Benelux Morning Notes

ArcelorMittal: Modest 4Q25 EBITDA beat and upbeat 2026F outlook / KBC Group: BNP Paribas good results in Belgium, increasing outlook, notably reducing C/I ratio / Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 4Q25 results SBM Offshore: Early purchase of ONE Guyana FPSO by Exxon Mobil / Shell: Keeping SBB at $3.5bn / Sligro: FY25 net profit in line with expectations, SBB announced / Universal Music Group: YouTube ads revenue +9% YoY in 4Q25 and Sony Music up by 13% YoY / Wereldhave: Wereldhave Belgium FY25 results a...

Dynamic Top Pick List Update February 2026: Removing ASMi; Adding UCB

After today's changes (ASMi out, UCB in), we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have been overlooked. Our defensive holdings are overweight, including real estate, which stands to benefit from lower interest rates. We remove ASMi from our Dynamic Top Pick List as the recent share price performance has driven the valuation meaningfully ahead of fundamentals. Since early December, FY27 diluted EPS expectations have risen by a...

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Exchange offer to start tomorrow / Alfen: Preview: new year, new chances / BAM Group: Nice add-on in the Dutch housing market / dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 2026 guidance read-across / Heijmans: Preview: 2025F was the cat's meow / Melexis: 4Q25 preview, towards a cyclical recovery / TomTom: Preview 4Q25, look beyond 2026 / Van Lanschot Kempen: Small UK Fiduciary mandate, second of the month though

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: Consensus FY25 and FY26 released / Belgian Telecoms: DIGI Belgium introduces 5G FWA at €7 per month and increased data on mobile-only offers / NSI: €50m seven-year unsecured notes issuance with a 4.59% coupon / Sofina: Newsletter #17: NAV per share underperforms

Morning Notes : OPTI BB, SOF BB, WDP BB, MAAT FP

: OPTI BB, SOF BB, WDP BB, MAAT FP

Recticel/Acquisition of Miclar Group/BUY

We reiterate our BUY rating on Recticel and increase our target price from €12.0 to €13.5, following the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. We view this as a very appealing acquisition for Recticel with Miclar having a materially higher Adj. EBITDA margin than the group at 19.8%. Furthermore, we view the multiple paid at 4.4x EV/EBITDA 2024 as undemanding, which should lead to material value creation in the upcoming years. At €13.5, Recticel would trade at 10.9/9.2x EV/EBITDA 2026/27F, ...

Dynamic Top Pick List How to start 2026?

How to start 2026? We have selected for the KBC Securities Dynamic Top Pick List 12 large-cap companies — AB InBev, Aedifica, Argenx, ASMi, Azelis, DEME, D'Ieteren, Shurgard, Sofina, Vopak, WDP, and Wolters Kluwer — along with 3 small and mid-cap names (under €1.5bn in market capitalization): Corbion, EVS, and IBA. So, going into 2026, we maintain a balanced approach in our Dynamic Top Pick List, featuring 8 cyclical and 6 defensive stocks, with a particular emphasis on value stocks that have b...

Local Champions Mid Cap Conference Book 11.12.2025

This conference book is your guide to our annual Local Champions Mid Cap Conference set to take place on Thursday, 11 December 2025 at our historic building at Grand Place in Brussels. This event offers the possibility to have one-on-one meetings and/or attend small group sessions with the top management and/or IR of the following companies: BARCO | BEKAERT | DECEUNINCK | DEME | EVS | IBA | JENSEN GROUP | MATERIALISE | ONTEX | PROXIMUS | RECTICEL | XFAB

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Big step forward in disposal programme. Belfius: No sale of stake to private investors, no sell down of BNP Paribas stake either. CM.com: Bird withdraws takeover proposal. Recticel: Acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group. Theon International: c.€150m rights issue

Recticel FIRST LOOK: Acquisition of Miclar Group, upgrade to Accumulat...

With the acquisition of a 76% stake in Miclar Group, Recticel further strengthens its insulated panels business, which today consists of the businesses acquired via Rex and Trimo. The deal value looks very reasonable at 5.7x EV/EBITDA24. We have updated our forecasts resulting in a 7% increase in our 2026 EBITDA estimate. Recticel still has significant firepower for additional acquisitions and we would expect the company to continue to hunt for mid-sized acquisitions that further enlarge positio...

Morning Notes : AALB NA, FLOB BB, RECT BB, DEME BB

: AALB NA, FLOB BB, RECT BB, DEME BB

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 11/28/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 28/11/2025

Alfen : Working hard to get back in growth shape

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: 3Q mixed, NIBC M&A good value for money. Adyen: CMD highlights – confident on long-term growth Belgian Telecoms: Digi Belgium raises €104.5m in capital, after €80m capital increase in July. CM.com: Raises €5m through private placement. Recticel: Peer Rockwool's 3Q25 trading update. Zabka: Potential bidder for Carrefour Romania. Events Calendar

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: 3Q25 strong beat; outlook 4Q25 seems in line. Air France-KLM: Bit light but outlook unchanged. ArcelorMittal: In line 3Q25, supportive medium-term outlook. AMG: 3Q25 EBITDA beats by 5%, ‘only' modest FY guidance increase might disappoint. BAM Group: Maintains outlook as expected. CTP: Guidance at the lower end due to a missed deal in Romania. Strong operational trends continued. IMCD: 3Q showed pressure on gross margin. Kinepolis: US peer AMC; better revenues and EBITDA in ...

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November: Removing Xior; Adding Aedifica

The tariff war has eased, but with Trump, uncertainty has become a guarantee. While the macro-economic impact has been limited so far, the prolonged situation could still result in significant and long-lasting economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List. The Federal Reserve (FED) has started its easing cycle, but the final amount of interest rate cuts is uncertain. The European Central Bank (ECB) has now largely completed its interest rate cutting ...

Recticel/3Q25 postview: Early signs of recovery/BUY

We reiterate our BUY on Recticel and our €12 target price following Recticel's 3Q25 trading update. Recticel reported below-expectation sales in 3Q25 but reiterated its €55m Adj. EBITDA guidance for FY25F. Next to this comment, Recticel flagged that permits and mortgage demand have started to rebound in the UK and Europe, which may have an impact on 2026F already. A weak trading environment for Recticel Insulation Boards has put a drag on the group's profitability over the past three years, and ...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 11/05/2025

ODDO BHF SECURITIES Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS – 05/11/2025