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Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Smart Grids under control, but tough charging equipment market...

>Feedback analyst conference call - Alfen’s analyst call was hosted by CEO Marco Roeleveld, CCO Michele Lesh and CFO Onno Krab. Key topics were the following:Outlook per sector:- Smart Grid Solutions, substation production is to increase to c. 100 per week in Q4, but in H1 2025 will drop back to 70 per week because of customer constraints. Hopes H2 2025 to be able to up production further, but dependent on clients. Key clients are the grid operators as small...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...

Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Alfen: Q3 results, big Q4 ahead

Alfen published Q3 2024 figures yesterday. Revenue came in at EUR106m (-18% QoQ vs. EUR129m in Q2 2024, -22% YoY vs. EUR136m in Q3 2023) pointing to EUR352m YTD (vs. cons. eyeing EUR489m for FY24). Q3 numbers were mostly impacted by modest revenue growth in Smart Grids (+1% YoY) and a sluggish pace

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder

Alfen : Outlook for Q4 and 2025 seems weaker than before

>Q3 better than consensus FY24 outlook slightly weaker = weaker Q4 - Revenues in-line, with strength in Smart Grids offsetting weakness in EV Charging. Revenues in 24Q3 were down 22% y-o-y to € 106.2m (1% below consensus of € 107.4m) with Smart Grid Solutions up 1% to € 50.3m (14% above consensus of € 44.3m), EV Charging Equipment down 6% to € 32.9m (14% below consensus of € 38.3m), and Energy Storage Systems down 55% to € 23.1m (consensus € 23.5m). Profitabil...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB...

: AALB NA, ADYEN NA, CPINV BB, CMBT BB, GBLB BB, MDXH BB, TESB BB, ALFEN NA

Guy Sips ... (+11)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Dynamic Top Pick List Update November 2024 – Adding Azelis – Removing ...

With 2 changes in our Dynamic Top Pick list (we add Azelis and we remove Solvay) we maintain a defensive stance on the market for 2H24. The long anticipated interest rate cuts by central banks have finally started. The Trump election victory in the US does not bode well for European stocks as he favours a protectionist course. Although industrial companies with a US base could actually benefit. Cleantech names with exposure to the US could also suffer (unless owned by E.Musk). We expect the US ...

Sharad Kumar S.P
  • Sharad Kumar S.P

Holdings Report - October 2024 KBCS Holdings Universe Returns -2.5% Du...

1M Performance - Absolute: During Oct'24 (1M period), the KBCS Holdings Universe posted a return of -2.5% which was mainly driven by single-asset holdings (-2.8%) while multi-asset holdings  posted a slightly less negative return of -2.3%. The 3 top performers during the period were Financière de Tubize (+6.7%), D'Ieteren Group (+4.5%), and Solvac (+2.8%) while the 3 worst performers were Sofina (-11.4%), Gimv (-9.8%), and Compagnie du Bois Sauvage (-6.3%). YTD Performance - Relative: On a YTD ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adecco: 3Q24 miss; stabilising trends in 3Q24 and into 4Q24; accelerating cost savings. B&S Group: 3Q24 preview - liquor bottoming into 4Q24? Coca-Cola Europacific Partners: Almost the real thing. D'Ieteren: Belgian October car registrations down 5.5%, VW down 11%. Kinepolis: Oct US/Canada box office at 59% of pre Covid level, France recovery to 78%. Recticel: 3Q24 compares well with Kingspan. Renewi: 1H25 preview - battling cost inflation with self help. Syensqo: Slight beat on 3Q...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview – expect 3Q to be light compared to 4Q. BAM: Preview - it doesn't feel that good. Brunel International: 3Q24 results: 4% EBIT miss – weak outlook. Fugro: Unexpected sales decline in US and Middle East. Kinepolis: US Peer Cinemark 3Q24 results beat on strong spending. Universal Music Group: 3Q24 reasonable, 2H24 €400m M&A cash out will hurt

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Recticel FIRST LOOK: 3Q LFL revenue growth +6%, FY guidance maintained

3Q revenue growth accelerated to 6% on a like for like basis, with revenue of € 156.6m slightly above our and consensus forecasts. Recticel reiterated its FY guidance of around € 50m adjusted EBITDA. Although we do believe in the longer term growth prospects of the insulation market, short term multiples are not particularly appealing with EV/EBITDA25e of c 10x and so we reiterate our Hold rating for now.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: 3Q24 preview - no signs of recovery expected. AB InBev: All to play for in the final quarter. Arcadis: A mixed bag. Ayvens: Struggling to get out of neutral. dsm-firmenich: Taking your vitamins is healthy. D'Ieteren: Belron equity at €23.5bn, EV €32.2bn in minority shareholder transaction. Euronext: 3Q24 and CMD Preview. Flow Traders: Bumper harvest. Heijmans: 3Q24 as expected, keeps FY outlook in place. Proximus: Key politician pushing for major governance shake up. ...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, ...

: ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DIE BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, GLPG NA, INGA NA, RECT BB

Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 22/10/2024

Nous initions la couverture de Vontobel avec une recommandation Surperformance et un objectif de cours de 65 CHF. Le groupe présente un potentiel de croissance à moyen long terme de l’activité (renforcé par l’acquisition d’une participation dans Ancala) et d’amélioration de sa rentabilité. (croissance annuelle moyenne du RN de 15%e entre 2023 et 2027) qui ne nous semble pas pleinement intégré par le consensus à ce stade (estimation ODDO BHF 1%-5% > au css. La valorisation actuelle du ...

Ghada Ben Sedrine ... (+2)
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/22/2024

We are initiating coverage of Vontobel with an Outperform recommendation and a target price of CHF 65. The group presents medium- to long-term growth potential in terms of its activity (strengthened by the acquisition of a stake in Ancala) and improvement to its profitability (an average annual increase in net income of 15% between 2023 and 2027) which does not appear to be fully factored in by the consensus for the time being (ODDO BHF estimate some 1-5% above the consensus). Therefo...

Thibault Leneeuw ... (+3)
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Vranken
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