kinepolis: Departure of CFO Jeroen Mouton. Orange Belgium: Nethys gets 11% of Orange Belgium at €20.5 per share. Sofina: FY23 results NAV a notch better. Universal Music Group: Expanded agreement with Spotify after TikTok fall-out

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Moisture issues with Liander’s Pacto transformer substations

>Alfen expects to resume production in the coming days - Alfen and client grid operator Liander have issued a joined press release indicating that in recent months, some low levels of moisture have been discovered in a number of Alfen’s Pacto medium voltage transformer substations that were delivered to Liander. Liander uses these substations to connect homes and businesses to the grid. No safety risks. “Both companies take this issue very seriously. There a...

Joren Van Aken
  • Joren Van Aken

Alfen - Substation product issues

Liander issued a press release stating product liability issues (moisture) with Alfen's Pacto substationsFirst reports came in 2023, with investigation of Liander now pointing in the direction of AlfenSize of product issues are unknown but costs will likely go into the millionsNot good for Alfen's track record nor for the sentiment. Hold reiterated.

Thymen Rundberg ... (+2)
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Alfen/Without electricity we watch TV by candlelight/BUY (initiating c...

We initiate coverage on Alfen with a BUY rating and a €70.00 target price. Alfen is a leading diversified clean energy company offering investors exposure to various growth trends that are directly linked to the energy transition. Alfen operates a unique asset light B2B model of three business lines built on more than 85 years of electricity grid expertise. Alfen achieved a 2017-23 revenue CAGR of as much as 38% and despite this stellar growth has generated positive EBITDA every single year. In ...

Wim Lewi
  • Wim Lewi

Fastned Survival of the Fastest

Since the 2020-21 peak, the investor excitement about EV's has cooled. However, the shift from early-adopters to mass-market is progressing. The cost disadvantage of EV-cars is declining steadily while charging speeds and range autonomy increase. Some bottlenecks in the grid and renewable energy production have to be tackled and financed. The trend towards a BEV-only world is irreversible and will only accelerate from here. Fastned sits in the leading pack of companies that secure fast-charge lo...

Paul de Froment ... (+3)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
  • Thomas Mordelle

Alfen: Fine-tuning our estimates

We take advantage of Alfen's FY23 release last week to fine-tune our revenue and margin estimates, taking into account confirmed guidance for FY24 and granularity provided per segment. Guidance for FY24 suggests good visibility on the top line and sustained momentum across all business lines, with

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Guiding for c. 25% top-line growth and higher EBITDA margin in...

>Beat on consensus expectations: 6% on EBITDA - Revenues FY23 were up 15% y-o-y to € 504.5m (consensus € 502.4m), implying Q4 revenues came in at € 144.3m (consensus € 142.2m), up 6% q-o-q from € 136.4m in Q3Gross profit FY23 down 1% y-o-t to € 151.1m or a 30.0% margin (consensus € 151.2m; 30.1%), implying Q4 gross profit of € 42.7m or 29.6% margin (consensus € 42.8m; 30.1%), up 6% q-o-q from € 40.1m or 29.4% margin in 23Q3.Adjusted EBITDA FY23 came in at € ...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Paul de Froment ... (+3)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
  • Thomas Mordelle

ALFEN: No surprises for FY23, all eyes on 2024

Alfen has published FY23 numbers (EUR504.5m top line, 11.3% EBITDA) in line with the guidance provided in Q3 2023 and consensus figures (EUR502.5m, 11.2% EBITDA, vs BGe EUR500.0m, 11.0% EBITDA). FY24 guidance indicates good visibility on the top line and sustained momentum across all business lines

Research Team
  • Research Team

Alfen - Good end to transition year- '24 is promising

FY23 revenue at EUR 504.5m, in line with outlook, CSS and estimatesOur FY24e revenue estimate (EUR 643m) is at higher end of the 2024 outlook of EUR 590-660m (CSS EUR 635m)Whereas the results are in line and the outlook is as well, the shares have rerated materially since our upgrade. As such, we downgrade to Hold with a new EUR 66.0 TP, DCF-based (WACC of 8.6%)

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