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Thymen Rundberg ... (+2)
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Alfen/Near-term outlook remains clouded/HOLD

Alfen reported broadly in line 1H25 results and maintained its 2025 outlook but lowered its 2026 revenue growth and adjusted its EBITDA margin guidance. As a result, we cut our FY26F revenue estimate by c.4% and our FY26F EBITDA estimate by around 16%. Alfen's Smart Grid division reported rather weak production volumes in 2Q25 and a very low quarterly gross margin, which increased the overall risk profile of the company. The Smart Grid division has the most attractive fundamental characteristics...

Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

Fastned/Discharged momentum/HOLD

In our view Fastned reported disappointing 1H25 results. We mainly make downward adjustments to our charging volume estimates for the coming years. We increase our pricing estimates beyond 2025, partially offsetting lower volumes. We slightly increase our long-term (post 2030) estimates, resulting in our DCF-driven target price of €20 (unchanged), and we reiterate our HOLD rating.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Alfen: H1 2025 results, mid-term outlook lowered

Alfen published H1 2025 figures yesterday. Revenue came in at EUR211.5m (-13.9% YoY vs. EUR245.7m in H1 2024) mainly with challenging dynamics in EV charging and Energy Storage, while benefiting from favourable base effects in Smart Grids, which was impacted by moistening issues in Q2 2024. This wa

Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Fastned: H1 results, GM recovery, roll-out acceleration expected in H2

This morning, Fastned published its H1 2025 key metrics and number of operating stations. H1 sales came in at EUR54.3m (+44% YoY), implying revenue of EUR26.3m in Q2 2025 (-9% vs cons. at EUR28.9m) and pointing to an annual run-rate of at least EUR108m (vs cons. at EUR130.8m for FY25 and STFe EUR13

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ascencio: Stable update CFE: Preview; margin over volume CVC Capital Partners: Moments of Realisation D'Ieteren: Belron North American peer Boyd points to positive 3Q25 inflection point in like for like growth Fastned: 1H25 results; disappointing charging volumes, cost pressure continues Greenyard: Results of second acceptance period concerning takeover bid and launching squeeze-out

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+8)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ADYEN NA, CMBT BB, FUR NA, NEXTA BB, SIP BB, SHUR BB, ...

: ADYEN NA, CMBT BB, FUR NA, NEXTA BB, SIP BB, SHUR BB, FAST NA, ZEAL DC

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Euronext: Fixed income volume growth remains strong; Fastned: Preview 1H25; Talabat: 2Q25 results; beat and raise; TKH Group: Connectivity EBITA margin drops to 1%

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Alfen: Preview - muddling through? Belgian telcos: Competition Authority investigation on Proximus/Orange Belgium MoU. Brunel International: 2Q25 below, 3Q25 outlook cut, cost savings protect FY25 estimates. Euronext: Another record set of results. Fugro: Sharper V-shape? GBL: Weak NAV performance, as expected. KBC Ancora: Cooperative CERA increasing its stake to 51.24%, using excess cash. UCB: Renewed US threats to cut drug prices. Umicore: 1H25 and guide broadly in-line, new S...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Lewi
Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Alfen: new CEO to join in October

Yesterday, Alfen announced the appointment of Michael Colijn as CEO and chairman of the management board. This comes after Marco Roeleveld, former CEO and a key figure of Alfen since 1997, who led the IPO in 2018, announced he would retire by year-end for medical reasons. The appointment of Michael

Mahaut Arnaud ... (+3)
  • Mahaut Arnaud
  • Paul de Froment
  • Thomas Mordelle

Kempower: Q2 results, back in growth mode

Yesterday, Kempower published a good set of H1 2025 results. Revenue came in at EUR105.7m (+6% YoY in line with cons. at EUR104.8m), up sequentially in Q2 vs. Q1 (+41% QoQ). Gross margin improved to 50.1% (+3.4ppt YoY) while the operating EBIT loss reached -EUR9m in H1 2025 (vs -EUR7.3m in Q1 2025

Paul de Froment
  • Paul de Froment

End of coverage

From 16th July 2025, we will no longer include PodPoint in our coverage

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