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Thymen Rundberg ... (+2)
  • Thymen Rundberg
  • Tijs Hollestelle

Alfen/Another transitional year/HOLD

Alfen reported broadly in line 4Q25 results but lowered its FY26 outlook. There is no tangible evidence of a pending volume-driven recovery in the 4Q25 performance of the Smart Grid and the EV Charging division. We increase our FY26 revenue estimate by 0.5% to the mid-point of Alfen's new revenue guidance and cut our FY26F adjusted EBITDA estimate by 6% to €26.1m. This reflects an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.7%, slightly ahead of the company's mid-point guidance aiming for 5.5%. Management execu...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN Amro: Miss but strong capital, good set of results / Ahold Delhaize: Strong 4Q25 but no major surprise on FY26 adj. EPS guidance / Alfen: No recovery yet and another transitional year / BAM Group: Preview: 2026 outlook the key item / Econocom: Better REBITA, net debt, but EBIT below, much lower net profit, dividend halved, 2026-28 guidance postponed to “medium term” / Exor: Ferrari 4Q25 and 2026 guidance beat / Gecina: Results and guidance in line, DPS set to grow over 2026-30 / Heineken: No...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Thijs Berkelder
  • Thijs Berkelder
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Exchange offer to start tomorrow / Alfen: Preview: new year, new chances / BAM Group: Nice add-on in the Dutch housing market / dsm-firmenich: Givaudan 2026 guidance read-across / Heijmans: Preview: 2025F was the cat's meow / Melexis: 4Q25 preview, towards a cyclical recovery / TomTom: Preview 4Q25, look beyond 2026 / Van Lanschot Kempen: Small UK Fiduciary mandate, second of the month though

Marc Hesselink ... (+3)
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

Fastned/The funding base evolves/HOLD

Fastned's 4Q25 update shows faster station roll out but volume growth is still lagging BEV penetration. We make limited near term estimate changes, slightly lift longer term assumptions on higher BEV adoption, and increase capex forecasts. The new €200m loan facility is a positive, improving near term funding visibility, but we remain cautious given high leverage, funding needs beyond 2027, and softening charging volume growth. We maintain our HOLD rating and slightly raise our target price to €...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: (Ti)me delay. Belgian telecoms: Telenet increases price as of March. Fastned: Funding step-up, Fastned secures €200m loan. Lotus Bakeries: Preview FY25. MICC: Preview FY25. Signify: 4Q25 preview. Van Lanschot Kempen: Large AuM win in Fiduciary

 PRESS RELEASE

FY 2025 Preliminary and Unaudited Figures Highlighting Significant Pro...

FY 2025 Preliminary and Unaudited Figures Highlighting Significant Progress in the Execution of the Genesis Plan Press Release FY 2025 Preliminary and Unaudited Figures Highlighting Significant Progress in the Execution of the Genesis Plan Cash and Profitability Targets ExceededRevenue Target Achieved Book-to-bill in Line with Expectations FY 2025 revenue estimated at €8,001 million - or €8,030 million at September 30 currency, in line with targetInflexion point in top line trajectory reached in Q4 2025: quarter-on-quarter improvement in estimated Group organic revenue performance, to -9...

 PRESS RELEASE

Chiffres préliminaires et non audités pour l’exercice 2025, mettant en...

Chiffres préliminaires et non audités pour l’exercice 2025, mettant en évidence les progrès significatifs dans l’exécution du plan Genesis Communiqué de presse Chiffres préliminaires et non audités pour l’exercice 2025, mettant en évidence les progrès significatifs dans l’exécution du plan Genesis Objectifs de cash et de rentabilité dépassésObjectif de chiffre d’affaires atteintRatio book-to-bill en ligne avec les attentes Chiffre d’affaires de l’exercice 2025 estimé à 8 001 millions d’euros – ou 8 030 millions d’euros aux taux de change du 30 septembre, conforme à l’objectif annuelPoint...

Jeremy Garnier
  • Jeremy Garnier

ODDO : Will small caps sustain their rebound in 2026?

The market environment now appears more favourable for small caps (solid growth prospects, consistent valuations) and the rebound seen in this asset class in 2025 could continue into 2026. After a stellar performance of 32.2% (+16.3 points vs MSCI Europe Smallcaps) from our ODDO BHF European Nextcap list in 2025, we are revising our H1 2026 Nextcap top pick list, which now includes: Comet, Corbion, Equasens, Jacquet Metals, Jost-Werke, PVA Tepla, Rosenbauer, Steyr Motors, Thermador Groupe and Wa...

Jeremy Garnier
  • Jeremy Garnier

ODDO : Poursuite du rebond des small caps en 2026 ?

L’environnement de marché semble à présent plus porteur pour les small caps (perspectives de croissance solides, valorisations cohérentes) et 2026 pourrait prolonger le rebond observé en 2025 sur cette classe d’actifs. Après une belle performance de 32.2% (+16.3 pt vs MSCI Europe Small Cap) en 2025 de notre liste ODDO BHF European Nextcap, nous revoyons notre liste de convictions Nextcap S1 2026 qui comprend désormais : Comet, Corbion, Equasens, Jacquet Metals, Jost-Werke, PVA Tepla, Rosenbauer,...

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